Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted December 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 30, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 11:44 AM, so_whats_happening said: It looks like Sunday will be the warmest coming up here this week may push mid 50's if the rain doesn't overshadow it. The next time period looks like 4-6th where we may push low 60's but this weekend coming up was supposed to be low 60's and we are already taming that down. Ill take the few warm days and run. LR starting to show signs of an Aleutian low setting up which drives a western ridge have to see as we move toward the end of the first week of January. May also have to watch for a sneaky system just after the 6th for the east. To update this it looks like things are getting muddied up a bit over this way. Tomorrow may be our warmest day coming up here 56? Saturday has the potential but with rain around we wetbulb lower than that but still mild. Sunday doesn't have as much downsloping that occurs as originally thought. For the 4-6th period we seem to only have one day showing up as warm while we get a nice push of high pressure to come in for the end of the 5th into 6th. Again fairly marginal air no major cold blast but enough that trailing energy may be able to give a minor snowfall if it can setup right. Doesn't look like a big system but if one can form maybe 1-3" storm type of deal in interior? Lets see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 (edited) Both Euro Weeklies & CFS MJO forecasts take us 7,8,1 in JAN. Both are out of COD but not particularly strong. Let's see if there's any influence. I would think that along with strong strat Aleutian PAC system might produce bouts of -EPO or +PNA or a combo...especially if there's any coupling with the troposphere. We'll see. Models do not reflect it though as of yet. Edited December 31, 2022 by Grace 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 12/30 0Z NAEFS: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 12/30 12Z NAEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 (edited) Don’t know where to put this but my windchill hit -31 last Saturday afternoon which is one of our coldest on record, and today we just buried our record high of 61 and it’s 2pm 64 outside imby. My heat is off and my windows are open. Just a 93 degree difference in 6 days absolutely wild extremes to see to me never in my life have I seen the swings like this I mean that’s like saying it’s 0 out last saturday and I’m laying by the pool tanning and it’s 93 this friday 🤯 Edited December 30, 2022 by Hassaywx1223 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 2 hours ago, RobB said: 12/30 12Z NAEFS Killin me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 (edited) telliconnections don't look awful coming up, nothing special, but nothing back breaking. That sort of matches up with the ensembles "meh" outlook of slightly above average temps (around the OV) after this mega torch. You could probably get lucky in this upcoming pattern, but the snow isn't going to stick around long if we are still stuck in this rut we've been in since November Edited December 30, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 Almost the new year! 12/31 0Z NAEFS: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 Just for giggles 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 13 minutes ago, Grace said: Just for giggles Long range, but it makes sense. That's the time frame where the pendulum should be swinging back the other way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 56 minutes ago, Grace said: Just for giggles Someone has mentioned that this is relatively easier to predict compared to the other areas such as the troughs and blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Ho Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 1 hour ago, RobB said: Almost the new year! 12/31 0Z NAEFS: Takes us right up to winter’s halftime. Just wow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 (edited) When our pal RobB starts posting NAEFS each Winter it always torches. Never fails. I could do without these maps. I've seen this happen for a decade. 🤣 Edited December 31, 2022 by SOMOSnow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 2 hours ago, SOMOSnow said: When our pal RobB starts posting NAEFS each Winter it always torches. Never fails. I could do without these maps. I've seen this happen for a decade. 🤣 I see these orange and red monstrosities in my nightmares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 (edited) 👀 Edited December 31, 2022 by Grace 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 31, 2022 Social Media Crew Share Posted December 31, 2022 23 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: telliconnections don't look awful coming up, nothing special, but nothing back breaking. That sort of matches up with the ensembles "meh" outlook of slightly above average temps (around the OV) after this mega torch. You could probably get lucky in this upcoming pattern, but the snow isn't going to stick around long if we are still stuck in this rut we've been in since November Off topic.. but I’ve been looking at a subscription to weathermodels.com. Is it worth it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 2 hours ago, Grace said: 👀 It's always darkest before the dawn. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 12 minutes ago, Penn State said: Off topic.. but I’ve been looking at a subscription to weathermodels.com. Is it worth it? I've gotten it for several years now, I used to do Weatherbell and switched. The "model lab" has everything you could think of, but most people don't explore the "model lab" page, you could spend hours looking at features in there, it could be organized better, but once you spend some time in there, 👍 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 12/31 12Z NAEFS: 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 6 hours ago, Grace said: 👀 The calm before the storm. We me prepare for "The Big One"! This is it! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 (edited) 4 hours ago, RobB said: 12/31 12Z NAEFS: I will take that for now, soon I want the cold back! Edited January 1, 2023 by Iceresistance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted January 1, 2023 Social Media Crew Share Posted January 1, 2023 28 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: The calm before the storm. We me prepare for "The Big One"! This is it! I’m still positive on that 16th-20th timeframe. Obviously can’t see it on the models yet.. but, I think that’s where the next best potential lies. Also.. Happy New Year’s Eve everyone! May our 2023 be filled with health, happiness, and snowstorms ⛄️ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now