TLChip Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 (edited) 33 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Of course it is, and continues to be. One of the issues with RI that takes it up to 5, is that others (not in here) think "oh well, see? told ya! I'm stayin". It was mentioned in here many times. On a Central PA weather site I'm on - a 35year met asked us to inform if friends and family are fleeing or staying - an astonishing number of members said that there's are staying put. It's their funeral I suppose. I have 2 sets of family about 45 mins north of Tampa. They’re bunking down, have provisions stashed. glad my crazy buddy left Naples… he rode out Irma. Edited October 8 by TLChip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 (edited) Two missions in the storm, and both just completed passes. Looks like Milton has ‘topped out’ at ~932mb as the presentation on radar is looking better organized than it was 6 hours ago (at the end of the ERC) Edited October 8 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 (edited) Definitely has stopped rising pressure Edited October 8 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Plenty of heat along the path Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Eye continues to clear. Watch out, here we go again… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Hunter doing some extra research on the southwest side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 3 minutes ago, Burr said: Eye continues to clear. Watch out, here we go again… Agreed, eye will be clear again before too long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Latest micro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Sent the track guidance image to my uncle in St. Pete. He and his neighbors have decided to stay in town. “Appreciate your concerns. I get that info, too. my neighbors around me are all staying. All of my friends Geoff's and Peter's neighbors are all staying. I'm at 39 feet above sealevel. I'm not going to get impacted by the expected storm water surge, I am more worried about any damage the wind might do. I've got a new roof.” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 5 minutes ago, Burr said: Sent the track guidance image to my uncle in St. Pete. He and his neighbors have decided to stay in town. “Appreciate your concerns. I get that info, too. my neighbors around me are all staying. All of my friends Geoff's and Peter's neighbors are all staying. I'm at 39 feet above sealevel. I'm not going to get impacted by the expected storm water surge, I am more worried about any damage the wind might do. I've got a new roof.” I just don't understand why folks try to ride these storms out. They may all make ok but why? 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 4 minutes ago, Burr said: Sent the track guidance image to my uncle in St. Pete. He and his neighbors have decided to stay in town. “Appreciate your concerns. I get that info, too. my neighbors around me are all staying. All of my friends Geoff's and Peter's neighbors are all staying. I'm at 39 feet above sealevel. I'm not going to get impacted by the expected storm water surge, I am more worried about any damage the wind might do. I've got a new roof.” Just now, Grace said: I just don't understand why folks try to ride these storms out. They may all make ok but why? And I sure don't wish them ill - I also don't want to hear them bemoaning their fate when things go sideways. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Grace said: I just don't understand why folks try to ride these storms out. They may all make ok but why? More from him… ”A new report here says it might get knocked down yo a Cat 1 when it hits land. I appreciate it. But I'm 77 years old. I'll make the right decisions.” Me: “Who says that? I’ll bet you $1 it will not be a Cat 1 when it makes landfall. There’s no data to support that guidance. That’s just bad info.” Uncle: “The NHC. Was on the radio. Yeah, the guy said that the wind shear is going to knock this thing down considerably when it near shore.” So I sent him the actual NHC info, showing a major hurricane at landfall, and the snippet of the discussion. Told him it’s his decision, but I want it to be based on accurate forecasting… Edited October 8 by Burr 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 5 minutes ago, Grace said: I just don't understand why folks try to ride these storms out. They may all make ok but why? Just having to deal with the power outage and being uncomfortable is reason enough to go for me. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 2 minutes ago, Burr said: More from him… ”A new report here says it might get knocked down yo a Cat 1 when it hits land. I appreciate it. But I'm 77 years old. I'll make the right decisions.” Me: “Who says that? I’ll bet you $1 it will not be a Cat 1 when it makes landfall. There’s no data to support that guidance. That’s just bad info.” Uncle: “The NHC. Was on the radio. Yeah, the guy said that the wind shear is going to knock this thing down considerably when it near shore.” So I sent him the actual NHC info, showing a major hurricane at landfall, and the snippet of the discussion. Told him it’s his decision, but I want it to be based on accurate forecasting… The perils of the modern times where anyone can say anything and get heard and believed 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Just now, 1816 said: Just having to deal with the power outage and being uncomfortable is reason enough to go for me. That’s what I told him! Why intentionally put yourself through that? He says they will be shutting down the sewage plants, but he’s still staying. 🤢🤮 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Just now, 1816 said: The perils of the modern times where anyone can say anything and get heard and believed Or disbelieved as the case may be 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 My golf pro at the local course, and his brother, have a place FIVE miles inland from St Pete. The brother evac'd 3 days ago (to friends in WI). His reasoning was that "this place will be a total mess, irrespective of whether we sustain actual damage. The loss of power and general major nuisance of clean up is enough to send me North". Like his brother (club pro who stays here until Nov anyway) they will return after the dust settles (as it were) 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Both hunter missions entering the eye. From opposite directions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted October 8 Admin Share Posted October 8 10 minutes ago, 1816 said: The perils of the modern times where anyone can say anything and get heard and believed No shortage of "X"perts out there. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Latest passes. One plane stuck around in the eye for some R&R Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 8 Author Moderators Share Posted October 8 (edited) Burr is on top of recon. I'll say that it looks like the bleeding has stopped. Eye is still a pretty tight one at 14nm. Mission 13 saw 932 then 931 mb. Mission 14 saw 930. Waiting for updated vort messages from the last pass. Edited October 8 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 I think it tried to clear an eye for one frame of the Sat. presentation then quickly obscured again. Prolly on the verge of breaking it open all over again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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