Admin MaineJay Posted February 7 Author Admin Share Posted February 7 Responsible shortwave is going to move south of Kodiak Island today. Then drive down the west coast into the trof before ejecting east. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Cause I like to keep the southern Mid Atlantic relevant…. LWX latest AFD LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A cold front will move into the region Saturday into Saturday night. This front will bring a chance for some light rain in the afternoon and evening. Any rain amounts would be light. Temperatures will remain above average to well above average with highs reaching the lower to middle 60s in mainly places with lower to middle 50s in the mountains. High pressure will build briefly into the region Sunday into Sunday night. This high will help to dry out the region and usher in cooler air. Highs Sunday should still be above average but perhaps 5 degrees cooler than Saturday. Highs in the middle 50s with a few upper 50s in east-central Virginia. The trend in the temperatures will be cooler Monday and Tuesday as high pressure lingers to the north. A low pressure system could approach from the Tennessee Valley on Monday and pass across or just to the south of the region Monday night and Tuesday. The possibility still remains of some wintry precipitation on the leading edge of the low pressure system late Monday into Monday night as colder air from the north at the surface is overrun by some milder air near the top of the boundary layer. It is a little too early to decifer the extent and type of wintry precipitation, especially when the GFS, European, and Canadian models have discrepancies on the intensity and exact track of the low pressure system Monday into Tuesday. For the most part, consensus of model data still favors rain over wintry weather. Once the low passes to the south and east, west to northwest winds could increase and there could be a mix of rain and snow or plain snow in the north and west. Stay tuned to any changes in the models over the next few days. && 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7 Author Admin Share Posted February 7 15 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Portrait of a bomber Nice run for folks to digest white waiting for the 12z suite. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Just cause I can… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 2 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: Just cause I can… If you like that, you'll LOVE the next one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 If the 18z GFS is Happy Hour, what is 6z? 😍 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Popular Post MaineJay Posted February 7 Author Admin Popular Post Share Posted February 7 Just now, JDClapper said: If the 18z GFS is Happy Hour, what is 6z? 😍 Wake and bake 4 2 1 2 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Just now, JDClapper said: If the 18z GFS is Happy Hour, what is 6z? 😍 Mimosa and waffles 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 6 minutes ago, JDClapper said: If the 18z GFS is Happy Hour, what is 6z? 😍 PBR bar Bloody Mary's for breakfast for a week. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 The Temple of Syrinx Models like a Cumberland Gapper to Benchmark track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7 Author Admin Share Posted February 7 GEFS spaghetti. Starting to get some timing narrowed in the northern stream at D4-5, but some good strength differences in there. Just glad we still got something to play with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Just now, MaineJay said: GEFS spaghetti. Starting to get some timing narrowed in the northern stream at D4-5, but some good strength differences in there. Just glad we still got something to play with. Quote glad we still got something to play with. Reminds me of a Rodney Dangerfield joke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7 Author Admin Share Posted February 7 This is the most consistency we've seen in the GEFS, just hope it's not underrepresenting the spread. With the players that much closer to NOAM and potentially being sampled, we can hopefully look for some more "linear" trends, instead of jumping around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Seen and screened 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 2 hours ago, MaineJay said: Wake and bake That may be winner of 2024 already 😆 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 2 hours ago, MaineJay said: Wake and bake Typically reserved for the weekend/snow days? 🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted February 7 Social Media Crew Share Posted February 7 Just a little ensemble breakdown.. Sure hope the GEFS / GFS has this right! Looks great at 06Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7 Moderators Share Posted February 7 Waking up every morning and checking the GFS is like knocking on a new door on Halloween. Sometimes you get a rock, sometimes a full size 100 Grand or Milky Way! 1 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7 Moderators Share Posted February 7 38 minutes ago, TLChip said: Typically reserved for the weekend/snow days? 🤣 NAh, work from home days 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 13 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Waking up every morning and checking the GFS is like knocking on a new door on Halloween. Sometimes you get a rock, sometimes a full size 100 Grand or Milky Way! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 I don't have Plus so can't see 6z Euro ICON on my s*** list 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 7 Moderators Share Posted February 7 I'm starting to feel a bout of optimism creeping up within me. Euro, GFS, Icon and the UKMET all on board? NBM too But here comes the Navy to spoil the vibe 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paletitsnow63 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 9 minutes ago, StretchCT said: I'm starting to feel a bout of optimism creeping up within me. Euro, GFS, Icon and the UKMET all on board? NBM too But here comes the Navy to spoil the vibe NAVGEM is same at 6Z. The only thing is I believe the other models are showing some sort of transfer to a secondary near the coast where the NAVGEM wants to only show a primary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 7 Author Admin Share Posted February 7 So the red piece is the gate keeper. The purple piece is the key master. So to speak. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted February 7 Social Media Crew Share Posted February 7 12z ICON is rolling! Haven't been this excited about a suite of model runs in quite some time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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