Moderators Tater Posted October 9 Moderators Share Posted October 9 4 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: My wx buddy just texted me that his Sister and BIL are seriously saying that Hamas and or Hezbulah are driving this 7 minutes ago, Sentinel said: Yeah... This is what I was saying before. It's already transitioning from Tropical to ET 6 minutes ago, TLChip said: In such a warm environment, weird no? Apparently someone negotiated Hamas/Hezbollah to a weaker scenario... Probably these guys: 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 (edited) FT Myers is seeing some surge already. Heading into low tide at 5:00, but high tide could be rough there at 11 or so. East Bay Tampa is below normal tide Edited October 9 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Just finished some work. Can we pinpoint where its going to make landfall? Port Charlotte? Bradenton? Sarasota? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 Naples is already 3 feet above normal. https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=8725114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Tater Posted October 9 Moderators Share Posted October 9 2 minutes ago, mikeysed said: Just finished some work. That makes one of us that has accomplished something useful so far today. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) Not trying to put spc on blast but I did go back and check their 2 day and 1day convective/tornado outlook to see if they detailed any of the tornado chances this morning/aftenoon so yea they didn’t necessarily raise too many alarms, really really tough circumstances. Had a friend tell me Taft many people were preparing for a hurricane but have been blindsided by tornadoes. So I had to go back and check just how blindsided even spc was. I’d say it caught everyone by surprise, especially to the degree that we’ve seen already. No ill intent, just trying to show how surprising this outbreak actually is. Edited October 9 by Poco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 minute ago, Tater said: That makes one of us that has accomplished something useful so far today. Right, comes in here gloating, while we’ve all 🪛 our day 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Just now, Poco said: Not trying to put spc on blast but I did go back and check their 2 day convective outlook to see if they detailed any of the tornado chances this morning/aftenoon I thought the same this morning the stamp says issued 06z today for 12z today. I figured it would be day 0 not day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 They used the words “a couple” and “low probability” quite a bit. 🙁 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 4 minutes ago, Poco said: Not trying to put spc on blast but I did go back and check their 2 day and 1day convective/tornado outlook to see if they detailed any of the tornado chances this morning/aftenoon We call them out when they're off, and back them when they're on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
comeauxn712 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Florida has something for everyone! hurricanes for the blizzard trackers, tornados for the tornado trackers.. no volcanos or earthquakes yet though. I appreciate everyone's insight here! Getting a little breezy here north of Orlando, gonna get interesting before long 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Just now, comeauxn712 said: no volcanos or earthquakes yet though. It's early still. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 300 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024 ...MULTIPLE TORNADO WARNINGS IN EFFECT ACROSS FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS MOVING ONSHORE THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA... Tropical-storm-force winds are now moving onshore the west coast of Florida. There are also multiple tornado warnings in effect across the Florida peninsula. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not prone to flooding. The next update will be at 400 PM EDT (2000 UTC). SUMMARY OF 300 PM EDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.6N 83.7W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM W OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 minute ago, TLChip said: I thought the same this morning the stamp says issued 06z today for 12z today. I figured it would be day 0 not day 1 Yea I saw todays but that didn’t help anyone I mainly checked cause I had a friend tell me that a lot of people preparing fir the hurricane hit suprised/hit with tornado and tornado warnings and I wanted to see how fair of a statement that was. An update to the 1d outlook at 06z on the day of the threat isn’t great. One of those things where just was realized too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
comeauxn712 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 minute ago, Poco said: Yea I saw todays but that didn’t help anyone I mainly checked cause I had a friend tell me that a lot of people preparing fir the hurricane hit suprised/hit with tornado and tornado warnings and I wanted to see how fair of a statement that was. An update to the 1d outlook at 06z on the day of the threat isn’t great. One of those things where just was realized too late. There was no talk of tornados in Central FL until a couple hours ago, it came totally out of left field for 90% of people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 2 minutes ago, Poco said: They used the words “a couple” and “low probability” quite a bit. 🙁 That's just so standard for every hurricane I wonder if it's just boilerplate tacked on there. A storm as well organized as this putting the entire peninsula on the northeast quadrant I'd say Stevie wonder saw an outbreak coming. I'm thinking they didn't dig into it at that lead time for whatever reason. 50+ warnings going on at once is some serious stuff, it definitely would have been better if they played it up more. But at the end of the day you can't evacuate for tornados. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Tater Posted October 9 Moderators Share Posted October 9 Maybe I've just been hanging out here too much, but I assumed tornado outbreaks were a normal part of hurricanes and were expected to happen. I certainly was expecting them, and also expected to hear stories of people who evacuated east/south only to get surprised by a tornado. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Supposed to slow down and turn more eastward, so looking like Longboat Key or Bradenton Beach are most likely landfall locations to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 (edited) @Poco 2 days ago issued for current. Issued 7z on the 7th for 12z onward today. I’m digging for yesterdays currently. yesterdays, issued 5z on the 8th Edited October 9 by TLChip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
comeauxn712 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 It seems like this approach from the East is dragging bands straight up the state in a direction they rarely run. Usually our periodic tornados are from severe storms that hit the east coast and run up the state in a NW/NNW direction. Now if only I knew the science reason for this...probably something to do with low-level shear from interacting with the east coast and eastern inland areas? So much to learn 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregRups Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Not ideal for Tampa 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 4 minutes ago, TLChip said: @Poco 2 days ago issued for current. Issued 7z on the 7th for 12z onward today. I’m digging for yesterday’s currently. I posted the tornado outlook and the discussions that is the categorical severe outlook map you are posting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Just now, Poco said: I posted the tornado outlook and the discussions that is the categorical severe outlook map you are posting My bad, it’s hard trying to read all the little text on my phone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 Tale of two radar pictures less than an hour apart. First one struggling, second one pulling it together, again. Very glad this didn't happen an hour or two earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now