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May 6-9, 2024 | POTENTIAL OUTBREAK 🌪


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Quote
 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 197
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   600 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Eastern Indiana
     Northern Kentucky
     Western Ohio

   * Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 600 PM
     until 100 AM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
       inches in diameter likely
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

   SUMMARY...Scattered intense thunderstorms over central Indiana will
   track eastward through the evening, affecting the watch area.  Large
   hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes are possible with this
   activity.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 55 miles north northeast of Dayton OH
   to 45 miles south of Cincinnati OH. For a complete depiction of the
   watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 195...WW 196...

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
   storm motion vector 25035.

   ...Hart
Quote

Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

High (70%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

Mod (60%)

Wind

 

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

Mod (60%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Low (20%)

Hail

 

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

High (70%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Mod (60%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

 

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (>95%)

 

ww0197_radar.gif

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Posted (edited)
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
611 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

MIC023-072230-
/O.CON.KIWX.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-240507T2230Z/
Branch MI-
611 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR UNION CITY, MI...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN
BRANCH COUNTY...

At 611 PM EDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over Union City, or 10 miles northwest of Coldwater, moving northeast
at 45 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for Union City, MI. This is a PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

The tornado will be near...
  Union City around 615 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Hodunk, Sherwood, South Butler, and Girard.

This includes Interstate 69 in Michigan between mile markers 16 and
21.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take
immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation.

&&

LAT...LON 4199 8483 4196 8525 4205 8528 4207 8516
      4207 8483
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 247DEG 37KT 4205 8515

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN

$$

MJ

 

Edited by junior
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1 minute ago, StormfanaticInd said:

It's amazing sometimes how unpredictable these events can be. 

I think Reed made a great call about a localized outbreak here. Cells beginning to pop in southern Indiana now. 

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