StormfanaticInd Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, Hassaywx1223 said: I have never seen a model run to run so inconsistent. Not just in the mid or long range but short range the gfs has shown something different every run for a week. What kind of update did they do to it my god 😠🙄 I have never seen the gfs this bad. This is just flat out embarrassing for the American model Edited December 11, 2022 by StormfanaticInd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 40 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: I have never seen the gfs this bad. This is just flat out embarrassing for the American model Maybe they need to "de-upgrade" the model! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 (edited) Already significant positive changes on 0z GFS vs 18z GFS beginning at 96 but really kicking in by hour 120 and looking at widespread cold by 168. Edited December 11, 2022 by SOMOSnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Lmao, absurd 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Lmao, absurd Not sure I've ever seen a model do what GFS has done on last 3 runs in terms of massive changes both short and long term . Unreal . Dramatically different from 120 on . Edited December 11, 2022 by SOMOSnow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 0z Canadian day 5 to 10 temp anomalies. 👇 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 (edited) 👀 WOW!!!!!!!! Hour 360 of GFS! Never seen anything like this! Almost entire nation is in purple or pink. One spot in South Dakota was -49.1 below normal temp! Crazy! Edited December 11, 2022 by SOMOSnow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 minute ago, SOMOSnow said: 👀 WOW!!!!!!!! Hour 360 of GFS! Never seen anything like this! Almost entire nation is in purple or pink. One spot in South Dakota was -49.1 below normal temp! Crazy! They might have to go further into the purple color range because it looks like it’s bottomed out with below normal anomalies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, SNOWBOB11 said: They might have to go further into the purple color range because it looks like it’s bottomed out with below normal anomalies. Yes it went below the chart! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 (edited) Last 10 days of 0z GFS temp anomalies vs last 10 of 18z GFS temp anomalies. 👇 Edited December 11, 2022 by SOMOSnow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted December 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 11, 2022 Ugh, don't like that GFS run, but this pattern favors a Texas winter storm over a Kansas one. GFS has something here at the end of the run, but my best shot is when the cold arrives and when it starts to retreat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 (edited) 0z GFS air temp (not wind chill) at 6am on Dec 26. 👇 Went ahead and edited to post wind chill temp or apparent temp also. 👇 Edited December 11, 2022 by SOMOSnow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 0z GEFS last 4 runs for DEC 23rd (Day 12) Look at the last run over the Artic 👀 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Lmao, absurd Just throw the model in trash. Ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 (edited) Christmas week is starting to get interesting. The pieces are there for extreme cold and maybe snow? Edited December 11, 2022 by StormfanaticInd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 The Canadian is very cold also👀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 🤤 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Mjo still doing laps in the COD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Wow, every state below average on an ensemble, for a 5 day period average 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 6z GFS dumped me with 7-11 inches of snow just before Christmas! Another improvement! I think the GFS is on to something because normally, the 0z and 6z is worse than the 18z run, but it actually improved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 I'm surprised that no one has mentioned the Euro, it absolutely launches the Arctic Cannon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 11, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 11, 2022 Admittedly, I'm very new to the EFI so I won't really comment on it, other than it appears (to me) to show the dump west, bleed east type regime. There's explanation on how to read the charts below the D5-9 chart. Link to data. https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/charts/catalogue/efi2web_2t?facets=undefined&time=2022121100,0,2022121100&day=10-15&quantile=50&area=North America Days 5-9, 2m temps Days 10-15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 48 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: I'm surprised that no one has mentioned the Euro, it absolutely launches the Arctic Cannon! Yes, starting to see the cold on the operational models more now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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