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March 9-11, 2024 | Winter Storm Speculation


MaineJay

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Tropical tidbits now has the in house ECMWF machine learning AIFS . Unfortunately, it's only has hour 246 and beyond this morning. I noticed the site was acting weird lately, so probably ironing out some bugs.

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Here's the only 3 AI I think are worth using.

 

 

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Looks like a nice shot of sustained marginal cold air keeping things white on today's 12z GFS for the UMA.

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Edited by Lazman
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Clues?

Screenshot2024-03-01182551.png.3ba95f72254bab0825eaace98efeca69.pngScreenshot2024-03-01182435.png.725f486a2ffb677efb52eff8022b1d6e.png

 consolidated coastal signal  18Z GEFS today - tucked in is a nice start ATM 

 

 

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Upstream Ridge Building--CHECK

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Tug and Shake your favorite Teleconnections over the next 7 days

that's all I got for now

dm

 

 

 

l

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Cluster of 5ish or so members liking some measurable white in NCPA Saturday evening. So, 10%, give or take. Several other members with different timing/ways to get some snow too.

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I mentioned several weeks ago, can’t remember if it was at the end of the last snow thread or in the long range , that this was the period to watch. Tele’s were hinting at it. Great, i still have a couple of trees standing from that paste bomb that came through weeks ago. This should wipe the remainder out. Looks like a couple of scud missiles went awry and hit us. Major spring cleanup project. Thankfully, he has a tree farm that we can take all the debris and bonfire it. 

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12z GFS does a bit more than simple tulip topping in my zones; 😞 

Yikes - might go for  a "footer" 

The 10" of so, for my region, would make annual snowfall come very close to seasonal average 😮 

Edited by Undertakerson2.0
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2 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

I guess we'll have to top the Tulips at some point😑

Up in NEPA we call it onion Snow, and afterwards you can plant your onion sets......

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They call it that here as well. I don't eat onions so I don't plant them and had to come up with my own take on the expression. 

I do plant Tulips and also have a penchant pertaining to penning alliterative prose. 🙂

 

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