MesoscaleBanding Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 CLE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 ILN 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 I'm sure I probably missed it in the March thread but just saw the SREF is on pivotal now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Spoiler .LONG TERM... (Tuesday Night through Sunday) Issued at 318 AM CST Mon Mar 7 2022 Westerly flow aloft will be disturbed briefly by a shortwave passing over the region Tuesday night into Wednesday. At the surface a low will push through the lower Mississippi Valley, but it and it`s precipitation will stay far south of the forecast area. A longwave trough will swing into the western CONUS on Wednesday, strengthening as it digs into the Four Corners region by Thursday. This will back winds aloft to the southwest over the mid-Mississippi Valley Thursday. At the surface a low will form near the Oklahoma-Texas panhandles Wednesday night, moving northeast into the mid- Mississippi Valley by Thursday night. As the surface low is moving northeast through the forecast area Thursday night into Friday, the positively tilted mid-level trough will quickly zip from the desert Southwest into the Kansas-Oklahoma area, placing the forecast area within the entrance region of the mid-level jet. Precipitation is expected to form north of the low as it marches through the region Thursday night and Friday, aided by the mid-level dynamic lift. Precipitation is expected to fall on the north side of the low. The WPC Cluster Analysis is showing good agreement in precipitation falling across the forecast area, 86% of the ensemble members show 0.25" of liquid equivalent precipitation falling Friday. Temperatures on the north side of the surface low are expected to be below freezing, so confidence is modest that precipitation will fall as snow during this period. Surface temperatures remain an area of uncertainty, as highs on Friday are showing a 10 degree temperature spread between the 25-75th percentiles and crosses the freezing line for areas along and north of I-70. Almost all of the GEFS and ECMWF members show accumulating snowfall during this period. The NBM 25th percentile indicates near an inch of snow accumulation, while the 75th percentile brings most of the area near advisory criteria. Relatively warm surface temperatures and a high sun angle will help to mitigate the impact from this snowfall. Temperatures will plummet briefly behind this system as cold, arctic air surges into the region. Low temperatures next weekend will be 15- 20 degrees below normal for this time of year. MRM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted March 7, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 7, 2022 15 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: I'm sure I probably missed it in the March thread but just saw the SREF is on pivotal now Yeah, @NKYSnowLover posted it awhile back. I don't know what this mean for the future of the SREF Tracker. I'm not liking the competition. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indygirl Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 I’m behind! So this is Saturday into Sunday for central Indiana? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted March 7, 2022 Author Admin Share Posted March 7, 2022 21 minutes ago, Indygirl said: I’m behind! So this is Saturday into Sunday for central Indiana? Earlier.. Friday into Saturday. ❤️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted March 7, 2022 Author Admin Share Posted March 7, 2022 Latest comparison of the Big 3. I'll take any of these with the knowledge that it'll melt two days later, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 22 minutes ago, Indygirl said: I’m behind! So this is Saturday into Sunday for central Indiana? This would be Friday evening into Saturday morning (if it happens) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 6z NAV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 I wish the 06z ICON were extended... would have been a monster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted March 7, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 7, 2022 32 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Latest comparison of the Big 3. I'll take any of these with the knowledge that it'll melt two days later, lol. 'Tis better to have loved and lost than never to have loved at all. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andino Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 I've had enough rain this winter. Would rather it come in the form of snow and melt. I guess i'll know Friday what's going to happen. Last hoorah before Spring. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Win win situation with this system. Always cool to see a late season snow. I'm also good with not seeing anymore until next fall/winter 🙂 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 6z EPS #1-25 @ 114 hrs #26-50 @ 114 hrs #1-25 @ 120 hrs #26-50 @ 120hrs #1-26 @ 126 hrs #26-50 @ 126 hrs *Warning, I'm not sure how accurate the snow maps are. But, I'm not sure it matters at this point. Long way to go on what we're dealing with. Snow totals #1-26 Snow totals #26-50 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 If we do get a northern piece to play, we need that southern piece to eject on/slightly ahead of the northern one or you get a strung out solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Looks like more TT issues but 12Z icon still looks good on weather.us 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 Just now, Mulaman984 said: Looks like more TT issues but 12Z icon still looks good on weather.us 960s in C PA. 🤡 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 (edited) 17 minutes ago, Mulaman984 said: Looks like more TT issues but 12Z icon still looks good on weather.us It’s back up on TT. Edited March 7, 2022 by Mulaman984 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted March 7, 2022 Author Admin Share Posted March 7, 2022 I feel weird saying GO ICON, but it's actually performed relatively well this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post zumarat Posted March 7, 2022 Popular Post Share Posted March 7, 2022 A short story to give you a laugh on this rainy Monday morning. So to set the scene... we're having all the family over for our daughter's 5th birthday on Saturday. Lots of nieces and nephews so it's pretty much a zoo with them running all over the house playing. Somebody is always crying because there's too many kids cooped up in a small space and someone inevitably gets knocked over, pushed, doesn't get the toy they want or one of a million other reasons. Don't me wrong, its fun but is a bit stressful. Rewind to this past Saturday. We had my little nephews birthday party at my sisters house. All the kids were playing basketball outside in shorts and t-shirts and having a great time. Adults consequently had a much more relaxing time without all the commotion in the house. On the way home that night my wife made the comment that she had such a great time and it was so nice having the kids outside playing. She was so happy the weather finally broke and it was going to make this coming Saturday so much better for our daughters birthday with the kids being able to be outside. Plus the kids can eat outside and be as messy as the want. You could feel the excitement in her voice when saying all this, not even joking. I'm glad it was dark in the van at that point because I'm pretty sure this was my face: She doesnt watch the weather at all and I still haven't had the heart to tell her... lol 1 1 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted March 7, 2022 Author Admin Share Posted March 7, 2022 March 08. March 08. March 08. I especially like, "At 4AM on March 6th, the National Weather Service issued a Winter Storm Watch for parts of Ohio, including Central Ohio. The Watch called for 5″-10″ northwest of I-71, with lesser amounts along 71 due to a predicted changeover to sleet and freezing rain and far less just to the south and east." Lol. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted March 7, 2022 Share Posted March 7, 2022 GFS is a little too late for the phase. The northern piece is super strong too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now