Guest Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 19 minutes ago, RobB said: Hopefully more helpful when we get into actual melt season. But this is cumulative since 2019 - unless all of the surplus happened this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 3 hours ago, Hiramite said: Looking backwards. Ouch. brutal stretch the last couple years...wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 (edited) bug season this year is going to be un comprehensibly bad (note the scales between these 2 are different). Showing basically with and without the Christmas 3-4 day stretch of cold Edited February 16, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, RobB said: At least the drought conditions have greatly improved for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 2/16 12Z NAEFS: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 17, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 17, 2023 9 hours ago, HateWinterWarmth said: Interesting that most of the positive anomalies are in the Rockies, yet Lake Mead continues to diminish. Yeah that's a strange map in CO/UT/WY/ID. Mix of light blues which are +72 and yellow which is -72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted February 17, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted February 17, 2023 (edited) 10 hours ago, HateWinterWarmth said: Interesting that most of the positive anomalies are in the Rockies, yet Lake Mead continues to diminish. Because there isnt consistent rainfall there. It is just east of las vegas and you can see while they have had decent snows this year overall it barely cracks average in the cummaltive sense. That will not replenish water supplies. You need a consistent summer and winter time pattern to start to put dents into the west coast situation. Remember this area is a desert surrounded by desert. Shadowed by mountains. Edited February 17, 2023 by so_whats_happening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted February 17, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted February 17, 2023 7 hours ago, RobB said: I am not liking that look. That to me spells drought forming across the se and tn river valley as we go into summer. January we were half if not lower of typical rainfall and february isnt any better. We need a super rainy spring to balance it out or we go full on ridge pattern early on in the season and drive heat. Lack of rain in the se and southern mid atlantic tends to give rise to larger drought problems. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 2/17 0Z NAEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Al_Czervik Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 12 hours ago, so_whats_happening said: Because there isnt consistent rainfall there. It is just east of las vegas and you can see while they have had decent snows this year overall it barely cracks average in the cummaltive sense. That will not replenish water supplies. You need a consistent summer and winter time pattern to start to put dents into the west coast situation. Remember this area is a desert surrounded by desert. Shadowed by mountains. Add the consistent rain pattern would need years at this point to really make headway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 20 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Glad NW Ohio has managed to hang on to positive departures through the winter. We have had quite a few rain events throughout so at least that bodes well for soil moisture content come spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheComet Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 (edited) EPS and GEFS do not show the SER budging in any meaningful manner Through first week of March 2023. Heck, even the Western Atlantic will be cooler out over the ocean; well, at least that can help cool down the waters of the Atlantic a bit, hopefully for upcoming winters. This winter or lack thereof sucks and it's toast for EC. Edited February 17, 2023 by TheComet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted February 17, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted February 17, 2023 13 hours ago, so_whats_happening said: I am not liking that look. That to me spells drought forming across the se and tn river valley as we go into summer. January we were half if not lower of typical rainfall and february isnt any better. We need a super rainy spring to balance it out or we go full on ridge pattern early on in the season and drive heat. Lack of rain in the se and southern mid atlantic tends to give rise to larger drought problems. Mulling this one over it could introduce a fun pattern though across the upper midwest and ohio valley with ridge runner situations during summer and an early start across much of the se and mid atlantic for severe weather. Have to see how it progresses. Im sure many dont take severe weather as fun but it certainly looks like we could be on that path as we begin to transition seasonal modes in the next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 17, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 17, 2023 Are we doing March in Spring as it's Met Spring or keeping it in Winter since it's more winter related? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 9 hours ago, Iceresistance said: Wouldn’t expect anything different though warmer all winter March and early April will be cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 18 hours ago, StretchCT said: Are we doing March in Spring as it's Met Spring or keeping it in Winter since it's more winter related? Seems like it's more of a winter month nowadays in my opinion. We might have to make December a fall month too. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 2/18 0Z NAEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 40 minutes ago, RobB said: 2/18 0Z NAEFS Curses! All of the progress wiped out! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/02/17/polar-vortex-stratospheric-warming-weather/ Temperatures at the high altitudes above the North Pole are soaring, jumping up to 50 degrees in barely a week. The so-called “sudden stratospheric warming” is disturbing the polar vortex, which in turn could have major implications for weather patterns across the northern hemisphere in March. But scientists, despite successfully predicting this warming event two weeks ago, say it’s too soon to know what it will mean for the weather in anyone’s backyard. These events, which occur in two out of every three winters on average, don’t play out in a prescribed way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 18, 2023 Moderators Share Posted February 18, 2023 4 hours ago, 1816 said: Seems like it's more of a winter month nowadays in my opinion. We might have to make December a fall month too. Heck, we could have done an extended fall and early spring at this rate. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 18, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 18, 2023 If I'm not mistaken, today is WXSphere's one year birthday. Appreciate all the contributions everyone has made! 3 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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