Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Sorry, Jamaica… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 North side showing some of the coldest cloudtops yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Weakening flag is on, but numbers are back up to 6.3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 72.7W ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted July 3 Admin Share Posted July 3 1 hour ago, Burr said: Sorry, Jamaica… Wow. This thing is a beast. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 2 minutes ago, Sentinel said: Wow. This thing is a beast. It is not going gentle into the night… 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 jeeeez-oww 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted July 3 Admin Share Posted July 3 Microwave imagery suggests open eye to the south. Seems like she's moving so fast, she's not even stirring up any cooler water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 This one doesn't want to give, at all. I thought for sure it would weaken a bit by now but she just seems destined to stay this way. She's like the hulk if the hulk never changed back. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 (edited) Two aircraft in the storm now. Eyeballing the latest pass, say 946mb / 145mph. So holding steady from the 5am NOAA report. Edited July 3 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 (edited) Good morning. Looks like the core of Beryl may stay mostly offshore - no official landfall in Jamaica? Edited July 3 by Burr 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 GFS vs Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 GFS is actually strengthening as it makes landfall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 75.3W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM ESE OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Weakening flag (still) on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Looks pretty beat up, no eye, but recon still finding winds 140+ at surface and 150mph+ flight level Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC) Transmitted: 3rd day of the month at 11:51Z Agency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N43RF) Storm Name: Beryl Storm Number & Year: 02 in 2024 (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 13 Observation Number: 07 A. Time of Center Fix: 3rd day of the month at 11:17:38Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 16.79N 75.11W B. Center Fix Location: 141 statute miles (226 km) to the SE (127°) from Kingston, Jamaica. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 953mb (28.15 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 100° at 11kts (From the E at 13mph) F. Eye Character (Undecoded): SPIRAL G. Eye Shape: Elliptical (oval shaped) G. Orientation of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 60° to 240° (ENE to WSW) G. Length of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles) G. Length of Minor Axis in Elliptical Eye: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 125kts (143.8mph) I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles to the NNE (21°) of center fix at 11:15:26Z J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 92° at 134kts (From the E at 154.2mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the NNE (15°) of center fix at 11:14:15Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 89kts (102.4mph) M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 11 nautical miles (13 statute miles) to the S (188°) of center fix at 11:20:19Z N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 263° at 81kts (From the W at 93.2mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the S (188°) of center fix at 11:20:02Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 14°C (57°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,451m (8,041ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 21°C (70°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,452m (8,045ft) R. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp: Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Level: Other - Not surface, 1500ft, 925mb, 850mb, 700mb, 500mb, 400mb, 300mb or 200mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.01 nautical miles T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded... Maximum Flight Level Wind: 134kts (~ 154.2mph) which was observed 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the NNE (15°) from the flight level center at 11:14:15Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted July 3 Admin Share Posted July 3 Nevermind..had links up to Jamaica webcams but they were all broken! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 50 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Looks pretty beat up, no eye, but recon still finding winds 140+ at surface and 150mph+ flight level Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC) Transmitted: 3rd day of the month at 11:51Z Agency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N43RF) Storm Name: Beryl Storm Number & Year: 02 in 2024 (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 13 Observation Number: 07 A. Time of Center Fix: 3rd day of the month at 11:17:38Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 16.79N 75.11W B. Center Fix Location: 141 statute miles (226 km) to the SE (127°) from Kingston, Jamaica. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 953mb (28.15 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 100° at 11kts (From the E at 13mph) F. Eye Character (Undecoded): SPIRAL G. Eye Shape: Elliptical (oval shaped) G. Orientation of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 60° to 240° (ENE to WSW) G. Length of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles) G. Length of Minor Axis in Elliptical Eye: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 125kts (143.8mph) I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles to the NNE (21°) of center fix at 11:15:26Z J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 92° at 134kts (From the E at 154.2mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the NNE (15°) of center fix at 11:14:15Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 89kts (102.4mph) M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 11 nautical miles (13 statute miles) to the S (188°) of center fix at 11:20:19Z N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 263° at 81kts (From the W at 93.2mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the S (188°) of center fix at 11:20:02Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 14°C (57°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,451m (8,041ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 21°C (70°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,452m (8,045ft) R. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp: Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Level: Other - Not surface, 1500ft, 925mb, 850mb, 700mb, 500mb, 400mb, 300mb or 200mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.01 nautical miles T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded... Maximum Flight Level Wind: 134kts (~ 154.2mph) which was observed 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the NNE (15°) from the flight level center at 11:14:15Z Its certainly not going down without a fight. What are the chances of the eye reforming and it regaining some strength? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Royal Jamaica Yacht Club, located in Kingston on the S side of Jamaica,w ebcam and weather station 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Youtube channel with alternating Jamaican webcams. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Kingston area wunderground stations The station with 69 degrees is up in the mountains and has had gusts over 50mph so far and over an inch and half of rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 3 Author Moderators Share Posted July 3 Weatherlink is more extensive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 2 hours ago, Burr said: GFS is actually strengthening as it makes landfall Ouch for Texas. I am impatiently waiting to see where it goes from there. This is taking too long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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