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February 12-13, 2024 | Winter Storm


MaineJay

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6 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said:

One thing to note, IF we are to believe the NAMBino, it is first one to go bigger west , then less east. Obviously, it is reading the coastal development differently. Kind of head scratcher, TBH.

The changes were quite apparent early in the run too - both at surface and aloft.

 

I have to wonder if MJ's "screamer" slamming in has something to do with this. 

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If the GFS can come in with support at 18z.. It’s gonna get wild! 

giphy.gif.3e2aefb478bb2bc6c1840c6c7bf4bb21.gif
 

PS..  I should also say.. my digital snowfall win is someone’s loss. I do feel for those folks.. hopefully that’s not anyone directly on the forum because I would look like a real butt. lol 

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1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

The changes were quite apparent early in the run too - both at surface and aloft.

 

I have to wonder if MJ's "screamer" slamming in has something to do with this. 

IF so, that is monumental change from  2 days ago. Will need more convincing there. Strengthening coastal, great track?

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2 minutes ago, Anthonyweather said:

Keep in mind it’s end range, and still ripping at 48… 

IMG_1634.png

Heavy snow falling through an isothermal layer at -0.00001C could mean some power outages.

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And remember, while the best DGZ is like -18°C to -13°C.  You get good production just below 0°.

Definitely gonna be a shitty commute Tuesday morning for some folks.

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2 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

Warnings going up.  

 

sn10_024h-prob01.us_ne (1).png

Snowfall rates of one to two inches per
  hour are likely prior to sunrise on Tuesday. Snow will continue
  to fall through Tuesday morning before tapering off in the early
  afternoon hours.
Edited by Undertakerson2.0
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Just now, MaineJay said:

And remember, while the best DGZ is like -18°C to -13°C.  You get good production just below 0°.

Definitely gonna be a shitty commute Tuesday morning for some folks.

Yup, fear here. I just cancel moves nowadays early, especially with the timing of this one. Let’s see how many i p’ off with this one 😀😀

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8 minutes ago, Anthonyweather said:

Yes I’m over analyzing the end of range hrrr. 
 

But it’s puts out these hourly rates for 5-7 hours straight 

 

 

IMG_1635.png

3"/hour is insane.  that's like lake effect intensity.

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