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Hurricane Beryl | 935mb165mph peak| postropical


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44 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

I think people are going to be surprised by the wind impacts for what was officially a lower end category 1 at landfall.

Gloria was like that for my area when she hit.  85 mph winds but did a lot more damage than expected

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1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

I think people are going to be surprised by the wind impacts for what was officially a lower end category 1 at landfall.

Pretty widespread gusts over 60mph.  Pretty far inland and not where I'd expect 72-75mph gusts. 

image.png.c017c6a16b61f175a7cf5503722e8715.png

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  • The title was changed to Hurricane Beryl | 935mb165mph peak| 986mb 65mph inland
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Conroe is about 35 miles north of Houston

Tropical Storm Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022024
1200 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND 
FLOODING RAINFALL PERSISTING OVER EASTERN TEXAS...
...1200 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE...

Montgomery County Airport in Conroe (KCXO) recently reported a wind 
gust to 81 mph (130 km/h).

This is the last hourly position estimate for Beryl.  The next 
information will be the regularly scheduled 1 PM CDT Intermediate 
advisory.


SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.3N 95.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Blake
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Posted (edited)

Can teach a lesson on how to spot the tornado today.

Screenshot2024-07-08at3_56_57PM.thumb.png.2818722826ba23d5dcaf18026162d8d8.png

This one below has 91mph toward radar, 50+ away from radar. And a hook

Screenshot2024-07-08at4_06_47PM.thumb.png.7d9a84bbc5345f9c8d0b50beb84c3d18.png

Two hooks.

Screenshot 2024-07-08 at 4.05.01 PM.png

Edited by StretchCT
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10 minutes ago, StretchCT said:

Can teach a lesson on how to spot the tornado today.

Screenshot2024-07-08at3_56_57PM.thumb.png.2818722826ba23d5dcaf18026162d8d8.png

 

 

Screenshot 2024-07-08 at 4.05.01 PM.png

SPC mentions Beryl's rem passing resulting in a lower level Tor threat for us as well. Depending on track. And, in my estimation, the contribution of what I dub a "home grown warm core" currently riding the W periphery of the Atl Ridge. 😉 

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Posted (edited)
12 minutes ago, StretchCT said:

Can teach a lesson on how to spot the tornado today.

Screenshot2024-07-08at3_56_57PM.thumb.png.2818722826ba23d5dcaf18026162d8d8.png

This one below has 91mph toward radar, 50+ away from radar. And a hook

Screenshot2024-07-08at4_06_47PM.thumb.png.7d9a84bbc5345f9c8d0b50beb84c3d18.png

Two hooks.

Screenshot 2024-07-08 at 4.05.01 PM.png

Always my concern when these tropical systems go inland. The flooding rains suck but there's always the potential for big numbers of twisters. It doesn't have to be a f5 to ruin your life. 

Edited by 1816
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59 going inbound, 

Screenshot2024-07-08at4_14_12PM.thumb.png.7c5f42e9babba1f9d867593c382ab447.png

75 going outbound. 

Screenshot2024-07-08at4_13_53PM.thumb.png.1133f2eaf882119f4ec47baeab8708eb.png

Correlation coefficient worked for this one.  Its a hard one to use in a hurricane since so much is getting blown around already.

Screenshot2024-07-08at4_15_06PM.thumb.png.3dd582a94ec70d0fbde6ae23c9679126.png

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Posted (edited)

How cool does it need to be not to be warm-core anymore?

 

IMG_4139.jpeg

Edited by Burr
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8 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

Beryl, the mid-lat Long Wave and the so called Home Spun Atlantic cyclone 

How they play will, to me, be intriguing. 

image.thumb.png.02e053265aab4e09510ea61432795e0e.png

Anti-cyclone Bermuda high?

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24 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

Beryl, the mid-lat Long Wave and the so called Home Spun Atlantic cyclone 

How they play will, to me, be intriguing. 

image.thumb.png.02e053265aab4e09510ea61432795e0e.png

As a layperson, I have no technical knowledge, but have been watching this possible interaction for a bit now. I've systems push each other way and others draw closer to the other, so this should be interesting at least.

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