Hoosier Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Could take the minute to actually look this up, but I think this is the first remnant tropical system to track into the Ohio Valley/Lakes since 2020 or perhaps 2021. In any case, it's been some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Just speaking for my area... if the models don't back off in the coming hours, then this is shaping up to be the most significant impact from a remnant tropical system since Ike in 2008. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 7 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: Interesting about the wind gusts. Makes me think of Ike Yea pretty similar track. Was an awesome experience that day. A bit scary since I was a lot younger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 00z HRRR drops 6" here. Will insert obvious comment. Too bad we're not talking snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted July 9 Author Share Posted July 9 0z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 0z 3knam is certainly something sheesh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Cancel the flood watch for my house (there wasn't one). Perhaps SPC will change the tornado outlook to have a wider 5% tornado risk for the Ohio Valley. Or maybe something different like 10% tornado risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Hmmmmm..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 (edited) Heaviest swath of rain setting up to the northwest of my area, which means a slightly elevated spin-up threat for MBY. Can’t wait for the rain though. Solid inch coming. Much needed here. Edited July 9 by NWOhioChaser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Tornado driven enhanced risk now for southern Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 (edited) Got a feeling we are going to see several tornadoes today but should be ef1 or lower Edited July 9 by StormfanaticInd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 21 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Got a feeling we are going to see several tornadoes today but should be ef1 or lower I agree. Also think Spc needs to expand the slight risk to at least Dayton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Interesting look on the radar now. There are some echoes moving southwest around Peoria, while the larger precipitation shield lifts northeastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 New outlook mentions how tornado threat could last well into the night for southern Indiana/Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 3 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: New outlook mentions how tornado threat could last well into the night for southern Indiana/Ohio It is essentially a Gulf coast atmosphere in place tonight, and nocturnal tornadoes are quite common near the Gulf coast. So yeah, won't have the degree of near surface stabilization overnight that we'd usually see in the region. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Noticing some breaks in the clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 The heavier precip bands on radar seem north of where much of the guidance had depicted, so anybody riding the northern edge of the heavy band on the models may have reason to think the outcome will be on the wetter side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 Yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 New tornado watch just issued until midnight eastern. Pretty impressive probabilities for low end tornados included. Spoiler URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 516 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Illinois Southern Indiana Kentucky Southwest Ohio Middle Tennessee * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Several tornadoes likely Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...A very moist environment and the remnants of Beryl, and its strong low-level winds, will be favorable for rotating storms capable of tornadoes, and possibly localized wind damage. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles north northwest of Paducah KY to 15 miles east northeast of Lexington KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 9 Meteorologist Share Posted July 9 I slept through the outbreak yesterday because I've been on midnights so I'm not exactly sure what it looked like prior to the outbreak, but seeing a lot of sunshine/mid-level drying in the 'warm sector' today. Not a scenario like Ike, but could be a bad situation for different reasons for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 9 Meteorologist Share Posted July 9 That's quite a bit of clearing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 (edited) 12 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: That's quite a bit of clearing Yeah it’s cleared up considerably within the last 30 mins. Sun is out almost full force now Edited July 9 by OxfordOh_ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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