Moderators StretchCT Posted September 11 Author Moderators Share Posted September 11 Closer in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted September 11 Share Posted September 11 Landfall looks to be somewhere between Morgan City and Dulac in the next several hours. Center of eye about 50 miles off shore but the NE quandrant is working its way up now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 11 Author Moderators Share Posted September 11 The 981 was extrapolated so take any decrease with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 11 Author Moderators Share Posted September 11 Basically hurricane conditions at Eugene Island, but only a 2ft surge. Lucky its dead low tide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 11 Author Moderators Share Posted September 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 11 Author Moderators Share Posted September 11 Eugene island with 4’ surge and 78kt gusts. Winds aloft in the mid 90s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 11 Author Moderators Share Posted September 11 (edited) Other side of the storm at about 5000 feet Edited September 11 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 11 Author Moderators Share Posted September 11 (edited) 400 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024 ...FRANCINE BECOMES A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AS THE EYE APPROACHES THE LOUISIANA COAST... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING ONTO THE LOUISIANA COAST... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.2N 91.5W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES Edited September 11 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psu1313 Posted September 11 Share Posted September 11 We got a bit lucky. That dry air really saved this from being a bit worse. I assume people are still consuming hurricanes on bourbon st., right? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted September 11 Admin Share Posted September 11 34 minutes ago, StretchCT said: 400 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024 ...FRANCINE BECOMES A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AS THE EYE APPROACHES THE LOUISIANA COAST... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING ONTO THE LOUISIANA COAST... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.2N 91.5W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES Imagine another 12 hrs over water. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BossaNova Posted September 12 Share Posted September 12 1 hour ago, StretchCT said: Eugene island with 4’ surge and 78kt gusts That could have been ugly (and maybe it was?). This close.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 12 Share Posted September 12 (edited) some radar/wind gusts. The best I saw at the shoreline was 89mph gust at 5:33pm eastern time. That's a huge wind. And also 79-81 knots (91-93mph) wind gust offshore Edited September 12 by Chinook 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 12 Author Moderators Share Posted September 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 12 Author Moderators Share Posted September 12 Looking back, two models came really close to nailing the landfall 7 days out. Only the timing was off. Gotta say the ICON has been pretty good this season. Euro op/EPS, GFS and CMC all had it either not forming or weak and running into Mexico. NAVY and JMA had something at least 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 12 Author Moderators Share Posted September 12 Not only did the ICON and AIFS get it 7 days out, but they were consistent in it hitting LA. This is 0z Thu, which is 8pm edt/7cdt which was right around landfall. Both had it hitting later on Thursday so the earlier runs have it in the GOM still, but they do bring it into LA on those early runs. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted Friday at 08:37 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:37 PM 23 hours ago, StretchCT said: Looking back, two models came really close to nailing the landfall 7 days out. Only the timing was off. Gotta say the ICON has been pretty good this season. Euro op/EPS, GFS and CMC all had it either not forming or weak and running into Mexico. NAVY and JMA had something at least That's interesting. For me, I don't typically look at the German ICON for any particular reason for the 3-5 day range. But I could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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