Al_Czervik Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 21 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: will enjoy the sun this week because once we go back in to the disgusting 40s-50s....it will be loooonnnngggg gone and back to the dreary depressingness that comes with above average temps in winter You make a good point here. It is on the coldest days where it is sunny like yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2/1 0Z NAEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Popular Post MaineJay Posted February 1, 2023 Admin Popular Post Share Posted February 1, 2023 21 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Also....not to call anyone out but last week did feature 3-4 winter storms for the GLs/OV/MW regions in different areas each time and then this current week per the above some days are appreciably below average So we actually did get that 2 week span of winter weather some on here were calling for, keeping in context just because it doesn't snow directly in your backyard, doesn't mean winter didn't make an appearance in general in the eastern conus End of January was pretty fun for me, although one storm was all arduous task moving snow. I got a little more than this bordering town, and a 20-24" pack here. We almost got +10°F and nearly double the snow. Interestingly, the final 3.7" here was 25:1 ratios at fairly mild temps. Definitely better than the last 2 winters, though we are still lagging a little in snowfall for the season. Probably 3-4" of liquid in there. 4 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adurb44 Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 55 minutes ago, Al_Czervik said: You make a good point here. It is on the coldest days where it is sunny like yesterday. I’ve noticed this over the last several years. A mild winter tends to be much more gray than a cold one. When I think about some of our best cold winters in recent years you have what seems like an endless supply of Canadian high pressure systems bearing down on the eastern US. The cloudiness is transient. A mild winter with highs like those rarely making an appearance is leads to endless gray. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 4 hours ago, MaineJay said: End of January was pretty fun for me, although one storm was all arduous task moving snow. I got a little more than this bordering town, and a 20-24" pack here. We almost got +10°F and nearly double the snow. Interestingly, the final 3.7" here was 25:1 ratios at fairly mild temps. Definitely better than the last 2 winters, though we are still lagging a little in snowfall for the season. Probably 3-4" of liquid in there. It’s was a sluggish first half of winter in Southern Ontario too. After the last few snow systems we’ve got a decent base now as well. We’ll see if February can continue with the end of Januarys better winter period. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 hard to call it anything other than an outlier for now, but it has run to run consistency......it needs some sort of support though....from anything referring to the GFS OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 (edited) Seems like we're on our way back to the warm eastern CONUS GLC pattern we saw in January. EPS suggests a cutter Feb 8-10, possible east coast system Feb 11-13, then endless GLCs for the 3rd week of the month. Edited February 1, 2023 by StLweatherjunkie 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2/1 12Z NAEFS: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cdfarabaugh Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Wow, never thought I'd throw the towel on Feb 1st but damnnnnnnn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 2/2 0Z NAEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 2, 2023 Admin Share Posted February 2, 2023 7 hours ago, Cdfarabaugh said: Wow, never thought I'd throw the towel on Feb 1st but damnnnnnnn I'm always grateful my dad let me watch Monty Python as a little kid. My go to song for as long as I can remember. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 11 hours ago, Cdfarabaugh said: Wow, never thought I'd throw the towel on Feb 1st but damnnnnnnn That groundhog is full of sh*t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Al_Czervik Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Look like we moderate for the remainder of Feb. I am guessing those north of I-80 will get revenge winter in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 35 minutes ago, Al_Czervik said: Look like we moderate for the remainder of Feb. I am guessing those north of I-80 will get revenge winter in March. March is the most reliable winter month over the past 15 years, followed closely by April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, HateWinterWarmth said: That groundhog is full of sh*t In 2021 and 2022, we thought he was playing around for me. He wasn't. Edited February 2, 2023 by Iceresistance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Crazy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 2/2 12Z NAEFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 Seems to be a little hope on the horizon near the end of the GEFS/GEPS runs for the Ohio Valley/GLs Makes sense... Had a window of winter during the latter half of December...then a January thaw Had a window of winter during the latter part of January/early Feb...and now we'll be heading into a thaw If the pattern continues to repeat, I'd expect the latter half of Feb. & maybe early March to give us some winter weather...before maybe giving way to an early arrival to spring (for once) 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 7 hours ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Seems to be a little hope on the horizon near the end of the GEFS/GEPS runs for the Ohio Valley/GLs Makes sense... Had a window of winter during the latter half of December...then a January thaw Had a window of winter during the latter part of January/early Feb...and now we'll be heading into a thaw If the pattern continues to repeat, I'd expect the latter half of Feb. & maybe early March to give us some winter weather...before maybe giving way to an early arrival to spring (for once) I dont want Spring lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted February 3, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted February 3, 2023 Well my midnight shifts are over and I'm about to tune the weather out completely for the next 2 weeks or so. I did get a chance to take a glimpse at the long range my last day of work and I'm really liking the end of February to early March period for the Plains. The first half of the month looks wet here with a -PNA setup. The High Plains can still cash in on snow during "warm" periods so I wouldn't be surprised to see a snow storm over western Kansas/Nebraska. Ensembles were pointing towards continued -PNA and a negative trending EPO during the 2nd half of the month. That on top of the ongoing SSW event we're witnessing and I think we'll see another cold snap with an active pattern like we've seen towards the end of December and January. I'm also worried about tornadoes this month for Dixie Alley. -PNA and a warm Gulf is a dangerous combo. See y'all again midway through the month. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 2/3 0Z NAEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Does anyone have the image of the SSW in the temperature graph? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted February 3, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted February 3, 2023 4 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Does anyone have the image of the SSW in the temperature graph? This is the most up to date and includes the GFS forecast. Looks like we are rising again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Ingyball said: This is the most up to date and includes the GFS forecast. Looks like we are rising again. You can see the literal JUMP in this, that is the definition of a SSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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