Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 16 Admin Share Posted February 16 If I get 4" at my house, I will be SO happy. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 16 Admin Share Posted February 16 Little surprised ILN didn't go with another layer of Advisory counties to the North, but what do I know? Lol. Here's their update: Quote Favorable axis of frontogenetic forcing develops into eastern Indiana and western Ohio by 18Z and works east-southeast across the area this aftn into early evening. This signal points to the potential for enhanced banded snow. Model solutions - especially the hi-res models solutions indicate a dual axis of enhanced snow. One across the I-70 corridor where the thermal profile lines up with favorable forcing and a second axis from northern KY thru south central Ohio. Snow to liquid ratios are more favorable north (around 15:1) with snow to liquid ratios starting out around 7:1 across the south and then increasing to 13:1 this evening. Model trends are generally higher with snow amounts and have adjusted the forecast with up to 3 inches across the I-70 corridor. There is the potential for totals in this northern band to be an inch or two higher. For the far southern band have up to 2 inches thru evening. High confidence in snow across the entire area but medium confidence in the location of the highest amounts in the enhanced bands. Uncertainty exists due to the banded nature of the pcpn - so slight areal adjustments to the these bands will affect the axis of highest snow totals. Also, ground temperatures begin warm but cool to freezing by evening, so impacts to roads will be limited initially until better snowfall rates come into play overcoming the warm ground and the sun angle gets lower. Have issued a winter weather advisory for this afternoon thru the evening for all but the far northern counties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 12 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: If I get 4" at my house, I will be SO happy. 10:1 should be a little conservative, especially north as called out by ILN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeffro Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Very little road prep here in the city. Evening commute is going to be a nightmare. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 16 Admin Share Posted February 16 14 minutes ago, BoroBuckeye said: 10:1 should be a little conservative, especially north as called out by ILN. Kuchera was close, so I didn't post it, but here it is! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 16 Admin Share Posted February 16 12 minutes ago, Jeffro said: Very little road prep here in the city. Evening commute is going to be a nightmare. EVERYONE is downplaying it. Like all the local mets. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Less than 6 hours to go, what can go wrong? 😝 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 17 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: EVERYONE is downplaying it. Like all the local mets. Good! These tend to turn out in our favor. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, OSUWx2 said: Less than 6 hours to go, what can go wrong? 😝 As a Browns fan, there is always something to worry about! Hah 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Radar/OBS 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Might be the biggest snow for some areas in OH if we get those 4-5” zones. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 12Z NAM 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3K 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, junior said: Might be the biggest snow for some areas in OH if we get those 4-5” zones. If I happen to see 2.9 inches or more of the white, that would be my highest this season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 16 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: EVERYONE is downplaying it. Like all the local mets. Our road crews are ready-we started pretreating yesterday, and pavement temps will be warm at the start. My team is giving me a lot of flack for being a weather nerd, but its really going to help today-we're aware of the trends and preparing for more snow than what the local mets are calling for. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adurb44 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, BuckeyeGal said: Little surprised ILN didn't go with another layer of Advisory counties to the North, but what do I know? Lol. Here's their update: I think a lot of those counties are CLE’s territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 16 Admin Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, adurb44 said: I think a lot of those counties are CLE’s territory. I know Delaware County is ILN. We shall see! From BAM: "The general consensus is 2-4" for a good part of the Ohio Valley. The greatest chance of seeing higher amounts is indicated in the yellow circle. This is where we anticipate the heaviest band of snow to set up. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 10 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: I know Delaware County is ILN. We shall see! From BAM: "The general consensus is 2-4" for a good part of the Ohio Valley. The greatest chance of seeing higher amounts is indicated in the yellow circle. This is where we anticipate the heaviest band of snow to set up. " 18"+?!? 🙃 jk jk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I will periodically post the Radar/OBS. No specific times..More random 🙂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowloverSid Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 So far, the St. Louis Snow Dome is the n full force: we had a bit of sleet at 7:30, but it quickly petered out. We had a few flurries about 15 minutes ago. Right now, the sky looks awfully ominous but nothing is falling from it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 21 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: I know Delaware County is ILN. We shall see! From BAM: "The general consensus is 2-4" for a good part of the Ohio Valley. The greatest chance of seeing higher amounts is indicated in the yellow circle. This is where we anticipate the heaviest band of snow to set up. " I haven't posted once in this thread out of sheer superstition, but I have now and hope I don't curse this. I am in that area for higher amounts. Here is to a great snow for all! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Columbusbuckeye Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I’m really concerned about the timing of this coming through in the Columbus area. I know many schools have basketball games and people will be out and about. I feel like it’s being downplayed by the news and the roads are likely going to be really nasty and catch many of the guard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 13z HRRR Kuchera Total Snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 16 Admin Share Posted February 16 Any observations yet? Looks like snow already going to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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