Moderators StretchCT Posted October 8 Author Moderators Share Posted October 8 4 minutes ago, ak9971 said: How so? Less weakening like the globals? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger1989 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 It drives the surge right up the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hail_On_Me Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 24 minutes ago, tool483 said: I noticed that too, a TON of lightning in the eye along with it clearing out. tell tale sign of strengthening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AceGikmo Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 (edited) That eye looks fully formed again Edited October 8 by AceGikmo 1 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hail_On_Me Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 8 minutes ago, StretchCT said: worst case scenario for TB is a land fall just to the north. Unimaginable flooding from these 2 outputs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Based on radar it seems like Milton is wanting to get back to a Cat 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 8 Author Moderators Share Posted October 8 (edited) 2 minutes ago, AceGikmo said: That eye is fully formed again This sat looks bad. Much more symmetrical at the core. They upped it to just under Cat 5 but it's probably there now. Edited October 8 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hail_On_Me Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 1 minute ago, StretchCT said: This sat looks bad. Much more symmetrical at the core. Explosiveness. You see the gravity waves in the IR loop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 3 minutes ago, AceGikmo said: That eye looks fully formed again Looks like the last few frames it either picked up speed or is wobbling a bit. Seemed like at times this morning it was almost stationary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 8 Author Moderators Share Posted October 8 HMON 12z v 6z. 112kts vs 81kts just before landfall. 940 mb vs 962. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 8 Author Moderators Share Posted October 8 (edited) HAFS A and B are weaker than 6z runs. So HWRF and HMON stronger, HAFS A&B weaker. HAFS A&B are directly into Tampa, HWRF and HMON just north. Edited October 8 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 8 Author Moderators Share Posted October 8 (edited) Vort message highlights: 924mb, sfmr in of 158mph, out 165mph. Flight level in 140mph, out 167mph. Eye is closed circular 12nm wide Spoiler Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC) Corrected: This observation corrected a previous observation. Transmitted: 8th day of the month at 17:48Z Agency: United States Air Force Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF99-5309 Storm Name: Milton Storm Number & Year: 14 in 2024 (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 14 Observation Number: 35 A. Time of Center Fix: 8th day of the month at 16:53:30Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 22.47N 88.29W B. Center Fix Location: 129 statute miles (208 km) to the NW (314°) from Cancún, Quintana Roo, Mexico. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,453m (8,048ft) at 700mb D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 924mb (27.29 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 10° at 9kts (From the N at 10mph) F. Eye Character: Closed G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 137kts (157.7mph) I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 5 nautical miles to the W (274°) of center fix at 16:52:00Z J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 13° at 122kts (From the NNE at 140.4mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 6 nautical miles to the WNW (284°) of center fix at 16:51:30Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 143kts (164.6mph) M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 6 nautical miles to the ESE (117°) of center fix at 16:56:00Z N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 211° at 145kts (From the SSW at 166.9mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 8 nautical miles to the ESE (120°) of center fix at 16:56:30Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,055m (10,023ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 19°C (66°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,041m (9,977ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 6°C (43°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Levels (surface & flight level centers within 5nm of each other): Surface and 700mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles T. Meteorological Accuracy: 0.5 nautical miles Remarks Section: Maximum Flight Level Wind: 145kts (~ 166.9mph) which was observed 8 nautical miles to the ESE (120°) from the flight level center at 16:56:30Z Edited October 8 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Hello, again, eye of Milt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Snow Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 2 minutes ago, Burr said: It just does not seem right thinking something that could be so devastating is so awesome to look at. Mesmerizing. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post 1816 Posted October 8 Popular Post Share Posted October 8 I just want to say I love the way you keep the name of the thread updated. That is all.🏋♀️🏋 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 If anyone has radar scope tier 2. There’s some amazing satellite imagery from GOES right now animated.mov 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted October 8 Admin Share Posted October 8 4 minutes ago, 1816 said: I just want to say I love the way you keep the name of the thread updated. That is all.🏋♀️🏋 @StretchCT @MaineJay 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Meso IR loop It’s getting swole 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 1 hour ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Ready to ROCK Thought so... sooooo much convection at its core. Yowser! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 4 minutes ago, Poco said: Meso IR loop It’s getting swole 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post WeatherJim Posted October 8 Popular Post Share Posted October 8 20 minutes ago, Jon Snow said: It just does not seem right thinking something that could be so devastating is so awesome to look at. Mesmerizing. I once said that about a girl I dated in college. 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 5 to my eyes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psu1313 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Whereas Helene tried to find the least populated place to strike only to pull an Agnes, Milton’s strategy seems to be to aim for one of the more densely populated areas. Yes, we could have an erc and yes we could see more impact from sheer, but are we really that confident in this storm dropping to a cat 3 at landfall? All that does is help around the margins, but any help would be welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now