Moderators StretchCT Posted August 5 Author Moderators Share Posted August 5 Was thinking it might get to two, but 85 is currently the forecast. INIT 05/0300Z 28.6N 84.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 05/1200Z 29.8N 83.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 06/0000Z 30.8N 83.0W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND 36H 06/1200Z 31.5N 82.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 48H 07/0000Z 31.6N 81.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...OVER WATER 60H 07/1200Z 31.7N 80.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 08/0000Z 32.1N 79.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 09/0000Z 33.0N 79.8W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 120H 10/0000Z 34.7N 79.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND Seems to be just wobbling along, now headed more ENE than N as in the 11pm update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted August 5 Author Moderators Share Posted August 5 (edited) NAM3k goes easy on the SE with only 10-15 inches, but widespread Going out to 84, the NAM has up to 26" but most of the double digit rainfall is closer to the coast. Graphcast from 12z is less enthusiastic. This was the model touted recently. 12z runs Edited August 5 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted August 5 Author Moderators Share Posted August 5 Lightning in eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 OK, how has the thread creator not changed the title to Debbie Downer? C’mon man. I get it’s off season, but still. This puppy may only go from the Fla/ Geo border to the SC/NC border in a time loop of about 3 days! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 10 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Lightning in eyewall Good thing this won’t have much time to go crazy. Hopefully it doesn’t strengthen much more overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted August 5 Admin Share Posted August 5 9 minutes ago, Snow____ said: Good thing this won’t have much time to go crazy. Hopefully it doesn’t strengthen much more overnight This has Charlie Vibes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 3 hours ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: OK, how has the thread creator not changed the title to Debbie Downer? C’mon man. I get it’s off season, but still. This puppy may only go from the Fla/ Geo border to the SC/NC border in a time loop of about 3 days! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Debby is currently making landfall near the Horseshoe Beach/Steinhatchee area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 I guess it goes in the books as a cat 1 for this landfall. I expected more out of it so I guess they don't all blow up like crazy, just most of them. I can't wrap my head around how this thing managed to find some dry air in the middle of the Gulf of mexico. Needle in a haystack stuff. At the end of the day, it doesn't matter because Debbie is going to be one for the history books just for the flooding. It's going to destroy coastal GA and SC just with biblical flooding it looks like unfortunately. And who knows what other surprises down the road. And we are just getting started. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted August 5 Author Moderators Share Posted August 5 (edited) First one in a while that didn't overperform. Forecast at one point was to reach 90mph. Hurricane Debby Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 700 AM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024 ...DEBBY MAKES LANDFALL NEAR STEINHATCHEE FLORIDA... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE IN PORTIONS OF FLORIDA AND MAJOR FLOODING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES... Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations and Doppler radar images from Tallahassee indicate that the center of Hurricane Debby has made landfall around 700 AM EDT (1100 UTC) near Steinhatchee, Florida in the Florida Big Bend. Data from the Hurricane Hunters indicate that the minimum pressure at landfall was around 979 mb (28.91 in) and the maximum winds were estimated to be around 80 mph (130 km/h). SUMMARY OF 700 AM EDT...1100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.7N 83.5W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W of STEINHATCHEE FLORIDA ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES Edited August 5 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted August 5 Author Moderators Share Posted August 5 8 hours ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: OK, how has the thread creator not changed the title to Debbie Downer? C’mon man. I get it’s off season, but still. This puppy may only go from the Fla/ Geo border to the SC/NC border in a time loop of about 3 days! I was hoping it hit Destin or Deland so then I could say Debby does Destin. If Debby were to stay a min trop storm then I like the Debby Downer. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted August 5 Author Moderators Share Posted August 5 Animated satellite imagery.mp4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 12 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Animated satellite imagery.mp4 716.42 kB · 0 downloads If she had another 12-18 hours over water I’d think we’d be looking at a different situation. People are going to be caught off guard since it only achieved Cat 1 status and underestimate the amount of rainfall and surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 What a unique, dangerous setup for flooding. A tropical system trapped between a high to the west and the never ending Bermuda high to the east. Nowhere to go. (Wipes shaving cream from his face and says “ It would be a disaster of epic proportions. It would be The Perfect Storm”.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 27 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: What a unique, dangerous setup for flooding. A tropical system trapped between a high to the west and the never ending Bermuda high to the east. Nowhere to go. (Wipes shaving cream from his face and says “ It would be a disaster of epic proportions. It would be The Perfect Storm”.) Yeah seeing forecasts of up to 30 inches of rain for Noethern Georgia and South Carolina. Crazy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 3 hours ago, StretchCT said: I was hoping it hit Destin or Deland so then I could say Debby does Destin. If Debby were to stay a min trop storm then I like the Debby Downer. Debby Does Daytona?? Close enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Currently cutting through Florida now from Jacksonville. Sisters flight was cancelled and she was going to drive to Atlanta and get a flight out of there. Our flight didn’t leave until 9:49 tonight but we didn’t want to wait all day for our flight to potentially be cancelled anyway so we decided to drive home. Met up with my sister and we’re gonna drop her off in Atlanta and then keep it pushing back to Cincy. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Just now, Snow____ said: Yeah seeing forecasts of up to 30 inches of rain for Noethern Georgia and South Carolina. Crazy. Not as familiar with Georgia and Carolina’s , but most coastal areas don’t handle water too well. Just got back from 2nd OC, MD trip, and heavy drizzle causes flooding there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 37 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: What a unique, dangerous setup for flooding. A tropical system trapped between a high to the west and the never ending Bermuda high to the east. Nowhere to go. (Wipes shaving cream from his face and says “ It would be a disaster of epic proportions. It would be The Perfect Storm”.) In my mind, the perfect storm burned him out so he left meteorology and started hitting golf balls. That's the backstory of where shooter mcgavin came from. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 6 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Not as familiar with Georgia and Carolina’s , but most coastal areas don’t handle water too well. Just got back from 2nd OC, MD trip, and heavy drizzle causes flooding there. That part of the southeast coast is basically a swamp. They built it on top of a swamp. And so it handles 20 inches of rain about how you would expect from a swamp. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 I’m glad we were leaving today anyway because where we were near Brunswick Georgia it looks like it’s been raining heavy for hours there and it won’t stop anytime soon. I would love to see a radar with qpf amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted August 5 Author Moderators Share Posted August 5 22 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Debby Does Daytona?? Close enough. Sounds like a spring break movie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted August 5 Author Moderators Share Posted August 5 11am radar - wouldn't upload earlier. Still won't upload Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 (edited) Currently right here and it’s just raining lakes worths of the water and it looks like I’ll be in the deluge for quite a while. Edited August 5 by Snow____ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted August 5 Author Moderators Share Posted August 5 Try the noon radar - ahhh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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