Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 2pm radar - still looks double walled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Just now, StretchCT said: 2pm radar - still looks double walled. Very similar radar look as Helene had. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 130 mph/944mb at 2pm EST update. Probably looking at Cat 3 at landfall, perhaps on the low end at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Wow, PDS after PDS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 Vort message: Still two very open eyewalls. 944mb, sfmr of 92mph in, 84mph out. Flight level 132mph in, 93mph out. Eye info left out. Remarks were: 1/3 CLOSED INNER EYEWALL BAND 14NM DIAM, 1/3 CLOSED OUTER EYE BAND 26NM DIAM Spoiler Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC) Transmitted: 9th day of the month at 18:03Z Agency: United States Air Force Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5305 Storm Name: Milton Storm Number & Year: 14 in 2024 (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 20 Observation Number: 14 A. Time of Center Fix: 9th day of the month at 17:28:10Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 26.22N 84.03W B. Center Fix Location: 138 statute miles (221 km) to the WSW (258°) from Fort Myers, FL, USA. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,633m (8,638ft) at 700mb D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 944mb (27.88 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 220° at 5kts (From the SW at 6mph) F. Eye Character: Not Available G. Eye Shape: Not Available H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 80kts (92.1mph) I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 9 nautical miles to the E (92°) of center fix at 17:25:00Z J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 183° at 115kts (From the S at 132.3mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the E (91°) of center fix at 17:23:30Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 73kts (84.0mph) M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 8 nautical miles to the NW (322°) of center fix at 17:35:00Z N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 44° at 81kts (From the NE at 93.2mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 19 nautical miles (22 statute miles) to the NW (316°) of center fix at 17:38:00Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 13°C (55°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,048m (10,000ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 24°C (75°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,075m (10,089ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 15°C (59°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Levels (surface & flight level centers within 5nm of each other): Surface and 700mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded... Maximum Flight Level Wind: 121kts (~ 139.2mph) which was observed 11 nautical miles (13 statute miles) to the ENE (58°) from the flight level center at 15:59:30Z Remarks Section - Additional Remarks... 1/3 CLOSED INNER EYEWALL BAND 14NM DIAM, 1/3 CLOSED OUTER EYE BAND 26NM DIAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tool483 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 hour ago, clm said: Fort Myers beach https://www.visitfortmyers.com/webcams#fort-myers-beach Some other pretty good cam's there at that site, for the moment they are working. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cer5059 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Man, the entire southern half of Florida is pretty much under tornado warnings right now... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 minute ago, cer5059 said: Man, the entire southern half of Florida is pretty much under tornado warnings right now... 17 tornado warnings currently, handful of PDS. Lot of them showing up on twitter. Looking like a spring day on the plains…. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 19 minutes ago, WeatherJim said: The stupidity in the world is staggering. There are people posting about the tornado warnings and the Fort Meyers area tornado and there are people on an Anna Maria Island facebook page calling them liars and saying there are no tornadoes. Also claiming that the photos of damage are AI and that is just fake news. How can people be so detached from reality? Just because one looks out the door and sees no tornadoes does not mean there are none around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 Pulley ridge buoy went down over two hours ago and had 28 foot waves 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 7 minutes ago, ak9971 said: 17 tornado warnings currently, handful of PDS. Lot of them showing up on twitter. Looking like a spring day on the plains…. Its nice having you guys(tor trackers) here for this 🤣 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 (edited) Still fascinated with the area to to north of the storm and. how it's interacting. Theres a whole area to the north that usually isn't with storms like this. It looks like it's being sucked into the NW side. Edited October 9 by StretchCT 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 This one is 41kts gusting to 56 kts. 10m windspeed of 48 kts. 20m of 52kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Silver lining the forecast was right and it’s weakening and such. Not so good it’s a legit tornado outbreak in Florida that you would see in the Midwest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 Looked like the eye was trying to close again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherJim Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 5 minutes ago, Hassaywx1223 said: Silver lining the forecast was right and it’s weakening and such. Not so good it’s a legit tornado outbreak in Florida that you would see in the Midwest Yeah, but the die has been cast for the surge. It is still going to be bad. That water is moving and it won't be pretty in many areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 The eyewall by the left arrow is staying put, the inner wall is going NE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 5 minutes ago, StretchCT said: The eyewall by the left arrow is staying put, the inner wall is going NE. Noticed that as well… what in the world… super fast too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 5 minutes ago, StretchCT said: The eyewall by the left arrow is staying put, the inner wall is going NE. Wow… it’s transitioning to extratropical and still completing an ERC. Satellite looks like a mess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted October 9 Admin Share Posted October 9 23 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Still fascinated with the area to to north of the storm and. how it's interacting. Theres a whole area to the north that usually isn't with storms like this. It looks like it's being sucked into the NW side. Yeah... This is what I was saying before. It's already transitioning from Tropical to ET 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 minute ago, Sentinel said: Yeah... This is what I was saying before. It's already transitioning from Tropical to ET In such a warm environment, weird no? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted October 9 Admin Share Posted October 9 36 minutes ago, clm said: Just because one looks out the door and sees no tornadoes does not mean there are none around. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted October 9 Admin Share Posted October 9 2 minutes ago, TLChip said: In such a warm environment, weird no? Everything about this storm is.. Weird. But yes, that is not normal. Granted, it is STILL warm core, however, some of the models actually had this taking place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 9 Author Moderators Share Posted October 9 This would be a big eye if that's whats even going on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 6 minutes ago, TLChip said: In such a warm environment, weird no? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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