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Spring 2024 Discussion


SnowloverSid

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  • Meteorologist
On 3/6/2024 at 8:54 AM, StretchCT said:

Perfect timing...

image.thumb.png.61a40b445595a9e06c1efd40d486f0ce.png

 

 

Yea for some reason this is a thing around my birthday. I fully expect a storm during this time too as it is either a full on rain storm or snowstorm. All I want is tranquil nice sunny weather for once lol.

On 3/7/2024 at 8:51 AM, StretchCT said:

Is this a normal look for spring?

image.thumb.png.dcba2dc7b529bd6ee677b8c60ef229a7.png

Seems a little early than usual but this could be considered the final warming that was from a large Strato warming episode. This would ultimately make for a cooler spring overall if indeed we finally get it to fully connect to the troposphere. This is what we would have wanted to happen back in January, even February would have been nice to see this.

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  • Meteorologist
Posted (edited)

A side note it will be interesting to see where the ridge in the SE sets up as we go forward. With the decaying El Nino we should still see some influence for the next month or so and things may abruptly change as we get closer to summer. If the ridge ends up across the SE it will be a back and forth of warm and cooler times as we get into summer, if it extends into the GL/ OH Valley region it may get downright hot if it ends up more over the Atlantic expect warm but wet conditions in the east.

We are also about to start seeing front range systems show up for spring so severe weather may get a nice uptick as we move into April. Have to see how this potential troughiness affects that into the second half of March.

Would also like to mention of course now we get the extended stay of a -NAO pattern.

Edited by so_whats_happening
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56 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

Welcome to Spring LMMFAO

(It's still snowing over much of the MidAtl/NE as the run ends}

Screenshot 2024-03-10 150208.png

The way our luck has been this year ( if you want snow ) I doubt it will happen. I would love it , but I’m not counting on it . I have accepted the fact that the game is over till next year . 

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2 hours ago, Arctic Outbreak said:

If it was still winter, I'd say EPS is certainly onto something. But since it's the March/April timeframe, I have my doubts. 

Between time of year and the pattern, it just makes sense that the cooler air comes in Sunday/Monday and lasts 7-10 days with reinforcing shots, but not always "cold." The Pacific then takes back over and we're back into the trough west, ridge east as the storm train continues in California. Alaska and Greenland haven't shown a long term change, so one can't buy in to any models that have a long, deep, lasting cold in the east. The Euro would even say that I'm wrong about the length of time the cooler air stays. 

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On 3/8/2024 at 5:55 AM, MaineJay said:

I hear this often repeated, but can't seem to see it in the data. Winter generally runs into April up here, but we are squarely in spring.

Here's the last 10 March rankings. 

 

 

 

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.52.2.prcp.png

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.51.48.prcp.png

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.51.35.prcp.png

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.51.5.prcp.png

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.51.21.prcp.png

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.50.37.prcp.png

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.50.52.prcp.png

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.50.22.prcp.png

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.50.8.prcp.png

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.49.54.prcp.png

cd74.78.85.81.67.3.49.40.prcp.png

Going to have an effect on maple syrup production?

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On 3/15/2024 at 10:04 AM, clm said:

Going to have an effect on maple syrup production?

The lack of winter already took care of that. Could have tapped trees on January 23rd and done pretty well this season, which is bonkers. Tapping in early to mid March is much more common UP here.

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17 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said:

Pretty dynamic system next week. Could be a lot of wind energy and heavy rain image.thumb.png.1d96e408587664f1fcb4f200b767dc2d.png

From KIND

Sunday to Tuesday.

Confidence continues to increase in a more impactful system early
next week with models trending a bit slower in the ejection of a
seasonable strong upper level low pressure system from the Four
Corners region.  How exactly the system evolves remains quite
uncertain with a fair amount of model spread on how quickly the
upper level low closes as it pushes to the northeast but most models
show a similar overall track. This system will have wide reaching
impacts with precipitation stretching from the Gulf of Mexico into
Canada. At this time heavy rain and thunderstorms looks to be the
most likely threat but will continue to monitor trends for any
potential for strong to severe storms as well. With the strength of
the pressure gradients ahead of the system, gusty gradient winds
also look likely with the potential for periods of 30+ mph winds.
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