Doorman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Yeah you got to think about the pros and cons. Listen here, you could be right and you could be wrong. I'm the... I'm diggin the groove. Tommy dig this Weedhopper how many times have we seen this dynamic undercut expectations??? just saying Edited February 12 by Doorman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Doorman said: dig this Weedhopper The waiting is the hardest part. Or so I've heard. Time for another dance with Mary Jane...speaking of weedhoppers 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metsfan78 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Upton just issued WSW for Nassau and Suffolk counties calling for 5-10 inches 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This has changed to the south.. Intellicast /weather underground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Ho Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 My sweet sweet baby Jesu, just tuned in the Boston evening news and what had been a cataclysmic storm now looks like an inch or two. What a busteroonie! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 12 Author Admin Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, JDClapper said: Just working on the acceptance phase of completely whiffing on this one. You go though the stages fast. Unless you're going backwards? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 (edited) 4 minutes ago, MaineJay said: You go though the stages fast. Unless you're going backwards? I've seen the CoG expressed in nearly every conceivable format over the years. (*initial shock is listed as being first, last I had a training on the subject) Edited February 12 by Undertakerson2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Updated Holly and New York. Around 4 pm today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 12 Moderators Share Posted February 12 Baby G Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 More experiments 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 9 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: This has changed to the south.. Intellicast /weather underground. Not understanding what this means? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Upgraded to warning Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 400 PM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 NYZ078>081-177-130500- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0003.240213T0900Z-240213T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KOKX.WS.W.0002.240213T0900Z-240213T2300Z/ Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk- Southeast Suffolk-Northern Nassau- 400 PM EST Mon Feb 12 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Suffolk and northern Nassau Counties. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 6 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: Not understanding what this means? The 24 hour snowfall is in parts of Virginia and Maryland.that it was not before. Specifically south and east of DC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 25 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: They are great shots. Shows why it won’t make it too far north and hence, the changes to less on northwest side 👍 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BossaNova Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Been waiting all afternoon for some kind of update from BOX. So far just the main Event Total Snowfall map (which dropped me from 12-18" to 6-8") and the discussion which the tone is much the same as here - bolding mine: Quote Well, I`ll get right to the point with this update, there`s been a big change to the forecast this afternoon based on a remarkably late but notable trend in the 12z/18z guidance which now keeps the bulk of the snow centered over the south coast of southern New England. This change is due not only to a southern shift in the track of the low but also a notable shift in the 500 mb trough; with a slower and less amplified solution and the northern and southern stream energy failing to phase/strengthen as they pass through the region. This shift has notably moved the zone of mid level frontogenesis to the south, and since we typically see the best forcing/banding to the northwest of the maxima this places southeast MA/Cape Cod and southern RI in the bullseye. BUFKIT soundings do indicate decent omega (forcing for lift) within the dendritic snow growth zone further north into MA, so we should still see some decent snowfall there, but the maxima looks to be south and east. While this is remarkably late in the game for such a relatively big shift, nearly all of the 12Z guidance including the 12Z ECMWF, 18Z NAM, 18Z HRRR and more show it. The new forecast calls for a swath of 6 to 10 inches across southeast MA/RI with a pretty tight gradient to the north down to potentially nothing in far northwest MA. Uncertainty remains high, however, given marginal temperatures at onset (though good dynamics should help cool the column to overcome this) and potential for a shift back north with overnight guidance. This southern shift brings slightly cooler air which may help mitigate snow loading risk a bit, but a wet, and rather heavy snow continues to be expected. Blizzard conditions are possible, especially on the outer Cape where the strongest winds are expected, with gusts has high as 55 mph possible. Elsewhere winds will be gusty, blowing 30- 40 mph over southeast MA and along the immediate coasts of MA and RI. The Winter Storm Warning has been expanded into Cape Cod and the islands while it has been downgraded to a Winter Weather Advisory for western and north central MA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 12 Moderators Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, clm said: Did your area just go down by 1/2?. 10.9 to 2.7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Now they've inserted thunder into the forecast Tuesday Snow before 4pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 38. Wind chill values between 20 and 30. Breezy, with a northeast wind 18 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, StretchCT said: 10.9 to 2.7 8.7".... No? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Rickrd said: 8.7".... No? Thats what she said 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, clm said: Thats what she said 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 12 Moderators Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, StretchCT said: 10.9 to 2.7 There's a saying... you're at a 10, I need you to take it down to a 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 12 Moderators Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, Rickrd said: 8.7".... No? Waterbury 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 12 Moderators Share Posted February 12 (edited) GFS my good ole friend. Edited February 12 by StretchCT 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 FWIW. 18Z GFS Hangs on... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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