Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 00z icon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 😂😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: 00z icon 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 10 Admin Share Posted February 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 5 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: NAM has most of the snow falling with 28-31°F temperatures. And happening at night makes a huge difference. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Local news wisely not trying to post any snow accumulation. Mentioning rain snow mix seems wise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 10 Admin Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, RobB said: Local news wisely not trying to post any snow accumulation. Mentioning rain snow mix seems wise. Yup: Marshall on Fox 28 said slushy accumulation. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 At 60, GFS looked more north than 18Z but at 66 it looks more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 10 Admin Share Posted February 10 Gfs is more stubborn than a mule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 10 Admin Share Posted February 10 Meanwhile the Canadian says go to sleep lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Have these models been together all winter one model says 3 inches one says 10 one says cloudy it’s 3 days out my god Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Not gonna lie I’ve been out of the loop but uhhhhh…. Color me interested.. I only logged on cause I’m getting ready for work at this ungodly hour and was shocked to hear thunder as I’ve been out of the weather loop for about a week and didn’t expect thunderstorms this morning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Snow____ said: Not gonna lie I’ve been out of the loop but uhhhhh…. Color me interested.. I only logged on cause I’m getting ready for work at this ungodly hour and was shocked to hear thunder as I’ve been out of the weather loop for about a week and didn’t expect thunderstorms this morning. Geez - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Geez - That is a lot of lightning! Love some overnight light shows. I hope to get a good number of those this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indygirl Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 7 hours ago, RobB said: Local news wisely not trying to post any snow accumulation. Mentioning rain snow mix seems wise. This is exactly what I just watched on our local channel. I missed the first minute, or so, but only saw the mix mentioned and the met saying to “keep a close watch” ….blah blah. You know, “the usual drill” ….sort of thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 ILN now acknowledging a “SE trend” and I-71 being the target… Spoiler .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... The Ohio Valley will be just upstream of a robust, H5 trough carving its way through the central CONUS Sunday night. The forecast will be dry to start the night, but PoPs are quickly introduced ahead of this approaching system. A surface low near the Ark-La-Tex region will begin to translate northeastward through the day Monday. As this occurs, precip coverage will increase across our fa. Thermal profiles suggest that rain is the primary p-type through most of the daytime hours Monday, especially SE of I-71. The primary concern with this system will come Monday evening and Monday night. Models have continued to highlight the formation of a deformation band on the northwest side of this surface low, leading to an area of enhanced QPF. While locations along/southeast of I-71 may primarily observe rain during the daytime Monday, there is expected to be a rapid transition to snowfall shortly after sundown with this deformation band. Bufkit soundings highlight this rapid cooling in thermal profiles, with the wet bulb temperature quickly dropping to near or just below the freezing mark with the heavier precip rates. As such, this will likely initiate a heavy band of snowfall and lead to rapid accumulations overnight given the lack of insolation. Models/ensembles have started to trend a bit more southeastward with this deformation band, now hitting more counties along/SE of I-71. Locations NW of I-71 will have an environment that would support snow as the primary p-type for a longer period, but the forcing starts to weaken the further NW you go. Will begin to introduce an HWO mention for accumulating snow potential, but there still remains uncertainty on where exactly the heaviest band of snow will align itself. Snow quickly tapers off Tuesday, with a only a brief reprive in precip chances as another shortwave trough dives southward from Canada late Wednesday. Additional chances for rain and perhaps some snow can be expected Wednesday night into Thursday. Temperatures continue to remain above normal these days, but some cooler air builds in on Friday behind the shortwave, placing temperatures near seasonal normals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 10 Admin Share Posted February 10 The Canadian models are either taking a nap or seeing something the others aren't. 6z NAM lost a little oomph but had a similar idea to its beefy 0z run. I think 6z GFS was a little warmer, and so we lost some of the snow thump in some areas there. Don't know why the 6z Euro hasn't run yet. Unless I'm just up too early on a Saturday and it shouldn't have run yet, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 10 Admin Share Posted February 10 I was just up too early. Not that I like the result, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 From this morning's ILN Discussion : .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... The Ohio Valley will be just upstream of a robust, H5 trough carving its way through the central CONUS Sunday night. The forecast will be dry to start the night, but PoPs are quickly introduced ahead of this approaching system. A surface low near the Ark-La-Tex region will begin to translate northeastward through the day Monday. As this occurs, precip coverage will increase across our fa. Thermal profiles suggest that rain is the primary p-type through most of the daytime hours Monday, especially SE of I-71. The primary concern with this system will come Monday evening and Monday night. Models have continued to highlight the formation of a deformation band on the northwest side of this surface low, leading to an area of enhanced QPF. While locations along/southeast of I-71 may primarily observe rain during the daytime Monday, there is expected to be a rapid transition to snowfall shortly after sundown with this deformation band. Bufkit soundings highlight this rapid cooling in thermal profiles, with the wet bulb temperature quickly dropping to near or just below the freezing mark with the heavier precip rates. As such, this will likely initiate a heavy band of snowfall and lead to rapid accumulations overnight given the lack of insolation. Models/ensembles have started to trend a bit more southeastward with this deformation band, now hitting more counties along/SE of I-71. Locations NW of I-71 will have an environment that would support snow as the primary p-type for a longer period, but the forcing starts to weaken the further NW you go. Will begin to introduce an HWO mention for accumulating snow potential, but there still remains uncertainty on where exactly the heaviest band of snow will align itself. Snow quickly tapers off Tuesday, with a only a brief reprive in precip chances as another shortwave trough dives southward from Canada late Wednesday. Additional chances for rain and perhaps some snow can be expected Wednesday night into Thursday. Temperatures continue to remain above normal these days, but some cooler air builds in on Friday behind the shortwave, placing temperatures near seasonal normals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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