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February 11-13, 2024 | Winter Storm Speculation


SNOWBOB11

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Just now, MesoscaleBanding said:

Disappointing, but I can live with that if I wake up to 6" on the ground Tuesday morning.

Oh no doubt.  With borderline cold, I rather it melt quickly.  Especially taking Crash out in it..LOL

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Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

Local 12z GEFS, big uptick in members with 6+ and overall mean

download (5).png

Btw, I just want to put this out there because it doesn’t get said enough.  Thanks to you and others for posting all of the models and other graphics.  You guys/girls truly provide a great wealth of information for all of us to digest.  Thank you!

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7 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

Canadian is 7mb weaker than GFS at this time frame 

 

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Is that seriously all it is? Because if so, it does worry me.. since we've dealt with weakening trends all winter.

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ILN latest.

Quote
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Period begins with potent low pressure tracking from the southwest.
Carrying a large swath of deep moisture on the warm conveyor belt
ahead of the low, this system will produce widespread precipitation,
starting as rain during Monday. Precip changes to snow from
northwest to southeast Monday night, with accumulating snow
likely, especially under the band of heaviest snow where snowfall
rates may overcome marginally cold surface temperatures. 2 to 3
inches of accumulation with locally higher amounts is the snowfall
estimate at this point, mainly around I-71 from Wilmington to
Columbus. Model variability adds to the uncertainty with respect to
this event regarding location, snowfall amounts and impacts.

 

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14 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

Is that seriously all it is? Because if so, it does worry me.. since we've dealt with weakening trends all winter.

I'd be more worried if the GFS/GEFS/EURO/EPS weren't so locked in. I guess we can never rule out the ability of models to be complete garbage though

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