Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 The Air Force hunter that is in the storm now seeing continued slow weakening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1100 AM EDT Wed Jul 03 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS JAMAICA WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS... ...EYE OF BERYL EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 76.1W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM ESE OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 26 minutes ago, Burr said: BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1100 AM EDT Wed Jul 03 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS JAMAICA WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS... ...EYE OF BERYL EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 76.1W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM ESE OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES Weakening but still packing a powerful punch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Lots of lightning in the E to N side of the core. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 36 minutes ago, 1816 said: Ouch for Texas. I am impatiently waiting to see where it goes from there. This is taking too long. GFS has it heading slowly NNW at landfall in Texas. Euro has it stalling east of Mexico now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 (edited) 48 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Lots of lightning in the E to N side of the core. Very cold cloud tops north of the coc. Going to scrape just south of Kingston… Edited July 3 by Burr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 10 minutes ago, Burr said: GFS has it heading slowly NNW at landfall in Texas. Euro has it stalling east of Mexico now. I want to see if it gets scooped up after that and headed this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 1 minute ago, 1816 said: I want to see if it gets scooped up after that and headed this way See if mj can cue up Tom petty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 12 minutes ago, Burr said: Very cold cloud tops north of the coc. Going to scrape just south of Kingston… Jamaica has got some pretty decently high terrain. A scrape should have an effect. Emphasize should. With Beryl, I wouldn't be surprised if once it's clear it goes right back to beast mode. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 This looks derived but its a radar site https://www.weatherworld.com/radar-loop-int/jm/montego+bay.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 This is from Cuba http://www.insmet.cu/Radar/05Pilon/plnMAXw01a.gif 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Tough time for Jamaica's radar to be out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Port Antonio up to 60mph 66mph up in the mountains outside of Kingston 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 3 hours ago, StretchCT said: Royal Jamaica Yacht Club, located in Kingston on the S side of Jamaica,w ebcam and weather station Not looking to bad at 1pm edt. 12 local. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted July 3 Admin Share Posted July 3 37 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Lots of lightning in the E to N side of the core. The last frame shows the lighting starting to wrap around the core more noticeably and increasing in intensity. Additionally, the Equatorward (South and East side) outflow appears robust. Beryl is showing significant resilience. This could be due to the strong core it developed before encountering the shear. If this core reaches the Gulf of Mexico, I am concerned about the potential impact, especially since the shear is expected to decrease. If it bypasses the Yucatan, I worry for Southeast Texas. Houston, Corpus Christi, and the surrounding areas should closely monitor this situation. It could be quite catastrophic. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 (edited) Double-barrel! (not actually, the second plume is just a plume, no rotation, but posting anyway) Edited July 3 by Burr 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Sentinel said: Additionally, the Equatorward (South and East side) outflow appears robust. Beryl is showing significant resilience. You can really see that filling in the loop above. Dry air still an issue, but it is diminishing on the SE side. Edited July 3 by Burr 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 20A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 200 PM EDT Wed Jul 03 2024 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ABOUT TO SPREAD INTO JAMAICA AS THE EYE OF BERYL APPROACHES... ...EYE OF BERYL EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 76.9W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM S OF KINGSTON JAMAICA ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM ESE OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...225 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 (edited) 2pm radar. The eyewall likely to miss Kingston and the surrounding area. Surge should still be interesting. Not seeing too much action on the live cam. (edit, there is some tree movement now) Edited July 3 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Bimini is starting to go on one of the boats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Kingston Harbour has a cam too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Now those two cams are down. This one is still going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Eyewall just reaching Clarendon Parish, Portland Point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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