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Hurricane Debby | peak 80mph 979 mb | downgraded, now a Debby Downer


StretchCT

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43 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

Wow, the cone shifted west as it comes north. Now Debby Does DC. Debby Does Dover. Debby Can’t Do Dubois , can she? 

There's a Dallas PA 😆

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1 hour ago, StretchCT said:

There's a Dallas PA 😆

I was joking about Dubois, but man it is in play.  Wait till UT sees this. Track may be west  of central PA, which puts H-Burg in the cone, and might be on the bad side of the winds. Lotta rain in PA today also. Hopefully 2+ day gap hopefully from the heavier stuff helps. 

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3 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

I was joking about Dubois, but man it is in play.  Wait till UT sees this. Track may be west  of central PA, which puts H-Burg in the cone, and might be on the bad side of the winds. Lotta rain in PA today also. Hopefully 2+ day gap hopefully from the heavier stuff helps. 

The rainfall rates this afternoon were insane. We received about 2 inches of rain in short order and I’m not sure what we got with the 2nd round. Looks like I am going to see Debby up close and personal on my drive through West Virginia, Virginia and North Carolina on Friday. That will make for an exciting ride. 😣 Deb never optimized the winds, but she is an absolute qpf machine so far in the Southeast.

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  • The title was changed to Hurricane Debby | peak 80mph 979 mb | 60mph 995 mb restrengthening offshore
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Well it doesn't look impressive to me, but hurricane hunters found 50kt winds, so they've bumped it to 60mph. Pressure down to 995. 

CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-subregional-Carolinas-02-17_36Z-20240807_radar-map_noBar-26-1n-10-100.thumb.gif.d4c60b114fbc95e54c65f1494776e351.gif

Tropical Storm Debby Intermediate Advisory Number 21A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042024
200 PM EDT Wed Aug 07 2024

...DEBBY STILL MOVING SLOWLY...
...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.4N 79.1W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Some strengthening is possible today or tonight before the center of 
Debby reaches the coast of South Carolina.  Weakening is forecast to 
begin on Thursday after the center moves inland.  Debby is expected 
to merge with a frontal boundary over the U.S. Mid-Atlantic states 
on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).
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On 8/6/2024 at 6:52 PM, StretchCT said:

Flooding in FL coverage

 

The woman at 2:44 is in a very dangerous situation.  She's standing on wet grass.  She won't be able to hold her footing, especially if she's been up all night.  She needs to move to the concrete where she will have better footing and the wind won't push her too hard.

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Rainfall for the NEMA doesn't look terrible anymore.  Weaker storm, more time over land, faster moving...

models-2024080812-f060.qpf_acc-imp.us_ne.thumb.gif.dbc7a5ce5419e98bda5506f00aa57f7d.gif

 

Euro has one of the stronger gust predictions

floop-ecmwf_full-2024080812.sfcgustmax_006h-imp.us_ne.gif.a21f51ed13a2c0b1db69158c02ae300f.gif

 

NAM at its height

image.thumb.png.16aef5e8e1903da43b21870bd4bed292.pngimage.thumb.png.d94788626faccd734f65b734fb95c4c1.png

RFFS

image.gif.d348e6d2d36c543a41ea9842830ab320.gif

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  • The title was changed to Hurricane Debby | peak 80mph 979 mb | 40mph 997 mb inland
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Looks like a tornado headed towards Jamestown. Getting a little spicy in places even where the precip radar looks mostly empty.

Screenshot_20240808_161511_RadarScope.jpg

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Posted (edited)

This one spot in DE has been getting pounded the last three hours. 7.3” of rain in 3 hrs😳

IMG_3155.thumb.png.0068acc2e9c3a3d25700c6d79f663475.pngIMG_3155.thumb.png.0068acc2e9c3a3d25700c6d79f663475.png

Screenshot 2024-08-08 at 8.08.31 PM.png

Edited by StretchCT
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39 minutes ago, StretchCT said:

This one spot in DE has been getting pounded the last three hours. 7.3” of rain in 3 hrs😳

CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-local-New_Jersey-comp_radar-23_40Z-20240808_map_noBar-41-2n-10-100.thumb.gif.e7f9a31b1d3b0a3004919cd61a0fc510.gif

From 17:00 to 23:40

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  • The title was changed to Hurricane Debby | peak 80mph 979 mb | 30mph 1001mb depressed

Man, central PA and NY getting douched, here in CNJ we had one small tropical downpour around 7:30am this morning and has been breezy and cloudy ever since. Looks like we are going to miss out on the biblical rains and even the severe storms seem to be becoming more scattered later this evening instead of one large band moving through. Supposed to end around 1am tomorrow and be 89 and sunny all day tomorrow!

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  • The title was changed to Hurricane Debby | peak 80mph 979 mb | extratropical
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Some wunderground precip for the Williamsport area. There's one over 5" since midnight. 

image.png.c86dbe3b127a3ff2dd6be8faf1eec314.png

Seems very localized though. Wider view has a few  3 or 4"  totals.

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I think I had around 4 inches in South Boston, VA, but it was strung over 3-4 days. My parents just north of Harrisonburg, VA, had a little over 4", and most of that came last night. They needed all they could get though, because that 4" is probably more than they got the whole rest of the summer.

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Posted (edited)

Went down to check on the boat, it seemed alright.  Wind blowing pretty good, but was even windier atop the hill at Home Depot in Trumbull.

BDR gusted to 49mph.  Debris and small branches littering the roads now.

Screenshot2024-08-09at3_08_42PM.png.23ba343765a649a93cd3eeb17947bd76.png

 

 

 

Edited by StretchCT
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  • The title was changed to Hurricane Debby | peak 80mph 979 mb | downgraded, now a Debby Downer
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On 8/4/2024 at 11:27 PM, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

OK, how has the thread creator not changed the title to Debbie Downer? C’mon man. I get it’s off season, but still. This puppy may only go from the Fla/ Geo border to the SC/NC border in a time loop of about 3 days! 

Now that Debby is downgraded.... title adjusted

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Posted (edited)

"Official" totals in Williamsport area, though the 11 is out of line.

image.thumb.png.10fe16cf879e6220ce4ee5c2299c6962.png

Closer in and another data point pops up more in line with surrounding area. 6" is nothing to sneeze at.

image.thumb.png.61f820283851da297abbeb81d9db2003.png

Edited by StretchCT
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