Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2022 Watching the P type trend😶 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 11 minutes ago, telejunkie said: Was just coming on to report a decent drop in qpf on 15z.... I have to correct myself slightly. Looks like W PA actually went back UP a notch. Wiggle waggle wiggle waggle. Ironically, I was just out fixing my Wshield wipers on the car LOL (Gawd it's nice out right now) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I can't help but sing this song in my mind when I see HRRR/RAP outside Hr10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2022 (edited) We can check these again once the event ends and now for consistency. In otherwords, comparing their last couple of runs with their first couple of runs. Spoiler GFS Spoiler CMC Spoiler Ukie Spoiler NAM - though doesn't go back to 0z on 3/9 Spoiler Edited March 11, 2022 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 I may have jinxed my area, I just filled up the snow blower and moved it from the barn to inside the garage. Probably getting all rain now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 51 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Uh oh Clapper - SREF let down alert - down again pretty much across the board in PA (only by an inch or so but...) Yeah 😞 snow pops went down.. 10% chance the storm misses (Williamsport) entirely at 7am. 9% it's raining, 81% it's snowing. Could you imagine the 10% happening??? 🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 FWIW - new NAM juiced again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2022 It's 13 miles to the NY line from my house (via google earth), and about 15 miles to the 10" mark. Amazing cut off. Trying to forecast this is brutal. I'm currently at the 2" mark, though other parts of town are 5" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2022 WWAs are up Spoiler Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 307 PM EST Fri Mar 11 2022 CTZ005-006-NJZ002-103-NYZ068>070-120415- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0015.220312T1300Z-220313T0000Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Western Passaic- Western Bergen-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester- 307 PM EST Fri Mar 11 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected, along with the refreezing of wet surfaces. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 8 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will fall quickly during the day Saturday resulting in a quick freezing of any standing water resulting in difficult travel. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2022 (edited) Edited March 11, 2022 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harley8778 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Anyone with pivotal premium have the wind gust maps for the NAM 3K & 12K at HR 27 & 28? Looks like some fun weather for Lancaster County around that time... 21 Kt sustained at 10m. Interested to see the gust potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, Harley8778 said: Anyone with pivotal premium have the wind gust maps for the NAM 3K & 12K at HR 27 & 28? Looks like some fun weather for Lancaster County around that time... 21 Kt sustained at 10m. Interested to see the gust potential. This? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 LOL - CTP "Winter Storm Warning" posted let's devote all of 5 sentences to our AFD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 It's 70 degrees right now. Not expecting much more than conversation snow tomorrow morning but there will be some accumulation not far away. Crazy when it's this warm the day before. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Well this is an increase from this morning. UGH! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 11, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 11, 2022 33 minutes ago, Harley8778 said: Anyone with pivotal premium have the wind gust maps for the NAM 3K & 12K at HR 27 & 28? Looks like some fun weather for Lancaster County around that time... 21 Kt sustained at 10m. Interested to see the gust potential. Gusts from GFS, Euro and NAM for NE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, Stacked Vort said: Elliot! Impressive! He's still doing it. 💙 Yep - he heads up the M'ville Meteo Dept as I understand it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Seeing the variations in forecasters thoughts this evening. Haha. TWC (on TV) = 1-3" shading Local WNEP = 2-5" NWS = 6-8" 😬 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Seeing the variations in forecasters thoughts this evening. Haha. TWC (on TV) = 1-3" shading Local WNEP = 2-5" NWS = 6-8" 😬 (credit Brad Panovich, meteorologist) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 hour ago, StretchCT said: Pretty decent consensus at this point that from Albany to all of orange county and even south of there in NY should probably be at a minimum 4-6" probably 6-8", as models having been giving the entire HV just as much snow as farther inland now, and probably the most intense banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 OOOO-kayyy then. Now that that's settled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: OOOO-kayyy then. Now that that's settled. WTAF? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 GFS is NAM like with the heavy band setting up over HV, NNJ, VERY NEPA, and a spot of 6"+ in Epa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 10 minutes ago, JDClapper said: WTAF? Some ppl watch tv news to yell about and to politicians. I do that same thing but with the weather casters. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Come to pappa! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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