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Winter 2022-2023 | Discussion and Outlooks


NKYSnowLover

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13 minutes ago, SOMOSnow said:

12z Euro mean 2m temp anomalies gets notoveably colder, especially from hour 300 on, than 0z. Here is a screenshot of December 23 at 6pm. Wow. 👇

Screenshot_20221209_140125_Samsung Internet.jpg

 

I mean, this is look is...wow!

Screenshot_20221209-141536_Chrome.jpg.4f8aef070d2888eb440f232a697ae1b5.jpg

Screenshot_20221209-141731_Chrome.jpg.1af2a0d7111e876db7bc52e7a8b5c1a8.jpg

 

For any snow lover east of Rockies to not get snow or some type of winter precip between the 20th & 31st would be a really hurtful kick in the begonias. And it will occur for some of us. That's a great look.

And if any of us are part of the above relax...more winter will occur at some point in JAN and/or FEB. With a pattern like that in DEC historically the odds are higher another good winter pattern(s) will occur. 

 

Edited by Grace
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1 minute ago, SOMOSnow said:

12z Euro ensemble mean temp anomalies day 5 to 15 and 8 to 15. Remarkable cold. 👇

Screenshot_20221209_141522_Samsung Internet.jpg

Screenshot_20221209_141544_Samsung Internet.jpg

Never seen a map look like this! I've seen them bathed in yellows and reds but not blues and greens.

 

I wonder if Maine feels left out? 

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3 minutes ago, HateWinterWarmth said:

Never seen a map look like this! I've seen them bathed in yellows and reds but not blues and greens.

 

I wonder if Maine feels left out? 

 

Remember that he can have yellow & still get snow. His average temps are lower than most of us. 

Edited by Grace
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43 minutes ago, SOMOSnow said:

Could it be? 🤔 👇🙏 I say yes, or something close, is possible.

Screenshot_20221209_143122_Samsung Internet.jpg

 

83-84 was almost totally +NAO. 

It'll be hard to beat a 2009 look if it all verifies...give or take on anomalies. And that was an El Nino year but makes no difference on the look:

Screenshot_20221209-151601_Chrome.jpg.31fc738512b118aeba9e2724853c9aea.jpg

Screenshot_20221209-151957_Chrome.jpg.f46c335ea0c44d36b868d43b56a87260.jpg

 

But let's remember that's a 30 day mean. While the 2nd half of DEC advertises a similar 500mb look no it does not mean the 30 day mean would look Iike that. 

Got to remember we're starting hear:

Screenshot_20221209-152339_Chrome.jpg.d58a0dea41d926255b2af09926362438.jpg

 

And a little warmth on top of that east & then 2nd half chill...hence, anomalies don't look as cold in east on 30 day mean. 

 

Edited by Grace
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we'll also be starting off behind the curve by the time the 17th-18th rolls around, the month as a whole might not look as impressive as the last 2 weeks verbatim. These +anomalies still have another week to entrench. But also doesn't stop because the calendar does...so any "30 day period" might look as impressive

 

image.png.caba311ff48f480365fa677a887cde3f.png

 

Edited by Ohiobuckeye45
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4 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

@ClicheVortex2014The 12z GFS absolutely DUMPS you with a LOT of snow!

It’s been trying to do that for like a week now from time to time. Dangling the carrot. But I’m enjoying the 50s-70s. I’ll take the snow and cold when it comes as long as the cold doesn’t stick around too long… which I’ve been told it doesn’t. 

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2 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

we'll also be starting off behind the curve by the time the 17th-18th rolls around, the month as a whole might not look as impressive as the last 2 weeks verbatim. These +anomalies still have another week to entrench. But also doesn't stop because the calendar does...so any "30 day period" might look as impressive

 

image.png.caba311ff48f480365fa677a887cde3f.png

 

14th or 15th for central but good point 

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