AceGikmo Posted September 25 Share Posted September 25 On 9/17/2024 at 1:44 PM, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Just for reference, interestingly enough we've had more weak ninas than ANYTHING (by a slim margin over weak ninos), 2022-2023 sucked, but not as bad as 2023-2024 Trying to figure out why so many winters aren't listed at all... Neutral winters? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted September 25 Share Posted September 25 Weatherbell Winter forecast is warm. The yellow is +1 to +3. Never saw JB predict a warm Winter before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted September 26 Share Posted September 26 10 hours ago, AceGikmo said: Trying to figure out why so many winters aren't listed at all... Neutral winters? I can’t remember the last time we had a neutral winter lol. It just seems like La Niña or El Niño is always the theme for the cold season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted September 26 Share Posted September 26 4 hours ago, SOMOSnow said: Weatherbell Winter forecast is warm. The yellow is +1 to +3. Never saw JB predict a warm Winter before. Shocking. He’s always one to find a cold pattern for winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 On 9/25/2024 at 1:24 PM, AceGikmo said: Trying to figure out why so many winters aren't listed at all... Neutral winters? yeah I believe so (I.E 2019-2020) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted Sunday at 05:57 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:57 PM On 9/25/2024 at 6:17 PM, SOMOSnow said: Weatherbell Winter forecast is warm. The yellow is +1 to +3. Never saw JB predict a warm Winter before. If that's JB then 2011-12 on steroids is in the way, lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted Sunday at 06:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:42 PM 45 minutes ago, Grace said: If that's JB then 2011-12 on steroids is in the way, lol. It is him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted Sunday at 09:35 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:35 PM Anyone know where you can find the northern hemisphere snow cover/mass time series relative to normal? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowloverSid Posted Monday at 04:35 AM Share Posted Monday at 04:35 AM On 9/25/2024 at 6:17 PM, SOMOSnow said: Weatherbell Winter forecast is warm. The yellow is +1 to +3. Never saw JB predict a warm Winter before. This gives me hope: if JB is predicting mildness, maybe there will be some big-time polar vortexes visiting us. I hope that they will come with a major snowstorm or two for St. Louis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted Monday at 07:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:32 PM This is update to the one i posted in August as of Sept 24th. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2024-2025-forecast-update-predictions-united-states-canada-europe-fa/ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted Monday at 08:24 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:24 PM 51 minutes ago, Pghsnow said: This is update to the one i posted in August as of Sept 24th. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2024-2025-forecast-update-predictions-united-states-canada-europe-fa/ Well doesn't really get much worse than this. I'm going to hold out hope that if it can all turn out as ass backwards as last winter then it can be ass backwards this winter as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arctic Outbreak Posted Monday at 08:58 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 08:58 PM 33 minutes ago, 1816 said: Well doesn't really get much worse than this. I'm going to hold out hope that if it can all turn out as ass backwards as last winter then it can be ass backwards this winter as well. The problem is, if it turns out backwards, it's still going to be warm. Just very few scenarios anymore that gets us colder than average weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted Tuesday at 10:05 AM Admin Share Posted Tuesday at 10:05 AM On 9/29/2024 at 5:35 PM, BoroBuckeye said: Anyone know where you can find the northern hemisphere snow cover/mass time series relative to normal? There's this https://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/chart_daily.php?ui_year=2024&ui_day=274&ui_set=2 And this https://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/chart_daily.php?ui_year=2024&ui_day=274&ui_set=2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted Tuesday at 10:57 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:57 AM On 9/30/2024 at 12:35 AM, SnowloverSid said: This gives me hope: if JB is predicting mildness, maybe there will be some big-time polar vortexes visiting us. I hope that they will come with a major snowstorm or two for St. Louis This also should give a glimmer of hope to the snow-weenies (*term of affection) in here. I have, for decades, called JB "the perfect reverse barometer" - so often his call is as near 180 degrees out of kilter that it's laughable. He and Henry M - in my book nearly useless at long range predictions (and many short range ones as well) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted Wednesday at 04:01 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:01 AM 17 hours ago, MaineJay said: There's this https://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/chart_daily.php?ui_year=2024&ui_day=274&ui_set=2 And this https://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/chart_daily.php?ui_year=2024&ui_day=274&ui_set=2 Gotta always love a slpw start. 😑 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted Wednesday at 09:45 AM Admin Share Posted Wednesday at 09:45 AM 5 hours ago, Grace said: Gotta always love a slpw start. 😑 Lol, the good thing is that these can change in a hurry. The pattern heading into mid month looks like some -EPO, +PMA, -NAO. Hopefully this is something we see a few times this winter. I'm not really sure where I fall in the fence with regard to fall pattern translating to a winter one. Hopefully it materializes, and is a sign that we get a few fun storms. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted Wednesday at 11:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:33 PM On 9/30/2024 at 3:32 PM, Pghsnow said: This is update to the one i posted in August as of Sept 24th. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2024-2025-forecast-update-predictions-united-states-canada-europe-fa/ Nice article, especially as someone who is not a weather SME. Most of the forecasts I have been seeing have the midwest around normal, which would honestly be a great winter compared to the last few. Between that, and reliability of long term forecasts have me cautiously optimistic, especially since we're still ~60 days out from meteorological winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted Thursday at 05:37 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:37 PM Well if the wooly bear has anything to say about it this would actually mean winter would be winter when it’s supposed to be which is fine start mild in November turn around Christmas I’m in northeast Ohio. Trust nature I hope so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohioktm250 Posted Thursday at 06:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:15 PM 37 minutes ago, Hassaywx1223 said: Well if the wooly bear has anything to say about it this would actually mean winter would be winter when it’s supposed to be which is fine start mild in November turn around Christmas I’m in northeast Ohio. Trust nature I hope so I found a nearly all black one yesterday. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago On 10/3/2024 at 2:15 PM, ohioktm250 said: I found a nearly all black one yesterday. Not to doubt you at all - I just wonder how many folks realize that there are several species of all black caterpillars that are pretty tough to discern from the Wooly Worm (Bear) and there is even an all white variant of the true WB. Can't we just ask Phil or find the Persimmon Lady? Maybe we can dump some scarabs into a jar lid and watch them scurry around - like they did in ancient times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 24 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Not to doubt you at all - I just wonder how many folks realize that there are several species of all black caterpillars that are pretty tough to discern from the Wooly Worm (Bear) and there is even an all white variant of the true WB. Can't we just ask Phil or find the Persimmon Lady? Maybe we can dump some scarabs into a jar lid and watch them scurry around - like they did in ancient times. I haven't noticed anything with the acorns but it seems like there's a lot of walnuts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 38 minutes ago, 1816 said: I haven't noticed anything with the acorns but it seems like there's a lot of walnuts The acorn mast is damn near everywhere I go lately - seems to be unusually heavy compared to most recent years, and even other "bumper" years for acorns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago Even a normal would be amazing at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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