Wtkidz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 12z GFS Snow 10-1 and Kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiveWire_13 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: 12z GFS Snow 10-1 and Kuchera GFS pushing this low down by Virginia/North Carolina border. Some of the other runs seemed further north. Is high pressure stronger than previously expected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paletitsnow63 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 SLP position comparison at H42 (1 AM Saturday) on GFS, GGEM, RDPS, ICON, NAM, & 3K NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Paletitsnow63 said: SLP position comparison at H42 (1 AM Saturday) on GFS, GGEM, RDPS, ICON, NAM, & 3K NAM. Pick a model any model.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paletitsnow63 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Wtkidz said: Pick a model any model.. 5 of them have the SLP at roughly the same position. One of them has it 75 to 100 miles south of the others. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paletitsnow63 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, LiveWire_13 said: GFS pushing this low down by Virginia/North Carolina border. Some of the other runs seemed further north. Is high pressure stronger than previously expected? So far GFS the only one doing this. Will have to see what the Ukie and Euro show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Paletitsnow63 said: 5 of them have the SLP at roughly the same position. One of them has it 75 to 100 miles south of the others. I agree but it is how that model process a bias. GFS has a southern bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Long range HRRR is the spunkiest here. Definitely odd. Its also hot garbage. As @Undertakerson2.0 said clippers are fun and predictable. Best thing to do is on game day look at up stream discos to see if its spunkier or not 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Current surface map as of 11:00 AM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 BTW all I have offered this clipper Biscuits, sweet tea, and Barbecue To come along the NC /VA border. We will see what happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squepp Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: BTW all I have offered this clipper Biscuits, sweet tea, and Barbecue To come along the NC /VA border. We will see what happens. I see your offer and raise you to crabcakes and beer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, Squepp said: I see your offer and raise you to crabcakes and beer So is the beer Natty Boh? I will see that and offer several bottles of Virginia Gentleman . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 cringe worthy phrase if ever..... -CAR TOPPER- 🚙 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Doorman said: cringe worthy phrase if ever..... -CAR TOPPER- 🚙 Worse…. Conversational Flakes…. IMHO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geeter1 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, Doorman said: cringe worthy phrase if ever..... -CAR TOPPER- 🚙 After last winter, any snow is good for me. I am loving the last few days.... 😎 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: Worse…. Conversational Flakes…. IMHO You mean like RTC3 ??? 😋 sorry, just couldn't pass this up Edited February 15 by Doorman 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: So is the beer Natty Boh? I will see that and offer several bottles of Virginia Gentleman . Does this help keep it away from my area? If so, I'll send both. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 15 Moderators Share Posted February 15 NBM QPF First one. This one, so subtract anything above from it (there's no 24hr qpf option) And snow from this one. Agree with UTS about this being a less complicated system. I don't see it being blocked and regenerating coming up the coast. Just moves on through. Doesn't mean a shift in track by 20-50 miles is out of the question. But there's limited moisture with most output in the .1 to .3 range with rare .4s popping up now and then. Another situation where the swath of snow is rather narrow with sharp cutoffs. I see the NBM as having the axis of heaviest snows along the M/D line and most others are there or just south. It's nice to see a clipper for a change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 NWS throwing some watches up. Betting ridges will ring out the clouds. 000 WWUS41 KLWX 151446 WSWLWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 946 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2024 MDZ001-501-VAZ503-504-507-WVZ050-055-501>506-152300- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0005.240217T0000Z-240217T1200Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Western Highland- Eastern Highland-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Hardy- Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 946 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches are possible with localized amounts up to 8 inches possible along the higher western facing slopes of the Allegheny Front. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, northwest and western Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herricane Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 16 minutes ago, MDBlueridge said: NWS throwing some watches up. Betting ridges will ring out the clouds. 000 WWUS41 KLWX 151446 WSWLWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 946 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2024 MDZ001-501-VAZ503-504-507-WVZ050-055-501>506-152300- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0005.240217T0000Z-240217T1200Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Western Highland- Eastern Highland-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Hardy- Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 946 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches are possible with localized amounts up to 8 inches possible along the higher western facing slopes of the Allegheny Front. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, northwest and western Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && Love this little Maryland special snowfall we’re gonna get here in Bel Air MD 😎. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 This outlet had a broad brush 1-4 for last event - and got roasted on their pages for busting way low. Now they seem to be eager to make up for it - have they gone too far the other way? The N part of that 2-4 zone is unlikely to come close to verifying. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 SREF trending to include just in 15z - wetter and whiter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AceGikmo Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Nice bump on the 12z Euro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Precip field appears to be getting bigger, we will see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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