clm Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 2 minutes ago, TLChip said: My bad, it’s hard trying to read all the little text on my phone. You need this cell phone 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Tater Posted October 9 Moderators Share Posted October 9 A customer took us out to eat lunch today, and the restaurant had TWC on. The customer owns a beach property somewhere around Port Charlotte, and he thought tornadoes were quite common during hurricanes, even large wedge-shaped ones like was posted a few pages back. He didn't seem at all surprised. I don't think folks should be shocked about a tornado outbreak from a major hurricane. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) 4 minutes ago, clm said: You need this cell phone I have a company iPad but I try not to mess around too much at work with it. Not sure what they actually track on them. PC master race, no shame. Edited October 9 by TLChip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Tater said: A customer took us out to eat lunch today, and the restaurant had TWC on. The customer owns a beach property somewhere around Port Charlotte, and he thought tornadoes were quite common during hurricanes, even large wedge-shaped ones like was posted a few pages back. He didn't seem at all surprised. I don't think folks should be shocked about a tornado outbreak from a major hurricane. “Low probability” and “A couple” from SPC in their day 2 and day 1 tornado outlook write ups and their daily updated tornado outlook write ups doesn’t do justice to the outbreak we are seeing across Florida at all. sure some tornados are common with landfalling hurricanes… But Not to this scale including multiple PDS issued. If there was another hurricane that had this kind of tornado outbreak with it several hours before landfall I’d be curious to review it too Edited October 9 by Poco 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Poco said: “Low probability” and “A couple” from SPC in their tornado write ups and their updated tornado write ups doesn’t do justice to the outbreak we are seeing across Florida sure some tornados are common with landfall g hurricanes But Not to this scale including multiple PDS issued. If there was another hurricane that had this kind of tornado outbreak with it several hours before landfall I’d be curious to review it too Irma was much lower. 5 confirmed. Granted it landed much further south and didn’t expose most of Florida to favorable conditions. Edited October 9 by TLChip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) Iván had an outbreak, own wiki to boot. It’s impressive, 120 confirmed over 3 days. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Ivan_tornado_outbreak Edited October 9 by TLChip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) 7 minutes ago, TLChip said: Irma was much lower. 5 confirmed. Granted it landed much further south and didn’t expose most of Florida to favorable conditions. I can check the spc archives for Irma but not sure I’ll be able to pull up Ivan’s Edited October 9 by Poco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Tater Posted October 9 Moderators Share Posted October 9 Ian had 70 warnings, but few of those actually resulted in tornadoes. In addition to Ivan, Frances also had quite a few tornadoes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AceGikmo Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 It's wild watching the pulsing circulation of the cloud tops riding the hurricanes eye. Really explodes in the last few frames. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 400 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024 ...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ONGOING... ...MULTIPLE TORNADO WARNINGS IN EFFECT ACROSS FLORIDA PENINSULA... Heavy rainfall with tropical-storm force winds are spreading inland across the Florida peninsula. A recent wind gust of 68 mph (109 km/h) was recorded at a mesonet site located in Fort Myers Beach. There are also multiple tornado warnings in effect across the Florida peninsula. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not prone to flooding. The next update will be with the full advisory package at 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC). SUMMARY OF 400 PM EDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.9N 83.5W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WNW OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) Still heading a touch north of northeast, if I read where they’re going to pin that last pass correctly Edited October 9 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherJim Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 minute ago, AceGikmo said: It's wild watching the pulsing circulation of the cloud tops riding the hurricanes eye. Really explodes in the last few frames. Is it me or does it appear like landfall will be in Tampa or just North? Earlier people were saying south, but it seems to be going more north to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) 1 minute ago, WeatherJim said: Is it me or does it appear like landfall will be in Tampa or just North? Earlier people were saying south, but it seems to be going more north to me. It’s supposed to curve more eastward as it approaches the coast. Edited October 9 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 125 mph/950mb now Probably end up around 115/960 at landfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Tater said: Ian had 70 warnings, but few of those actually resulted in tornadoes. In addition to Ivan, Frances also had quite a few tornadoes. So neither nothing like this. Also you don’t seem to grasp that no one is arguing that hurricanes come with tornados. The severity of this outbreak and Spc not having more than a 5% probability for “a couple” is what makes this interesting did Ian, Ivan, Frances or Irma have PDS’s? 9 minutes ago, Poco said: I can check the spc archives for Irma but not sure I’ll be able to pull up Ivan’s Neither of those dates were in the spc archives, no biggie Edited October 9 by Poco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 3 minutes ago, Jpfalcon said: 125 mph/950mb now Probably end up around 115/960 at landfall. Low end cat 3 or high end 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Medina Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Just took these vids 30 min or so ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hail_On_Me Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 hour ago, Burr said: Wow… it’s transitioning to extratropical and still completing an ERC. Satellite looks like a mess Ummm it's still a completely warm core system. Extratropical does not happen until the core turns cold. Just saying..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Just now, Hail_On_Me said: Ummm it's still a completely warm core system. Extratropical does not happen until the core turns cold. Just saying..... Yes, it hasn’t transitioned to extratropical at its core, but it is beginning to take on some characteristics more associated with an extra-tropical system. It will remain a warm-core system for a while yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psu1313 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 10 minutes ago, WeatherJim said: Is it me or does it appear like landfall will be in Tampa or just North? Earlier people were saying south, but it seems to be going more north to me. As UTS pointed out a while ago, the stronger the system, the further south the track. Since we've lost a bunch of steam, might it lead the storm a bit further north? TBD. People on the northern side of this storm are going to take the worst of it outside of storm surge. The I-4 corridor is getting a deluge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 NHC pinned the last hunter pass. It hasn’t turned yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 12 minutes ago, Poco said: So neither nothing like this. I’m not finding anything catching Google searches besides the Ivan breakout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 24 rain and Wind gusts so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) 14 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Northern eyewall lightning strikes doesn’t bode well … Edited October 9 by Burr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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