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May 14-June 24, 2024 | Severe Weather/Tornado Outbreak


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2" hail report near Zainesville.

Quote
Preliminary Local Storm Report...Corrected
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
635 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0524 PM     Hail             1 NE Avondale           39.88N  82.05W
06/14/2024  E2.00 inch       Muskingum          OH   Trained Spotter

 

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a number of tornado reports with the Nebraska cluster of cells. A tornado was close to Pilger, Nebraska, which, about 10 years ago, had one of the most famous double-tornadoes.

tornadoes in nebraska.jpg

Edited by Chinook
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Confirmed tornado in MT.

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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
738 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024

MTC019-055-085-091-160200-
/O.CON.KGGW.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240616T0200Z/
Daniels MT-Roosevelt MT-Sheridan MT-McCone MT-
738 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN DANIELS...CENTRAL ROOSEVELT...WEST CENTRAL SHERIDAN AND
NORTHEASTERN MCCONE COUNTIES...

At 738 PM MDT, a confirmed tornado was located 13 miles north of
Poplar, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Poplar.

 

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Looks like southern MN, central WI, and into the UP are going to get the shaft regarding severe weather. Literally! 😅

Sorry I couldn't resist. Too good of an opportunity for my elementary mind.17186348477247410562303344354811.thumb.jpg.37c9596f7260c3f7e484a0cd15613cdc.jpg

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Interesting from ILN concerning pop up storms here this afternoon.

Quote
As for storm potential, there are plenty of CAMs that still want
to initiate convection later this afternoon, with coverage
increasing into the early evening. No large scale forcing or
frontal boundary will help with timing and tracking storm
activity... this is more of your typical single cell (popcorn)
thunderstorms that we observe during the summertime. Shear
profiles will be quite unfavorable for any long-lived or multi-
cell thunderstorm development. Thermodynamics on the other hand
are quite alarming, with SBCAPE values near or exceeding 2000
J/kg, DCAPE values near or exceeding 1000 J/kg, along with
steep 0-3km lapse rates. Any storms that do initialize could
produce strong downbursts, with perhaps some hail if the storms
can grow tall enough before collapsing.

Those downbursts are no joke. Went through one almost 10 years ago (6/23/14) and it's the wildest thing i've been through. Scary seeing the damage around here afterwards.

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Quote
Mesoscale Discussion 1302
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1228 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Indiana...northern and central
   Ohio...into far western New York/Pennsylvania

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 171728Z - 171930Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Storm coverage may gradually increase through the
   afternoon with one or more convective clusters possible. Storm
   organization should remain fairly limited, but damaging gusts and
   isolated hail will be possible with the stronger cores. A WW is not
   expected.

   DISCUSSION...As of 1720 UTC, regional radar and satellite data
   showed isolated thunderstorms had evolved out of a destabilizing air
   mass over parts of the mid and upper OH Valley. Located near the
   periphery of a large mid-level anticyclone and near a weak remnant
   MCV, forcing for ascent is rather nebulous and is likely primarily
   being driven by ongoing strong diurnal heating. As surface
   temperatures approach and breach convective temperatures, storm
   coverage should increase supported by 2000-3000 J/kg of MLCAPE from
   SPC mesoanalysis. Vertical shear is rather weak, generally less than
   20 kt, which should favor a multicellular storm mode. Some
   clustering of stronger cells is also expected given relatively high
   LCL heights (> 1500m) and steep low-level lapse rates supporting
   efficient downdrafts. This will likely favor damaging gusts with the
   stronger storms. Isolated hail may also be possible with the deeper
   and more persistent updrafts given the large magnitude of buoyancy.
   While a few stronger clusters of storms may evolve, the limited
   vertical shear and forcing for ascent suggest storm organization
   will be limited. Given the limited storm organization, a WW is not
   expected.

   ..Lyons/Halbert/Gleason.. 06/17/2024

 

mcd1302.png

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  • Meteorologist
Posted (edited)

00z sounding had 1.40" PWAT. Definitely in the upper tier of PWATs for June.

BTW... yes, I do remember that 1.40" is basically a dry day for Ohio. 😅😔

TrpkaOD.png

rwxgIyv.png

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
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