snowlover2 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 3 hours ago, snowlover2 said: It seems Ohio and ILN had it's first tornado of 2022 Sunday morning. And it's an EF0. Quote Public Information Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 716 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR MARCH 6 2022 TORNADO... .Versailles OH... Start Location...2 WNW Versailles in Darke County OH End Location.....2 NNE Versailles in Darke County OH Date...03/06/2022 Estimated Time...4:21 AM EST to 4:24 AM EST Maximum EF-Scale Rating........EF0 Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...80 mph Maximum Path Width...100 yards Path Length..........2.9 miles Beginning Lat/Lon....40.2395 / -84.5174 Ending Lat/Lon.......40.2564 / -84.4677 * Fatalities...0 * Injuries.....0 ...Summary... The National Weather Service in Wilmington OH has confirmed an EF0 tornado north of Versailles in Darke County, Ohio. This tornado occurred in the early morning hours of March 6, 2022. The first signs of damage with this tornado occurred near the intersection of OH-185 and Conover Road, with minor damage to a few trees and homes. The tornado moved ENE, causing more significant damage to a few properties on Versailles Yorkshire Road, just south of Burns Road. At one property, two large barns were leveled, and roof damage was observed to other structures. A home on the southeast corner of the Versailles Yorkshire Road and Burns Road intersection had a small amount of roofing material removed, with more extensive shingle damage, and a few trees uprooted. A car at this property was moved from its parked position, and a piece of plywood was embedded under the hood. Continuing to the ENE, two properties on the north side of Burns Road sustained damage, along with numerous trees downed in a small stand of hardwoods. There was quite a bit of roof damage to outbuildings at these properties, with some minor damage to more well-built structures. One home had a notable amount of mud splatter on a south-facing garage door. Eyewitness reports and photography indicate that debris from these locations traveled over a quarter mile across the open fields. Damage was also observed at a cluster of homes on Reed Road, just north of Burns Road. Most of the structural damage here was minor, primarily limited to fascia and siding. At least 20-30 trees in this area sustained damage, with some uprooted, and numerous large limbs snapped off. Debris from this cluster of properties was observed along a treeline across Reed Road to the east. Additional minor tree damage occurred on Cramer Road, and the last visible damage from this tornado occurred in a treeline south of Murphy Road along Swamp Creek, with a few large limbs downed. No damage was observed along OH-47. The National Weather Service would like to thank the Darke County EMA for their assistance with this survey. EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories: EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph EF5...Violent...>200 mph * The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS Storm Data. $$ HATZOS/CLARK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 8, 2022 33 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: And it's an EF0. Morning QLCS tornado to kick off Ohio's tornado year... sounds about right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Slight risk putting in work. 200+ wind reports today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Last year, I posted an idea that there might be a tornado season that was influenced by La Nina. I don't know exactly what numbers and ideas I posted, but this year La Nina still is here, and the overall idea still applies. Perhaps the western drought could make higher tornado numbers less likely west of, for example, I-35 in Kansas and Oklahoma. Still, with the La Nina, I think we should be watching out for higher chances for tornadoes across the country, including the Ohio Valley. I know you guys will keep an eye on it. As a general statement, tell your families to sign up for wireless alerts or turn on weather radios this spring and summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Could be a sneaky tornado day as the warm front moves up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 8, 2022 Was not expecting 3 more slight risk days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 (edited) I guess we could probably merge the other thread here now that that today and tomorrow got interesting all of a sudden Edited March 8, 2022 by OKwx_2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 8, 2022 Tomorrow looks pretty concerning on HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 9, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 9, 2022 Supercells are getting going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Few tornado warnings out this morning: georgia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gerb131 Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 big one in the mobile area triggered a pds warning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 9, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 9, 2022 (edited) Seems like surveying from 3/5 is done. 1 EF4, 1 EF3, 5 EF2, 3 tornadoes with >10 mile tracks, one with 69.5 miles. Not-so-friendly reminder that significant tornado outbreaks can happen even with just a 10% non-hatched tornado risk. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_outbreak_of_March_5–7,_2022#March_5_event SPC nailed the enhanced risk though Edited March 9, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 9, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 9, 2022 ILN is now up to 3 tornadoes in the CWA. Two in Ohio. https://www.weather.gov/iln/20220307 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 10, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 10, 2022 SPC mentions the potential for an enhanced risk for tornadoes, some possibly strong, tomorrow... also mentions the potential for an enhanced risk on Saturday... presumably for damaging winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 18 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: SPC mentions the potential for an enhanced risk for tornadoes, some possibly strong, tomorrow... also mentions the potential for an enhanced risk on Saturday... presumably for damaging winds. Yes for Enhanced risk for Florida Tomorrow. May be a Outbreak sequence to March 12th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 10, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 10, 2022 Non-hatched, FWIW. As we saw on the 5th... doesn't mean strong tornadoes won't happen. Looking like an overnight event which is far less than ideal Morning squall for the Carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 10, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 10, 2022 Quite a few outbreaks in the analogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 10, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 10, 2022 I severely miscounted the MJO. I said a few days ago that we’d be in phase 2 next week. It’s actually tomorrow. Makes sense given the possible back-to-back enhanced risk days and lack of severe threat next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted March 10, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 10, 2022 On 3/9/2022 at 3:15 PM, ClicheVortex2014 said: Seems like surveying from 3/5 is done. 1 EF4, 1 EF3, 5 EF2, 3 tornadoes with >10 mile tracks, one with 69.5 miles. Not-so-friendly reminder that significant tornado outbreaks can happen even with just a 10% non-hatched tornado risk. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_outbreak_of_March_5–7,_2022#March_5_event SPC nailed the enhanced risk though definitely a overachiever here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 11, 2022 Based on 0z HRRR, storm mode in the current enhanced risk is messy. Big boom/bust potential. Shear is exceptional though, and a low-topped severe squall seems likely through S AL, GA, and the Carolinas. Could be an impressive swath of damaging wind reports. The messy storm mode in the area of the enhanced risk, ie north Florida, organizes a bit into either a squall with embedded supercells or a broken line of supercells. If I were to make an outlook based on this run alone, I’d have a slight risk for damaging winds from S AL through central GA… maybe enhanced. Slight risk for tornadoes where the current enhanced risk is, and an enhanced risk for tornadoes and damaging winds in the northern part of the Florida peninsula Then again, this is just one run and I’m not near the caliber of SPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 11, 2022 (edited) Here are the other CAMs. I don't envy SPC tonight. Edited March 11, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 11, 2022 (edited) Sticking with enhanced risk for tornadoes and wind, broad slight risk for tornadoes and wind Edited March 11, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Please come west and north, we need rain so badly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 11, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 11, 2022 (edited) Little bit of rain in the vicinity of the enhanced risk. Won't matter because the event is, like, 14 hours away from starting. That area of training rain will lift north later this evening with the warm front. Edited March 11, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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