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February 11-13, 2024 | Winter Storm Speculation


SNOWBOB11

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Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

it just feels like we've been tracking November/March-April snow storms literally all winter

You nailed it with this...

 

It has simply been hard to get excited about these with so little cold.

 

It is what helped me be so stoked about the 2.75 inches of snow we had earlier with solid cold.  That is the type of snows I like/want.

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19 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

this is looking like a hell of a NE storm

 

I should say if the GFS/ECM is right, the CMC/UK is crap

 

snku_acc-imp.us_ma.png

is snow depth maps better for this situation given marginal temps and current warm conditions?

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25 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

this is looking like a hell of a NE storm

 

I should say if the GFS/ECM is right, the CMC/UK is crap

 

snku_acc-imp.us_ma.png

Heck I'd take my questionable few inches and run with it this winter lol. Sad state of affairs. Man do I keep hoping for one good big snow to smile about before spring roars in

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12 minutes ago, Wnwniner said:

is snow depth maps better for this situation given marginal temps and current warm conditions?

I always have, and always will tell people snow depth maps are trash, so I would personally just use Kuchera, some actually do use snow depth maps but in my observation of them, they are just terrible. Spring has busted soooo many "snow depth maps" throughout the years I've seen. And well, this might as well be a spring storm haha

Edited by Ohiobuckeye45
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ILN dropped a phrase we've heard many many times and Most Columbus people hate.

Quote
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Cold front that moved through our region will begin to stall
across the southeastern CONUS. A weak wave of low pressure will
move along this boundary, which could initiate some light rain
across our northern KY counties primarily. Coverage in rain will
be determined by the placement of the frontal boundary, with
chances persisting into the early part of Sunday before the
precip axis shifts further southeast.

Cooler air settles in on Sunday, but we still remain ~5-10
degrees above seasonal normals. Only a brief lull in precip
expected across our CWA before chances begin to increase again
late Sunday night into Monday. This is in response to a
developing low pressure system that originates from the Gulf.
This low will strengthen into a mature cyclone and translate
northeastward. Models currently take the low pressure through
the Tennessee Valley. This track leads to more favorable chances
for snowfall across our northern counties as we progress late
into Monday and Monday night. Track of the low still varies
quite a bit in long range models, but there has been a
consistent signal in accumulating snowfall across our CWA from
this system given its southern track. I-71 corridor still acting
as a marker for the transition zone in the grids, with
locations along/NW of I-71 having better chances for
accumulating snow, with locations SE observing primarily rain.
Snow will mix in across our southern counties late Monday night
as colder air builds in, but accumulations expected to be more
limited further south.

 

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