Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Mesoscale Discussion 0145 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1126 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2024 Areas affected...portions of eastern Illinois into central Indiana and western Ohio Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 161726Z - 162130Z SUMMARY...Occasional bouts of heavy snow are possible through early afternoon, with up to 1 inch/hr snowfall rates and reduced visibility possible. DISCUSSION...A 500 mb jet streak continues to overspread the OH Valley, which is encouraging 850-700 mb warm-air and moisture advection. The low-level warm-air advection trends are increasing the magnitudes of 700 mb frontogenesis, with deep-layer ascent strengthening within deepening/moistening dendritic growth zone. At least a few reports of heavy snow have been received within the past few hours and this trend is expected to continue through the afternoon. Up to 1 inch/hr snowfall rates will remain possible, along with brief periods of reduced visibility associated with an east-to-west oriented snowband. Just to note that WAA aspect is also more typical of over running system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Mesoscale Discussion 0145 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1126 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2024 Areas affected...portions of eastern Illinois into central Indiana and western Ohio Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 161726Z - 162130Z SUMMARY...Occasional bouts of heavy snow are possible through early afternoon, with up to 1 inch/hr snowfall rates and reduced visibility possible. DISCUSSION...A 500 mb jet streak continues to overspread the OH Valley, which is encouraging 850-700 mb warm-air and moisture advection. The low-level warm-air advection trends are increasing the magnitudes of 700 mb frontogenesis, with deep-layer ascent strengthening within deepening/moistening dendritic growth zone. At least a few reports of heavy snow have been received within the past few hours and this trend is expected to continue through the afternoon. Up to 1 inch/hr snowfall rates will remain possible, along with brief periods of reduced visibility associated with an east-to-west oriented snowband. bottom correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: I posted this elsewhere. HBG and DC are the closest (out of stations shown) to being "at average" to date. LV is very close also. Just know shown there. New Trip here 26.5-27- my house. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: LV is very close also. Just know shown there. New Trip here 26.5-27- my house. Yes, Tony L speculated you could add much of LV and N of there in that. Not sure what you did to peez off PSU but... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/lsr/lsr.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/lsr/lsr.php 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Upstream 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, RobB said: Upstream That's pretty close to Chez Bailey? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Boom SREF trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 11 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: LV is very close also. Just know shown there. New Trip here 26.5-27- my house. Going to try and get AFD for Bethesda once i get my bearings. The shift north would seem to be shaving down this area sadly, once i figure out wtf i am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: That's pretty close to Chez Bailey? Fairly close indeed. Too bad banding is so narrow..LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anthonyweather Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 ECM for your pleasure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LWX&issuedby=LWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Anthonyweather said: ECM for your pleasure I am extending a digit digit in your direction. Guess which one? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geeter1 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Getting more moist... 😎 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandO100 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 50 minutes ago, TLChip said: What ever happened to bigmirg, could’ve sworn he was on this site and lived @ elevation in WPA? Good question. I remember him but don't recall seeing him in the forums this winter. I believe he was in the Blue Knob area of PA. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, geeter1 said: Getting more moist... 😎 Geeters! Welcome. I hunted you down and sent the Sphere recruiter after you😀 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 . 124 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024 NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... *Quick-hitting accumulating snowfall tonight The main change from the previous forecast was an uptick in snowfall based on the latest HREF and WPC guidance. This will result in warning level snow totals for the southern tier of CPA and expanded advisory to the I80 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Lightning strikes 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Where this fronto goes = pounded 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 38 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: I am extending a digit digit in your direction. Guess which one? LOL You can send that snow back my way.. I will tell you generally this type of storm is correctly modeled for my area bo it is what it is…..I will just need to move Fredericksburg PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I wish I could overlay the radar with this lightning map because the radar is showing it is snowing in that area up near St. Louis while the lightning map is showing a lot of lightning. Quote 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Wtkidz said: You can send that snow back my way.. I will tell you generally this type of storm is correctly modeled for my area bo it is what it is…..I will just need to move Fredericksburg PA. New business venture. Modeled on house swapping during extreme events - chasers who live in safe zones can stay at homes at ground zero and evacuees can go to the safe home the chasers leave. Send all the money to me and simply switch houses for a while. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted February 16 Meteorologist Share Posted February 16 Just now, TheRex said: I wish I could overlay the radar with this lightning map because the radar is showing it is snowing in that area up near St. Louis while the lightning map is showing a lot of lightning. If that is lightning maps there should be an option for radar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rush Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Sterling expanded the Warnings and is giving a widespread 5-8" now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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