JDClapper Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Liking the mood change over the past 12-24 hours! Cmon 12z, dont crap the bed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 5 days out this thing needs to stop trending west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Lord have mercy, NAVGEM and ICON with the primary holding on too long for my liking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 transfers at 144 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Regardless, theres a definite trend in this storm becoming a big deal, somewhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted February 7 Social Media Crew Share Posted February 7 7 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Regardless, theres a definite trend in this storm becoming a big deal, somewhere. I think so too.. Based upon what I've seen so far, looks like I-80 on north. However, I think there's potential all the way down in to NOVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Damn! This could wind up being a GLC, who was worried about suppression again? 👀 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7 Author Admin Share Posted February 7 More separation with that lead wave near the Eastern great lakes. There were some inland/Apps runner type looking solutions in the ensembles, so can't totally rule that out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7 Author Admin Share Posted February 7 Looks a little slower in it's evolution compared to the eye catching 6z. H7 southern parcel looks robust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 5 minutes ago, MaineJay said: Looks a little slower in it's evolution compared to the eye catching 6z. H7 southern parcel looks robust. There should be more interaction with the northern stream by the looks of it at hr 126..definitely should be a more western solution ergo even apps runner ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 LOL 12Z GFS says rainstorm.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lazman Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Pick your choice, hello or goodbye. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7 Author Admin Share Posted February 7 This is a delicate balance. I know it seems counterintuitive, but need that northern stream to come in faster. The southern energy is going to want to lift poleward, and it's looking strong currently, which gives a lot of "oomph" potential. But without a digging, well timed northern wave it'll be a tough slog. Even getting the southern wave to close off and/or have a little negative tilt might help. Need something to keep 4 corners lows from gaining too much latitude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7 Moderators Share Posted February 7 This is not usually a snow storm for the lower half of SNE Unless it's bombing out, which the pressure drop from 987 to 982 in 3 hrs says it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7 Moderators Share Posted February 7 (edited) BaBoom over Eastern New England then out. Goes from 995mb hr 941 too 966. 29mb in 24hrs. Edited February 7 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Fun times once again!!!! Wheeeeeeeee 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7 Author Admin Share Posted February 7 That run shouldn't get anyone to high or low. Good pieces are still in close to the right spots for a really nice storm. Not really giving the Icon a ton of credit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 LMAO, 12z GFS yesterday was off OBX about 750 miles! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7 Moderators Share Posted February 7 Textbook phase, just 200 miles too far north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 hour ago, MaineJay said: So the red piece is the gate keeper. The purple piece is the key master. So to speak. 2 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7 Moderators Share Posted February 7 (edited) The GEM also exploded over SNE. 989 to 956 (33mb) in 12 hrs. Edited February 7 by StretchCT 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 and most likely the euro will show a 6Z GFS solution this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7 Moderators Share Posted February 7 1 hour ago, StretchCT said: I'm starting to feel a bout of optimism creeping up within me. Euro, GFS, Icon and the UKMET all on board? NBM too But here comes the Navy to spoil the vibe That feeling lasted 2 hrs, replaced by a sense of impending disappointment yet awe, which I'm sure by tomorrow morning/late tonight will be something completely different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7 Moderators Share Posted February 7 Pivotal's precip type is messing with me. This skew has temps over 0c from 850mb on down. Precip type is snow? Couple hours later, when the bulk of the precip comes in (yellow imby) the entire column down to just above the surface is at or below 0c Rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 NOticed the 12z GFS shifted northward giving me rain. 3 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Pivotal's precip type is messing with me. This skew has temps over 0c from 850mb on down. Precip type is snow? Couple hours later, when the bulk of the precip comes in (yellow imby) the entire column down to just above the surface is at or below 0c Rain? Yep, its the Long Island Syndrome. And yes I am coining that phrase. It means the snow line ends at LI and turns to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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