StormfanaticInd Posted May 7 Author Share Posted May 7 1 minute ago, OxfordOh_ said: Not good Can confirm. Sun is out in full force 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 7 Author Share Posted May 7 (edited) Really hopping we don't get these very large hail stones. Not good for my car. 😒🙄 Edited May 7 by StormfanaticInd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 3 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Can confirm. Sun is out in full force I know ILN said it wouldn’t really matter clouds wouldn’t have much of an impact on the severity but certainly the clearing isn’t helping anything 🙃 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 2 hours ago, OHValleysnow said: Seeing this reminds me of the Memorial Day outbreak. We had a round of rain around 4 or 5 pm that day with greater instability moving in behind it. As we all know all hell broke loose that night. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 7 Author Share Posted May 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 2 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Seeing this reminds me of the Memorial Day outbreak. We had a round of rain around 4 or 5 pm that day with greater instability moving in behind it. As we all know all hell broke loose that night. Will be really interested to see what the sounding results are here in a few hours from that special launch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Back edge of cloud cover with a following significant area of clearing is already at the western border of the CWA. This feature continues the earlier train of thought regarding severe potential this afternoon. Previous discussion(s) remain valid: Parameters of significant shear and instability remain in place this afternoon for severe weather. This is an all-mode severe weather threat with damaging winds, large hail, isolated flooding, and tornados. Tornado parameters per SPC and some AI forecasts have the entire CWA with a potential of significant tornados >EF2. The AI enhances a more narrow corridor running sw-ne through Cincy metro area, curving northward into Dayton metro area. As a shortwave is ejected northeast from the southern Plains into the Ohio Valley, an increase in mid-level flow and backing low-level winds will be seen in the vertical profile by later in the afternoon. A surge in warm, humid air should occur just ahead of the shortwave`s arrival. Forecast soundings continue to indicate surface CAPEs approaching 2,500 J/kg and effective shear around 60 knots. In addition, curved hodographs lead to effective SRH exceeding 200 m^2/s^2. Without a discrete forcing mechanism this afternoon and evening, scattered, discrete supercells are likely to develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 7 Author Share Posted May 7 Might need a moderate risk 🤔 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted May 7 Moderators Share Posted May 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger1989 Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 7 Author Share Posted May 7 Tornado watch now up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted May 7 Moderators Share Posted May 7 Zoomed in view of the Tornado Watch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted May 7 Moderators Share Posted May 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHValleysnow Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 So what are the chances ILN will put us under a tornado watch? I'd think Sw Ohio and northern Ohio should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted May 7 Moderators Share Posted May 7 (edited) 2 minutes ago, OHValleysnow said: So what are the chances ILN will put us under a tornado watch? I'd think Sw Ohio and northern Ohio should be. Good chance but it'll probably be late afternoon-early evening if it does happen... Edited May 7 by Central Illinois 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 7 Author Share Posted May 7 2 minutes ago, OHValleysnow said: So what are the chances ILN will put us under a tornado watch? I'd think Sw Ohio and northern Ohio should be. Unfortunately it's looking like evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 Uh oh 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted May 7 Moderators Share Posted May 7 2 minutes ago, OxfordOh_ said: Uh oh hey do you have the link for that? I saw it on social media posted for last night event but couldn't find a link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 7 Author Share Posted May 7 Some fast moving ominous clouds have moved in. Looking like severe weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 So far yesterday only verified as a 5% Probably one of the biggest high risk underperformances ever, but unfortunately still featured a destructive tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 First round was some heavy rain, but nothing severe. Moved out really fast. Quick .5” of rain. I feel like this really stabilized the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 (edited) 14 minutes ago, Central Illinois said: hey do you have the link for that? I saw it on social media posted for last night event but couldn't find a link Believe I sent you the incorrect link so I’m going to send it again! https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/?model=href&product=guidance_tor_stp_024h§or=mw Edited May 7 by OxfordOh_ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 7 Author Share Posted May 7 Some interesting storms near Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 7 Author Share Posted May 7 From BAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 6 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: From BAM Massive hail? No thanks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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