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Winter 2022-2023 | Discussion and Outlooks


NKYSnowLover

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  • Meteorologist

Right now I'd say this GFS run is the "median" solution for cold. Still well below normal for the Plains, but not nearly as extreme as Feb 2021. If we can develop a solid snowpack first (especially in Nebraska and South Dakota) those more extreme solutions could play out. 

 

 

gfs_T2m_us_fh144-384.gif

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8 minutes ago, Ingyball said:

Man the 6z GEFS control is literally off the charts for the EPO. Crazy

yeah I'm waiting for the 12z GEFS tellis to come out on weathermodels so can compare to what the OP just had, because it was all the place over some good (-EPO) some bad (sustained -PNA came back)

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22 minutes ago, Grace said:

12z GEFS on day 8....the trend is friendly.

trend-gefsens-2022120812-f204.500h_anom-mean_na.gif.fb1dc5edecdb4fa7270371f99bc16ff9.gif

 

 What I was referring to with this post is that the blocking is set up in better locations as far as the mean goes. That's the best it's been. That really stifles any ridging that tries to take place from the South and East.

 Yeah it will suppress some but I'd rather have that than thunderstorms.

 

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1 minute ago, Grace said:

 

 What I was referring to with this post is that the blocking is set up in better locations as far as the mean goes. That's the best it's been. That really stifles any ridging that tries to take place from the South and East.

 Yeah it will suppress some but I'd rather have that than thunderstorms.

 

Absolutely

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