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May 14-June 24, 2024 | Severe Weather/Tornado Outbreak


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9 minutes ago, ElectricStorm said:

Big moderate for tomorrow and they're already mentioning High risk if confidence in storm coverage increases 

Man its really looking like a multi day severe weather outbreak for Memorial Day weekend 

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8 hours ago, snowlover2 said:

Pretty surprised that the enhanced area isn't farther north and east into Ohio.

 

day3otlk_0730.gif

Timing is a bit iffy here. Seems like the storms would occur late at night for us. Maybe earlier if stuff pops but still up in the air. Im sure something will happen as per every Memorial Day weekend it seems.

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Posted (edited)

18z NAM FWIW  but seems like the LR NAM and HRRR are focusing more on a linear threat. Still have isolated action ahead but you get the point.

nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_fh40-60.gif

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_fh40-48.gif

Edited by junior
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3 minutes ago, junior said:

18z NAM FWIW  but seems like the LR NAM and HRRR are focusing more on a linear threat. Still have isolated action ahead but you get the point.

nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_fh40-60.gif

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_fh40-48.gif

May be an embedded derecho as it moves east. Those can really suck. 

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  • Meteorologist
Posted (edited)

Tomorrow may be the opposite limitations of 5/6... 

May 6, it seemed pretty clear leading up to the event that there may be an issue that too many storms will develop along the boundary that they won't be able to tap into the extreme environment. Tomorrow, it seems like the question is, will storms be able to develop and tap into the extreme environment? And how many storms will develop? 

Interesting how the opposite ends of May introduces different questions.

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
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28 minutes ago, junior said:

18z NAM FWIW  but seems like the LR NAM and HRRR are focusing more on a linear threat. Still have isolated action ahead but you get the point.

nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_fh40-60.gif

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_fh40-48.gif

3km tends to squall things out too quickly 

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5 minutes ago, OxfordOh_ said:

Now that is not what you wanna see wow

Looks like 5/24/11 honestly. Hopefully other CAMs aren't as potent otherwise it's gonna be a long day here tomorrow. 

Pretty confident in a high risk upgrade at some point now, maybe even at 6z 

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