HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Boom 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 (edited) Grab the one model you like and give it hug. With the flip of patterns there will be more changes. sterling latest words… On Monday, models indicate cooler temperatures that could continue into the middle of next week. They also appear to indicate a low pressure system that is expected to approach our region from the southwest. There is a hint of some wintry precipitation on the front end and back end of the low pressure system as it could scoot by just to our south. Keep in mind, this potential low and any wintry precipitation would be Monday at the earliest and could even be a day or two later. For now, we are going with a chance of rain given the temperature profile as the precipitation moves near or into our region early next week. We will monitor model trends over the next couple of days into the weekend to see if we are affected by the low pressure system early to the middle of next week. Edited February 6 by Wtkidz 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just for giggles and grins. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 6 Author Admin Share Posted February 6 Northern stream still a mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 6 Author Admin Share Posted February 6 At least we are starting to get a handle on which shortwaves *should* be involved, interactions... not so much. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paletitsnow63 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Sorry not weather related. This makes me sad. 😭 RIP Toby. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paletitsnow63 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 12Z ICON 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 12z GFS just went south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, clm said: 12z GFS just went south CMC did what I thought GFS was gonna do. Hey, at least we are getting a little consistency recently. A little, being the key words. 🙂 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 (edited) Well you know the old adage .. not that this is a big storm ….that it will come back north and west. Hence why I do not like being in the bullseye. Edited February 6 by Wtkidz 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 12z GFS. I would think this would have pulled more cold air but it is just a model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 3 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: 12z GFS. I would think this would have pulled more cold air but it is just a model. Need more interaction with the northern stream...staying seperate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 (edited) 35 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: 12z GFS. I would think this would have pulled more cold air but it is just a model. Pretty sure the blue circle here is pressing the storm out and not phasing. The h8 also has a huge dry slot around there. I want to call this suppression but I’m not 100% if that’s what it actually is. Edited February 6 by TLChip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Yup though it will all look different on the next run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 3 hours ago, Wtkidz said: 12z GFS. I would think this would have pulled more cold air but it is just a model. I've been wondering, all along, how its making the cold air for snow. 3 hours ago, LUCC said: Need more interaction with the northern stream...staying seperate. THE only way it makes for cold enough to snow over a wide area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 After a meh 0z, the 12z EPS is back to a nice 25-33% chance of measurable snow for NCPA. Off topic, a bit of a potential signal on eps snowdepth for Prez Day gained a little momentum too. 🙂 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Wierd so you have the 12z gfs and Euro Ops missing. The gefs and eps is improved, and similar to three icon, cmc to an extent. I know this is a phase no phase storm so these things are expected. But definitely a little odd. Eps stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 You cab see above the 12z eps is definitely more amped than the 6z. And leans more to a hit rather than a miss ots/ east. Here's there 12 gefs vs 6z gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 and here comes the 18Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Lots of bangers in that EPS. Also lots of snoozefests. Wheres my lucky coin.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 GFS is so close... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 LOL. a 978 LP and that won't pull down cold air? Come on.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, JDClapper said: GFS is so close... Just now, Rickrd said: LOL. a 978 LP and that won't pull down cold air? Come on.... It was just a touch late with the main thrust of the northern stream - verbatim, it bombed out, just a touch east. It would have cranked down more cold had it ingested that parcel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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