Grace Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 7 hours ago, Grace said: 👀 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cdfarabaugh Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 5 hours ago, JDClapper said: It's always darkest before the dawn. It's also darkest before.........more dark lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 6 hours ago, Grace said: BSR reminds me of the November pattern we had with frequent north wind lake effect. If I remember correctly November worked out pretty well farther south too ... At least the second half of the month 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 1, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 1, 2023 On 12/28/2022 at 11:19 AM, RobB said: 12/28 0Z NAEFS: This image is for the 1/5-12 time frame. Looks like it may barely verify up here. Technically, it may be a hair above normal. I suspect it's driven by elevated minimum temperatures, as little-no snow on the ground won't let nights drop as efficiently as otherwise possible this time of year. To be sure, there is a very warm day expected on the 4th, but looks fairly normal, with some lower probability snow chances following it. Just taking advantage of what I can in this warmer weather. Maybe the worst part of the warmth is the partially thawed ground, the dogs just track everything in the house. Hopefully the wind dry things out a little today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 11 minutes ago, MaineJay said: This image is for the 1/5-12 time frame. Looks like it may barely verify up here. Technically, it may be a hair above normal. I suspect it's driven by elevated minimum temperatures, as little-no snow on the ground won't let nights drop as efficiently as otherwise possible this time of year. To be sure, there is a very warm day expected on the 4th, but looks fairly normal, with some lower probability snow chances following it. Just taking advantage of what I can in this warmer weather. Maybe the worst part of the warmth is the partially thawed ground, the dogs just track everything in the house. Hopefully the wind dry things out a little today. Good points. Higher than average low temps is often overlooked with these things..... Yeah, muddy grounds to be tracked in by dogs can be a pain! Happy New Year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Happy New Year everyone! 1/1 0Z NAEFS 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Al_Czervik Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 1 hour ago, RobB said: Happy New Year everyone! 1/1 0Z NAEFS Best part of this pattern is the West is getting rain. Keep it going! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, Al_Czervik said: Best part of this pattern is the West is getting rain. Keep it going! Glad to see that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted January 1, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 1, 2023 (edited) Indications that the EPO at least goes neutral to possibly negative should allow winter to return. Alta, UT...with no end in sight for Pacific storm train, it's gonna be a big year. Edited January 1, 2023 by telejunkie 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Ho Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 So Bastardi, Judah and “The Wizard of Coz” Cosgrove are all on the screamin’ cold bandwagon. What’s not to like, lads? 😂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 BenNollWeather is also in there too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 If this is true this screams a winter storm in that time frame for someone in OV, possibly TN Valley to Mid-Atlantic & lower NE. Like I said...if...if...the EPS is correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 2, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 hour ago, Wally Ho said: So Bastardi, Judah and “The Wizard of Coz” Cosgrove are all on the screamin’ cold bandwagon. What’s not to like, lads? 😂 Not all of us are lads here. 🙂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted January 2, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, Grace said: If this is true this screams a winter storm in that time frame for someone in OV, possibly TN Valley to Mid-Atlantic & lower NE. Like I said...if...if...the EPS is correct. That kinda reminds me of a double barrel low pattern. Low goes into just west of the apps (eastern TN/eastern KY) but can't advance north and pops a low off the virginia coastal region. I wouldn't be surprised. Some models have been hinting at such an idea. Just need a solid s/w through the SW when we do get this pattern setup. should be 2nd week of January? Edited January 2, 2023 by so_whats_happening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 2, 2023 Social Media Crew Share Posted January 2, 2023 10 minutes ago, so_whats_happening said: That kinda reminds me of a double barrel low pattern. Low goes into just west of the apps (eastern TN/eastern KY) but can't advance north and pops a low off the virginia coastal region. I wouldn't be surprised. Some models have been hinting at such an idea. Just need a solid s/w through the SW when we do get this pattern setup. should be 2nd week of January? EPS has that look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Ho Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 12 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Not all of us are lads here. 🙂 My sincere apologies. 🙂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 hours ago, Wally Ho said: So Bastardi, Judah and “The Wizard of Coz” Cosgrove are all on the screamin’ cold bandwagon. What’s not to like, lads? 😂 Sounds good to me! I will take it! Keep this same energy for the warm posts, right???? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) Do not be discouraged! Winter is not over yet! The only thing that really kills any chances of cold winters is a ++AO. Nothing of that sort with a -AO dominant winter this year. What is warming us is the +EPO and +PNA. Edited January 2, 2023 by Iceresistance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Really not a lot has made much since this winter. Right now we are in a Super El Nino type pattern for the next couple of weeks which is crazy. The good part is that it's giving a lot of places much needed rain out west & in plains. It really is rare to see this type of pattern in a La Nina. LR models are strange right now in that CFS has the most robust MJO wave going through 7,8,1,2 but the H5 being modeled shows zero reflection of that. Models are going to get chaotic again for a couple of weeks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1/2 0Z NAEFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 9 hours ago, Grace said: Really not a lot has made much since this winter. Right now we are in a Super El Nino type pattern for the next couple of weeks which is crazy. The good part is that it's giving a lot of places much needed rain out west & in plains. It really is rare to see this type of pattern in a La Nina. LR models are strange right now in that CFS has the most robust MJO wave going through 7,8,1,2 but the H5 being modeled shows zero reflection of that. Models are going to get chaotic again for a couple of weeks. It makes perfect sense. No matter what, warmth reigns. We might get short bursts of winter weather, but warmth will always bounce back quickly and take hold for long periods of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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