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May 14-June 24, 2024 | Severe Weather/Tornado Outbreak


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Posted (edited)

A few smaller scale days coming up, but ensembles are hinting at an uptick in severe weather potential as we get deeper into May. 

Went from a general T-storm area to a slight risk here at the last Day 2 update, so tomorrow could get interesting. 

Edited by ElectricStorm
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46 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said:

Might be in for an active 30 day stretch 

Convective Chronicles has a fairly interesting long-range outlook video from today.

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From Reed Timmer.

Quote
We are gearing up for a very active stretch of severe weather and tornadoes across a large part of the central and southern Plains through the Mid-South at the end of May! The greatest severe weather will be during the May 20-June 5 time period. Here are the week 2 accumulated supercell composite parameter across long-range models

 

436253742_1026469828835708_8297465927739519860_n.jpg

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And there's this also.

Quote
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
616 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
  Southeastern Montgomery County in southeastern Texas...
  Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 700 PM CDT.

* At 615 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Pinehurst to near Cypress to near Addicks Park
  Ten to near Eldridge / West Oaks to near Cinco Ranch, moving east
  at 45 mph.

  THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS FOR THE HOUSTON METRO AREA.

  HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect
           considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles.
           Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Northwestern Pasadena, northeastern Sugar Land, northern Missouri
  City, Stafford, South Houston, Bellaire, Humble, West University
  Place, Galena Park, Tomball, Jacinto City, Jersey Village, Hunters
  Creek Village, Bunker Hill Village, Piney Point Village,
  Cloverleaf, Downtown Houston, Greenway / Upper Kirby Area,
  Kingwood, and Spring Branch North.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southeastern
Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 2963 9520 2964 9594 2976 9578 2983 9569
      3000 9577 3015 9564 3014 9510 3000 9506
      2988 9505 2985 9505
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 259DEG 38KT 3018 9561 3002 9569 2984 9561 2978
9570 2968 9580

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH

 

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I haven't heard of a confirmed tornado yet, but base velocity values were very high, 70mph-120mph in north Houston. It's possible that not a lot of hail was in the storm. (although, kind of hard to believe)

possible houston tornado.jpg

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Lots of damage.

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Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
826 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0641 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NE Jacinto City       29.78N 95.22W
05/16/2024                   Harris             TX   Amateur Radio

            Widespread trees downed across the area.
            Homes damaged throughout the neighborhood.

 

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Ohio tornado #57 confirmed from earlier today in Carroll County.

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3m  · 
 
 
TORNADO #57 for OHIO CONFIRMED TODAY (Friday): The NWS confirmed by way of video that a brief tornado touched down in Carroll County, Ohio near Leesville Lake at around 1:30pm today (Friday). The tornado caused some damage to trees and to pontoon boats tied up at a local marina. The tornado has not yet been rated.
This brings Ohio's 2024 tornado count up to 57, which is currently ranked 3rd for the most tornadoes in a year since 1950. Last year, there were 60 tornadoes confirmed in Ohio. The record is 62, set back in 1992.

 

436426534_995961808555712_6375646605834452393_n.jpg

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3 hours ago, snowlover2 said:

Just realized the date of Memorial Day this year, 5/27. 5 years ago to the day of that unexpected insane night. Hopefully no repeat of it.

alright, here's my archive info for that terrible day in your town (5/27/2019)

 

torando emergency for dayton2.png

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3 minutes ago, Chinook said:

alright, here's my archive info for that terrible day in your town (5/27/2019)

 

torando emergency for dayton2.png

If you go due east of Dayton and due south of Riverside, where those 2 lines meet is about where i live. Never get that radar image out of my head.

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