RobB Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 7 minutes ago, Indygirl said: There’s always a good March madness storm for us to rely on!! Right?? 😀 I am taking two weeks and a day off of work beginning on March 11. I am sure it will late season snow then 🙂 I am in a win win situ...I want to see a decent snow storm but I also want to NOT see snow til next winter. I guess one will likely happen 😄 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 12Z Euro and CMC look similar to Jan 11-13th system as far as track. GFS not having it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 (edited) 12z Euro just jumped 1,000 miles NW from its 0z run - big western lakes cutter, LOL Edited February 5 by MesoscaleBanding 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 12z eps mean pressure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Still a lot of spread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 45 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: 12z eps mean pressure That looks better than the op. At least it had a storm. Better than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Major jump NW on the 18z GFS, but almost zero frozen precip on the NW side of the storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 3 hours ago, Cary67 said: 12Z Euro and CMC look similar to Jan 11-13th system as far as track. GFS not having it Flippity flopity bippity bopity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Flippity flopity bippity bopity Yeah this is more hope than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 7 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: If we can split the difference between the GFS/Euro & pull in a bit of cold air, the OV would be in play with this one 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 10 hours ago, MesoscaleBanding said: If we can split the difference between the GFS/Euro & pull in a bit of cold air, the OV would be in play with this one One can only hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 The euro is pure trash right now, last 4 runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 (edited) East Asia system correlates with ours & could be helpful with models all over the place. Looks like a southern track & then OTS. Soul, South Korea correlates with Paducah, ky. So a 1:1 correlation keeps this south of Ohio River. The precip type does not always correlate with our neck of woods. Unless there's a good push of cold before or with system, with that track south of Ohio River, I'm guessing rain. Now 1:1 is not a guarantee. EAR is a tool. Sometimes it is 1:1, & sometimes it's not. If the system structure played out that way, I think the best case scenario for some wet snow would be for this to track a little further north than above, get precip north of Ohio R & wet snow is a greater possibility. Obviously the best, best case would be for the ULL to be strong, & at least neutral & system to be stronger. Edited February 6 by Grace 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 6z GFS looks pretty good for Ohio. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 6 Admin Share Posted February 6 12 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 6z GFS looks pretty good for Ohio. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 23 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 6z GFS looks pretty good for Ohio. 10 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Let me add that to my 40"+ day 5-7 digital snow total for the season🤣 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Think a wrapped up system cutting to the Western Lakes is unlikely at this point. A southern slider OTS or system affecting the OV seems plausible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 hours ago, BuckeyeGal said: ICON 12z keeping it alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 (edited) 12z GFS & CMC are misses to the SE, but that's okay considering we're 6 days out at this point. I'm mostly skeptical that there will be enough cold air to produce a widespread snowfall in the region. Seems like this thing is destined to produce one of those 2-3 county-wide, narrow snow swaths. Edited February 6 by MesoscaleBanding 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mafa Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Agreed. There is a narrow road to success. These solutions have been all over the place the past few days. At least there is something to peak at during this (sunny) lull. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 11 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: 12z GFS & CMC are misses to the SE, but that's okay considering we're 6 days out at this point. I'm mostly skeptical that there will be enough cold air to produce a widespread snowfall in the region. Seems like this thing is destined to produce one of those 2-3 county wide narrow snow swaths. Totally agree. Keeping an eye on this but lack of good colds with this limits potential excitement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 hours ago, Cary67 said: Think a wrapped up system cutting to the Western Lakes is unlikely at this point. A southern slider OTS or system affecting the OV seems plausible Agree, but I'm skeptical that anything but a cutter will produce any snow. I hope I have to eat a big crow sandwich. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 not great odds, but the ones that do produce, produce well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Grace said: Agree, but I'm skeptical that anything but a cutter will produce any snow. I hope I have to eat a big crow sandwich. I would agree the cold air arrival may not be there in time the further SE this tracks. If pattern change includes a more +PNA, -AO, -NAO then would favor the weather madness depiction in the long range for snow chances. My area would be in NW flow looking for a clipper or as they say on Americanwx "CAD purgatory" Edited February 6 by Cary67 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now