PA road DAWG Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6z euro. Virtually the same as the last few euro runs. Would love to see a 10-30 mile shift south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 minutes ago, MaineJay said: Keep pushing those 850s south. Watching where those -2's are, as @so_whats_happening often reminds us, best to get there for snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 SREF trend on prob's of 1+ and 4+ Dark red is 70%+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 9z SREF 850s starting at 10pm and trend at 1am. Every 5 miles north or south maters for quite a few of us in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 (edited) 25 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said: 6z euro. Virtually the same as the last few euro runs. Would love to see a 10-30 mile shift south . Euro has been pretty solid, hopefully this arctic injection of air will fuel this storm. I have ice all over the place in Pleasant mt this morning, 29. Almost looks like we had some freezing rain overnight. Hopefully we get a good snowstorm out of this and a nice 30-45 day run of wintry weather Edited February 11 by NEPAsnow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 11 Admin Share Posted February 11 6 hours ago, Uscg Ast said: @MaineJay @BuckeyeGal @Mainiac I’m not a golfer, but I’ll come sing (quietly) as entertainment lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12 minutes ago, NEPAsnow said: . Euro has been pretty solid, hopefully this arctic injection of air will fuel this storm. I have ice all over the place in Pleasant mt this morning, 29. Almost looks like we had some freezing rain overnight. Hopefully we get a good snowstorm out of this and a nice 30-45 day run of wintry weather As per always…you are in a great spot for this one. Pleasant mount never disappoints 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 only posted because it had EFI snow index 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 7 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: I’m not a golfer, but I’ll come sing (quietly) as entertainment lol. We may need a beverage cart server... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, NEPAsnow said: only posted because it had EFI snow index I REFUSE to pay heed to anyone who can't differentiate the words "except" and "expect". I mean I know he uses all the correct letters - but to not use the word the that makes contextual sense (except), leaves me doubting his ability to put other basic concepts to use correctly. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: I REFUSE to pay heed to anyone who can't differentiate the words "except" and "expect". I mean I know he uses all the correct letters - but to not use the word the that makes contextual sense (except), leaves me doubting his ability to put other basic concepts to use correctly. I didn't even catch that, maybe he hasn't had his morning coffee yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, JDClapper said: so the primary makes it to PITT and then transfers due east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Right now, I'd like to show you one of my favorite cartoons. It's a sad depressing story about people in the MidAtlantic who spend every moment of their lives during winter in pursuit of modeled snowstorms only to have their hopes repeatedly mocked and crushed... It me… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, JDClapper said: that's a bit too far north for my liking for the primary, especially given the air mass going into the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, NEPAsnow said: so the primary makes it to PITT and then transfers due east? I would say PITT is on the northern most envelope. Probably somewhere between SW WV to very SW PA corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, JDClapper said: I would say PITT is on the northern most envelope. Probably somewhere between SW WV to very SW PA corner. hard to see, took a guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 OK, last one for now. Have a great morning! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 11 Author Admin Share Posted February 11 I'll go on a little limb here. The baroclinic zone appears about 20-40 miles south of what the NAM3 has it. I'm thinking that the NAMs tick south with the 12z. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, MaineJay said: I'll go on a little limb here. The baroclinic zone appears about 20-40 miles south of what the NAM3 has it. I'm thinking that the NAMs tick south with the 12z. Now THAT is forecasting as opposed to model hugging. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 27 minutes ago, NEPAsnow said: I didn't even catch that, maybe he hasn't had his morning coffee yet Likely Still not a fan of "The Bern" - seems too much like a repackaged Henry for my taste. Maine Jay does more and better break down of the factors than any number of the pros, and Content WxGuy (formerly known as Cranky) adds great illustration to it all. Give me that level every day - and I'll pass on the "In Accu" bloggers. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted February 11 Admin Share Posted February 11 7 minutes ago, MaineJay said: I'll go on a little limb here. The baroclinic zone appears about 20-40 miles south of what the NAM3 has it. I'm thinking that the NAMs tick south with the 12z. 100% agree. I don't believe these models with how far north they are. I know it's warm leading up, but this cold push will set a BCZ further SE of that is being shown IMHO. This is not retreating cold, this is fresh cold filtering in. 9 out of 10 times, the BCZ always ends up further SE then modeled with these scenarios. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 11 Author Admin Share Posted February 11 Lat 4 NAM3. Still not far enough with with the 0°C line perhaps. But baby steps in a positive direction. At initialization. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Clapper's star keeps on a risin 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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