Moderators StretchCT Posted October 7 Author Moderators Share Posted October 7 (edited) First Last Since I buried myself, here is the link again. https://smn.conagua.gob.mx/es/observando-el-tiempo/radares-meteorologicos-separador/visor-radares-v3 Edited October 7 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 6 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Shared by our buddy Renken To piggy back on that... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 7 Author Moderators Share Posted October 7 18z GFS still not big on weakening before landfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Recon has 898 mb, but that may not be lowest pressure. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Just now, Hoosier said: Recon has 898 mb, but that may not be lowest pressure. SMH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 7 Author Moderators Share Posted October 7 Another first for me... one HDOB at the center. 🤔🥴 That HDOB was 896mb 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 (edited) It’s going to peak at some point but I’m not ruling out some restrengthening over this heat potential Edited October 7 by Poco 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 I can't even comprehend this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 7 Author Moderators Share Posted October 7 Just now, StormfanaticInd said: I can't even comprehend this Maybe it's turning into a black hole. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Just now, StretchCT said: Maybe it's turning into a black hole. Lmao Hurricane Singularity 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 3 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: I can't even comprehend this So perhaps 892 mb or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hail_On_Me Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 34 minutes ago, Poco said: The entire thing is pushing off the scales now Bro that eyewall?!?!?! I don't remember seeing anything close to this. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 TT is giving me a 503 error now. I’m going to be on a flight for the next few hours. Doors closed, logging off. Enjoy the tracking! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Overlay the lightning on the RAMMB site - INCREDIBLE - STUNNING - Running out of superlatives https://col.st/6eGi1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: So perhaps 892 mb or so Shoot...at the rate it's going...in the 880's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 7 Author Moderators Share Posted October 7 Should be hitting diurnal cycle soon too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Just now, Organicforecasting said: Shoot...at the rate it's going...in the 880's. Concur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 I think we are witnessing history here. Like seriously 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 7 Author Moderators Share Posted October 7 eye is 4 nm wide 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hail_On_Me Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 2 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: I think we are witnessing history here. Like seriously Very possible given the current structure and current pressure. Wilma holds the title for pressure at 882mb. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 7 Author Moderators Share Posted October 7 Vort message highlights: 899mb, closed circular 4nm wide eye, no sfmr this mission, flight winds in 155mph, flight winds out 185mph. Temp inside the eye is a balmy 27C. I don't recall seeing 27C (81F) inside an eye before. Outside the eye its 13c. Quite a difference in temp. Usually its like 13 to 19c. No mention of missing the eye. Spoiler Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC) Transmitted: 7th day of the month at 22:41Z Agency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF) Storm Name: Milton Storm Number & Year: 14 in 2024 (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 10 Observation Number: 03 A. Time of Center Fix: 7th day of the month at 22:20:04Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 21.86N 90.67W B. Center Fix Location: 93 statute miles (149 km) to the NW (312°) from Mérida, Yucatán, Mexico. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 899mb (26.55 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 220° at 24kts (From the SW at 28mph) F. Eye Character: Closed G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 4 nautical miles H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: Not Available I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound (Undecoded): NA J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 160° at 135kts (From the SSE at 155.4mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 4 nautical miles to the ENE (58°) of center fix at 22:18:51Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: Not Available M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound (Undecoded): NA N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 322° at 161kts (From the NW at 185.3mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 4 nautical miles to the WSW (237°) of center fix at 22:21:09Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 13°C (55°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,054m (10,020ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 27°C (81°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,030m (9,941ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 16°C (61°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Level: 700mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy / Meteorological Accuracy (Undecoded): 0.01 / NA Remarks Section: Maximum Flight Level Wind: 161kts (~ 185.3mph) which was observed 4 nautical miles to the WSW (237°) from the flight level center at 22:21:09Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted October 7 Admin Share Posted October 7 Just now, StretchCT said: Vort message highlights: 899mb, closed circular 4nm wide eye, no sfmr this mission, flight winds in 155mph, flight winds out 185mph. Temp inside the eye is a balmy 27C. I don't recall seeing 27C (81F) inside an eye before. Outside the eye its 13c. Quite a difference in temp. Usually its like 13 to 19c. No mention of missing the eye. Reveal hidden contents Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC) Transmitted: 7th day of the month at 22:41Z Agency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF) Storm Name: Milton Storm Number & Year: 14 in 2024 (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 10 Observation Number: 03 A. Time of Center Fix: 7th day of the month at 22:20:04Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 21.86N 90.67W B. Center Fix Location: 93 statute miles (149 km) to the NW (312°) from Mérida, Yucatán, Mexico. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 899mb (26.55 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 220° at 24kts (From the SW at 28mph) F. Eye Character: Closed G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 4 nautical miles H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: Not Available I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound (Undecoded): NA J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 160° at 135kts (From the SSE at 155.4mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 4 nautical miles to the ENE (58°) of center fix at 22:18:51Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: Not Available M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound (Undecoded): NA N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 322° at 161kts (From the NW at 185.3mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 4 nautical miles to the WSW (237°) of center fix at 22:21:09Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 13°C (55°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,054m (10,020ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 27°C (81°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,030m (9,941ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 16°C (61°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Level: 700mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy / Meteorological Accuracy (Undecoded): 0.01 / NA Remarks Section: Maximum Flight Level Wind: 161kts (~ 185.3mph) which was observed 4 nautical miles to the WSW (237°) from the flight level center at 22:21:09Z 4nm!? Insane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 16 minutes ago, StretchCT said: 18z GFS still not big on weakening before landfall. One of the weather channels was mentioning this afternoon about some cold air coming in on the southern part of the storm, causing a look of some decay there, but said it could be a double - edged sword depending on timing, if it occurs. Could cause some explosiveness with the cold/warm air dynamics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 1 minute ago, StretchCT said: Vort message highlights: 899mb, closed circular 4nm wide eye, no sfmr this mission, flight winds in 155mph, flight winds out 185mph. Temp inside the eye is a balmy 27C. I don't recall seeing 27C (81F) inside an eye before. Outside the eye its 13c. Quite a difference in temp. Usually its like 13 to 19c. No mention of missing the eye. Reveal hidden contents Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC) Transmitted: 7th day of the month at 22:41Z Agency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF) Storm Name: Milton Storm Number & Year: 14 in 2024 (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 10 Observation Number: 03 A. Time of Center Fix: 7th day of the month at 22:20:04Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 21.86N 90.67W B. Center Fix Location: 93 statute miles (149 km) to the NW (312°) from Mérida, Yucatán, Mexico. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 899mb (26.55 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 220° at 24kts (From the SW at 28mph) F. Eye Character: Closed G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 4 nautical miles H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: Not Available I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound (Undecoded): NA J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 160° at 135kts (From the SSE at 155.4mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 4 nautical miles to the ENE (58°) of center fix at 22:18:51Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: Not Available M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound (Undecoded): NA N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 322° at 161kts (From the NW at 185.3mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 4 nautical miles to the WSW (237°) of center fix at 22:21:09Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 13°C (55°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,054m (10,020ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 27°C (81°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,030m (9,941ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 16°C (61°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Level: 700mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy / Meteorological Accuracy (Undecoded): 0.01 / NA Remarks Section: Maximum Flight Level Wind: 161kts (~ 185.3mph) which was observed 4 nautical miles to the WSW (237°) from the flight level center at 22:21:09Z They were in the eye...just not the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted October 7 Author Moderators Share Posted October 7 Can you even have calm in a 4 mile wide eye? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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