Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 11 Admin Share Posted February 11 Narrow stripe of gold. 🤪 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted February 11 Moderators Share Posted February 11 Let's see if the axis of heaviest snow moves south with the 06z GFS which is becoming more in-line with other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6z GEFS - starting to narrow the stripe of snow & pull back on totals a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 9z SREF mean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6z china 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 (edited) 6z euro is bleh, hardly worth anyone's time Edited February 11 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12z hrrr is coming in on the se side of guidance, not a flake here but SE of 71 does well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 (edited) Also goes sub 990mb Edited February 11 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted February 11 Moderators Share Posted February 11 SREF kick-off. Still a bit early for the SREFs to hone in, so expect some jumping around today/early tonight. I won't be around for the 15z but hope to do the 21z during the SB. I should be available tomorrow for a full compliment of nail-biting SREF action. SREF Plume Tracker®, the mean snow amount of numerous weather models. SREF is the Short Range Ensemble Forecast. They do not include the global models. However the NAM is related to the WRF members. Great way to not only see the trends near you, but also what areas are being favored by the models. Sometimes they work out fairly well, other times not so well. They are updated every 6 hours but on a ~4-5 hr delay. The plots can be found here. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/?SID=CLE This link is for Cleveland, click on the blue dot nearest to where you live. The tighter the grouping of the individual members, the more confidence in the forecast. (Want your town added below??...just let me know.) 9Z SREF update.(includes, 3Z, 9Z, 15Z, 21Z) Indy – 2.7/1.7/x/x Findlay – 1.8/2.0/x/x Cleveland – 3.0/3.5/x/x Youngstown Arpt. – 4.8/5.9/x/x Akron/Canton – 3.9/4.9/x/x Marion – 2.9/3.3/x/x Mt. Vernon/ NW Newark – 2.9/3.7/x/x Z-ville – 2.2/2.8/x/x Columbus – 2.3/3.0/x/x Dover/New Philly – 3.5/3.9/x/x Dayton (N) – 2.5/3.6/x/x Dayton (S)- 2.1/3.0/x/x Hamilton (N.Cincy) – 1.7/2.5/x/x Coving. (S Cincy)- 1.6/1.9/x/x Sidney OH – 2.7/3.8/x/x Pittsburgh – 3.0/3.9/x/x 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 My hunch still says this drifts NW by tomorrow given the strength 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12z model blend is a nothing burger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12z will be interesting. I see the models have nudged SE. The NW extent seems to have been realized and now the shift back SE has begun.. 😅 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 (edited) 6 hours less or more of this being closed off would have changed everything Edited February 11 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: 6 hours less or more of this being closed off would have changed everything The NAM compared to the GFS, this will keep precip from expanding NW this run, need more interaction like the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 (edited) 3km is in the NW camp Edited February 11 by MesoscaleBanding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, MesoscaleBanding said: 3km is in the NW camp Thank goodness, we need things that keep supporting the gfs, it's starting to feel a bit lonesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Things went Nw of me now things are shifting SE of me lol. Let’s have a happy meet in the middle situation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Dayton/Columbus & points extending about 2 counties north due very well on the 3km nam 4-8" depending on ratio 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Dayton/Columbus & points extending about 2 counties north due very well on the 3km nam 4-8" depending on ratio Actually, Columbus area gets 8"+ on both kuchera/10:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 minutes ago, Snow____ said: Things went Nw of me now things are shifting SE of me lol. Let’s have a happy meet in the middle situation. Rooting for ya! I'm good with and without the snows though I'd be annoyed missing out on a 6 inch snow by mere miles. Rather miss by a bunch 😁 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 (edited) Such a tug of war Edited February 11 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 11 Admin Share Posted February 11 Think it all depends on strength of low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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