Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Last SREF. Next run out soon I believe. Enjoy.... or hate. I don't care....🤪 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squepp Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Rickrd said: Last SREF. Next run out soon I believe. Enjoy.... or hate. I don't care....🤪 I hate to love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, Rickrd said: Last SREF. Next run out soon I believe. Enjoy.... or hate. I don't care....🤪 Also, please note that these are 10:1 outputs. I believe ratios will be at 10:1 or below except for our northern folks.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 A few of us posted why wouldn’t see this going north Friday/Saturday. I don’t think any of us saw this sagging so far south. Was this the work of that piece of energy that came flying down MJ spoke about yesterday? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller A Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 39 minutes ago, Burr said: Quite a range in the 10% probability charts painful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, TLChip said: A few of us posted why wouldn’t see this going north Friday/Saturday. I don’t think any of us saw this sagging so far south. Was this the work of that piece of energy that came flying down MJ spoke about yesterday? I may have mentioned watching out for the S shift. 👀 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anthonyweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, Rickrd said: Last SREF. Next run out soon I believe. Enjoy.... or hate. I don't care....🤪 Bigggg jump for our neck of the woods 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 (edited) 3 minutes ago, TLChip said: A few of us posted why wouldn’t see this going north Friday/Saturday. I don’t think any of us saw this sagging so far south. Was this the work of that piece of energy that came flying down MJ spoke about yesterday? @RTC3-LAST CHANCE did. Kudos to him.... and to @LUCC Edited February 12 by Rickrd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, LUCC said: I may have mentioned watching out for the S shift. 👀 I missed some posts, sorry if I missed ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, TLChip said: I missed some posts, sorry if I missed ya! No problem, just mentioned it, I could have easily been wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Last 4 SREF runs. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregRups Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Didnt see the 12z CMC posted 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 12 Moderators Share Posted February 12 Oh man I just stumbled across the 6z EPS mean precip. 😵🥵. I swear I was up in the middle of the night and checked the euro 6z. But guess not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 11;00 AM surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 19 minutes ago, LUCC said: I may have mentioned watching out for the S shift. 👀 I was thinking of your confluence posts this morning when I saw the newest model guidance, “I’ll be damned, LUCC nailed it.” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18 minutes ago, LUCC said: No problem, just mentioned it, I could have easily been wrong. I recall this. Lol. I was in the opposite camp. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Burr said: I was thinking of your confluence posts this morning when I saw the newest model guidance, “I’ll be damned, LUCC nailed it.” Hoping we can squeeze out a couple inches with this one, need that R/S line to creep south of yes to cash in on those high rates. Definitely going to start off as rain and hopefully changeover quickly when the coastal gets cranking. We shall see, we have had our fair share of last minute shifts screwing us in the past, hoping a small last minute shift S during the event to cash in but only time will tell. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 23 minutes ago, TLChip said: A few of us posted why wouldn’t see this going north Friday/Saturday. I don’t think any of us saw this sagging so far south. Was this the work of that piece of energy that came flying down MJ spoke about yesterday? Yes, that piece, as was mentioned in the WPC Heavy Snow Discussion I posted this morning, is involved. Quote The other big change is the upper trough tracking through the Great Lakes. Guidance across the board shows this trough have becoming stronger and allowing for less of a path for the upper low to turn north farther up the coast thanks to strengthening confluent flow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LloydM Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This water vapor satellite imagery is really impressive! Feeding moisture from the Pacific and Gulf straight up the coast. With some impressive lifting already developing. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 24 minutes ago, Rickrd said: @RTC3-LAST CHANCE did. Kudos to him.... and to @LUCC TBH , little surprised at how high the amounts are for us, with a slightest se of benchmark track. Must be the angle it’s coming in at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, LUCC said: Hoping we can squeeze out a couple inches with this one, need that R/S line to creep south of yes to cash in on those high rates. Definitely going to start off as rain and hopefully changeover quickly when the coastal gets cranking. We shall see, we have had our fair share of last minute shifts screwing us in the past, hoping a small last minute shift S during the event to cash in but only time will tell. How long it takes to change over is going to drastically affect you and me. North of me won't see much rain if any at all. Again, LI on that blasted rain/snow line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 (edited) 5 minutes ago, LUCC said: Hoping we can squeeze out a couple inches with this one, need that R/S line to creep south of yes to cash in on those high rates. Definitely going to start off as rain and hopefully changeover quickly when the coastal gets cranking. We shall see, we have had our fair share of last minute shifts screwing us in the past, hoping a small last minute shift S during the event to cash in but only time will tell. I’m trying to remember where you are - Creamridge area? My folks are about 20 mins SW of you. Going to be a tight gradient Edited February 12 by Snowadelphia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: TBH , little surprised at how high the amounts are for us, with a slightest se of benchmark track. Must be the angle it’s coming in at. The post above yours tells a tale. This thing is scooping up some serious mid level and low level joo-joo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 (edited) 5 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: TBH , little surprised at how high the amounts are for us, with a slightest se of benchmark track. Must be the angle it’s coming in at. hitting overnight certainly helps... Edited February 12 by Rickrd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: The post above yours tells a tale. This thing is scooping up some serious mid level and low level joo-joo. Yea was just going to respond to my own post . A northern DelMarva track is a big hit for us. It is just that it doesn’t gain much latitude after that cuz of the stuff pouring in over the top i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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