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May 14-June 24, 2024 | Severe Weather/Tornado Outbreak


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I believe this. Not far from me and the winds were strong and as mentioned erratic.

Quote
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
401 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 ENE Overlook-Page Man 39.77N 84.08W
05/26/2024                   Greene             OH   Trained Spotter

            Large branch down on Gardenview Drive. Time
            estimated from RADAR.

 

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 319
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   325 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Extreme Northwest Arkansas
     Southeast Kansas
     Southwest Missouri
     Extreme Northeast Oklahoma

   * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until
     900 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A couple tornadoes possible
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
       inches in diameter likely
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

   SUMMARY...Isolated supercell thunderstorms will continue to develop
   through the remainder of the afternoon and into early evening.  Very
   large hail, up to 2.5 inches in diameter, will be possible, along
   with the risk for a couple of tornadoes.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
   north and south of a line from 20 miles west of Joplin MO to 50
   miles east northeast of Springfield MO. For a complete depiction of
   the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
   WOU9).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 316...WW 317...WW 318...

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
   storm motion vector 27030.

   ...Bunting

 

ww0319_radar.gif

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42 minutes ago, snowlover2 said:

19z HRRR says we might not be done yet.

8539a505-a69e-4f9c-9ae3-12e70674367a.gif

Looks almost identical to earlier. Hope I can get in the strong side with the next round

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PDS Tornado watch up. All probs are high.

Quote
 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 320
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   400 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Northern Arkansas
     Southern Illinois
     Western Kentucky
     East-Central and Southeast Missouri
     Northwest Tennessee

   * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
     1100 PM CDT.

   ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

   * Primary threats include...
     Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
     Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 75
       mph likely
     Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3
       inches in diameter likely

   SUMMARY...Intense supercell thunderstorms will continue to develop
   across the watch area through this evening. Several tornadoes are
   likely, some of which are expected to be intense. Very large hail is
   also likely, along with the risk for potentially significant
   damaging wind gusts.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
   north and south of a line from 45 miles north northwest of West
   Plains MO to 20 miles southeast of Paducah KY. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 316...WW 317...WW
   318...WW 319...

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 650. Mean
   storm motion vector 28035.

   ...Bunting
Quote

Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

High (80%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

High (80%)

Wind

 

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

High (80%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

High (80%)

Hail

 

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

High (80%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

High (80%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

 

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (>95%)

 

ww0320_radar.gif

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Posted (edited)

Looks like an evident tornado outbreak unfolding out west unfortunately.. and I think us folks in the Ohio valley might be surprised come tonight. Suns out in full force 

Edited by OxfordOh_
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Posted (edited)

New watch likely 

Mesoscale Discussion 0989

   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

   0538 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

 

   Areas affected...central Illinois into west-central Indiana.

 

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

 

   Valid 262238Z - 262345Z

 

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

 

   SUMMARY...The risk for damaging gusts and hail is increasing with

   new storms north of St Louis. A new WW may be needed.

 

   DISCUSSION...As of 2235 UTC, regional radar analysis showed a

   cluster of strong to severe storms (including a few supercells) has

   evolved along a cold front and remnant outflow boundary over eastern

   MO and west-central IL. Temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s

   F as the air mass has recovered in the wake of an expansive squall

   line earlier today. Steep mid-level lapse rates and surface

   dewpoints in the 60s to 70s F are supporting ~1000-1500 J/kg of

   MLCAPE. Favorable buoyancy and increasing lift ahead of the cold

   front/consolidating outflow should continue to support robust

   updrafts. 40-50 kt of vertical shear will also allow for storm

   organization into one or more clusters or bowing segments. Given the

   favorable parameter space and the potential for organized storms,

   the risk for damaging wind gusts and hail appears to be increasing.

   A new weather watch is likely.

image.thumb.png.86bbb3d3d4188be19458975c1e0b1122.png

Edited by StormfanaticInd
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
554 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

ILC133-163-MOC189-510-262330-
/O.CON.KLSX.TO.W.0062.000000T0000Z-240526T2330Z/
Monroe IL-St. Clair IL-St. Louis City MO-St. Louis MO-
554 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MONROE...NORTHWESTERN ST. CLAIR AND SOUTH CENTRAL ST.
LOUIS COUNTIES AND ST. LOUIS CITY...

At 553 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Green Park,
moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and tennis ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  St. Louis, Cahokia, Columbia, Dupo, Mehlville, Lemay, Oakville,
  Bella Villa, and East Carondelet around 600 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include
Centreville, Cahokia Parks Airport, Belleville and Alorton.

This also includes Scott Joplin Historic Site.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 64 in Illinois near exit 9.
 Interstate 44 in Missouri near exit 277.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3842 9035 3845 9034 3845 9041 3847 9042
      3848 9042 3849 9040 3850 9040 3850 9042
      3862 9042 3866 9018 3866 9004 3838 9002
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 269DEG 30KT 3852 9033

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN

 

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1 hour ago, NWOhioChaser said:

Nice gusty thunderstorm here. Nothing severe but don’t have to water the garden!

Toledo had a wind gust to 53mph and, less impressively, 31mph at KTDZ. Heavy rain here for 5min+

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2 minutes ago, ElectricStorm said:

Wow wasn't paying attention to today and now there's a 15# and PDS watch up. Wow

That all happened after 4pm. 4pm introduced the moderate and the eventual PDS watch.

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