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May 14-June 24, 2024 | Severe Weather/Tornado Outbreak


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Just now, ElectricStorm said:

Strong tornado with significant CC drop north of Salina, OK after the storm cycled

Right on cue.

Quote
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1211 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southwestern Delaware County in northeastern Oklahoma...
  Northeastern Mayes County in northeastern Oklahoma...

* Until 100 AM CDT.

* At 1211 AM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Salina, moving
  east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations in or near the path include...
  Jay...                            Salina...
  Colcord...                        Kansas...
  Spavinaw...                       Oaks...
  Hoot Owl...                       Rose...
  Spavinaw State Park...            Leach...
  Twin Oaks...                      Strang...
  Lake Eucha State Park...          Snowdale State Park...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3641 9469 3630 9468 3616 9474 3622 9524
      3643 9525
TIME...MOT...LOC 0511Z 272DEG 30KT 3632 9512

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

 

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Enhanced risk expanded NE into most of SW OH including Dayton and almost Columbus.

Quote
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0100 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
   CENTRAL/EASTERN MISSOURI...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
   ILLINOIS/INDIANA...SOUTHWEST OHIO...KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
   TENNESSEE...EXTREME NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Widespread strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across
   parts of the lower Missouri Valley into the Ohio and Tennessee
   Valleys, later today into tonight. Multiple rounds of storms with
   the threat for large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes
   are possible from parts of east-central Missouri into
   central/southern Illinois and Indiana, much of Kentucky and adjacent
   portions of northern Tennessee.

   ...Synopsis...
   A complex but potentially significant severe weather episode is
   expected later today, with the greatest threat currently expected
   from parts of lower Missouri and mid Mississippi Valleys into the
   Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. All severe hazards will be possible,
   including some threat for widespread damaging winds, isolated to
   scattered very large hail, and potentially a few strong tornadoes. 

   A seasonably deep mid/upper-level trough (with multiple embedded
   shortwaves) will move from the central CONUS eastward into parts of
   the Midwest and OH/MS/TN Valleys through the day. A surface cyclone
   initially centered over eastern KS will move eastward across MO
   through the day, before turning northeastward toward the southern
   Great Lakes region later tonight. A trailing cold front will move
   southeastward across the Ozarks region and eventually into the Mid
   South. A warm front initially near the OH Valley region may move
   northward during the day, though its progress may be limited by the
   effects of potentially widespread convection across the region. 

   ...Parts of MO/AR eastward into the OH/TN Valleys...
   The presence of intense and widespread convection across eastern
   portions of the central/southern Plains late Saturday night results
   in considerable uncertainty regarding the evolution of severe
   potential during the D1/Sunday period. 

   A rather large storm cluster and possible MCS may be ongoing later
   this morning across parts of MO and northern AR, with some embedded
   supercell potential. Moderate to locally strong instability and
   favorable low-level and deep-layer shear will support some potential
   for all severe hazards with the early-morning convection. While
   there may be some weakening trend through the morning,
   reintensification of ongoing storms, and/or development along the
   attendant outflow, will be possible by late morning into the
   afternoon. There may be some tendency toward a clustered storm mode,
   but wind profiles will remain favorable for supercells, and an
   increasing threat for large to very large hail, damaging winds, and
   a few tornadoes may evolve during the afternoon across parts of OH
   Valley and potentially into portions of the Mid South/TN Valley
   region.  

   Farther west, a shortwave embedded within the large-scale trough is
   forecast to approach parts of the mid MS Valley late this afternoon
   into the evening, in conjunction with the primary surface low.
   Scattered thunderstorm development will be possible near the remnant
   outflow generated by morning convection, as well as along the
   trailing cold front. The environment across the effective warm
   sector (east of the cold front and along/south of the anticipated
   outflow boundary) will remain favorable for organized convection,
   and initial supercell development could be accompanied by a threat
   for large to very large hail and a few tornadoes. There will be some
   strong tornado potential, especially if notable outflow modification
   can occur through the day, though the most favored tornado corridor
   remains uncertain at this time. 

   Eventual development of a large QLCS will be possible tonight
   along/east of the surface-low track and trailing cold front, with a
   continued threat for damaging wind, hail, and possibly a few
   tornadoes into a larger portion of the OH/TN Valleys and Mid South. 

   ...Northern IL into southeast WI...
   A secondary area of modest pre-frontal destabilization may develop
   this afternoon from northern IL into southeast WI. Modest but
   sufficient deep-layer flow/shear will support some storm
   organization, and a few stronger storms capable of hail and locally
   strong wind gusts may develop from afternoon into the early evening.

   ...Eastern KS into western MO...
   Lingering moisture/instability and favorable deep-layer shear behind
   the cold front could support isolated strong storm development late
   this afternoon into the evening from eastern KS into western MO.
   Some threat for hail and locally strong/damaging gusts will be
   possible within this post-frontal regime. 

   ...Carolina Piedmont into the Mid Atlantic...
   There is some potential for early-day convection to persist and
   eventually spread across the southern Appalachians into parts of the
   Carolina Piedmont and vicinity by late afternoon or evening. While
   the environment will tend to be less favorable with southeastward
   extent, some threat for damaging wind and/or isolated hail could
   spread into the region later in the day.

   ..Dean/Moore.. 05/26/2024

 

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4 minutes ago, ElectricStorm said:

Looks like it's on the ground again as it crosses into AR 

PDS warned.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
107 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

ARC007-OKC041-260630-
/O.COR.KTSA.TO.W.0070.000000T0000Z-240526T0630Z/
Benton AR-Delaware OK-
107 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CDT FOR WESTERN
BENTON AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE COUNTIES...

At 107 AM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located 5 miles southeast of Maysville, moving east at 35 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Siloam Springs...                 Jay...
Gentry...                         Gravette...
Decatur...                        West Siloam Springs...
Colcord...                        Kansas...
Highfill...                       Springtown...
Maysville...                      Centerton...
Fairmount...                      Lake Eucha State Park...
Gallitin...                       Cherokee City...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3629 9432 3621 9433 3621 9434 3614 9434
      3620 9485 3631 9492 3642 9490 3643 9431
TIME...MOT...LOC 0600Z 250DEG 31KT 3630 9460

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

 

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16 minutes ago, ak9971 said:

Really wondering about any potential in Ohio later. Latest short term models keep pushing this further and further south. 

Are you talking about the second possible line? I think it all depends how we rebound. Many models still show isolated but strong/severe cells in our area, but the derecho like line does appear further south.

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SWS for the city of Indy.

Quote
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1153 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

INZ045>048-053>056-062-063-261730-
Johnson IN-Brown IN-Owen IN-Morgan IN-Putnam IN-Hendricks IN-
Shelby IN-Hancock IN-Monroe IN-Marion IN-
1153 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northern Shelby,
southwestern Hancock, Monroe, Morgan, Johnson, northern Brown,
Hendricks, northeastern Owen, Marion and southeastern Putnam Counties
through 130 PM EDT...

At 1152 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles south of Greencastle to 9 miles
southeast of Bloomington. Movement was northeast at 35 mph. This
storm has a history of producing winds to 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Indianapolis, Bloomington, Shelbyville, Carmel, Fishers, Greenwood,
Lawrence, Plainfield, Franklin, Brownsburg, Greenfield, Beech Grove,
Martinsville, Speedway, Mooresville, Danville, Spencer, Southport,
Nashville, and Avon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3944 8694 3947 8694 3948 8699 3993 8638
      3993 8595 3967 8563 3963 8563 3934 8604
      3935 8608 3931 8609 3902 8648
TIME...MOT...LOC 1552Z 225DEG 31KT 3951 8683 3909 8638

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

 

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51 minutes ago, NWOhioChaser said:

Mayfield had a close call with a confirmed tornado earlier in their vicinity.

IMG_0901.jpeg

 

Had 2. The first you referenced lifted before getting to Mayfield but a new rotation formed on the southside & might have produced some EF-0 damage. A lot of trees down, shingles...etc. 

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24 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

Are you talking about the second possible line? I think it all depends how we rebound. Many models still show isolated but strong/severe cells in our area, but the derecho like line does appear further south.

Yes that is what I’m referencing. Many models are showing isolated cells but I’m not sure how severe they can be with the squall line to the south cutting off/using much of the moisture. It will be a very much wait and see I think. 

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