Rickrd Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 (edited) 12z Euro for the LEHIGH VALLEY in PA say NO! Edited February 10 by Rickrd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Rickrd said: 12z Euro for the LEHIGH VALLEY in PA. Say no! almost like a reverse Jonas gradient - north to south this time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Undertakerson2.0 said: almost like a reverse Jonas gradient - north to south this time Yup. Going to come down to where that cold river sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AceGikmo Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, Rickrd said: 12z Euro for the LEHIGH VALLEY in PA say NO! Bernie probably gloating right about now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 13 minutes ago, Rickrd said: 12z Euro for the LEHIGH VALLEY in PA say NO! Was antcipating this north wobble lol. Suppression just didn't feel right here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 (edited) https://digital.weather.gov/ take the over/under at your own risk....✍️ Edited February 10 by Doorman 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Never underestimate the might of WAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 10 Author Admin Share Posted February 10 Trying not to bite on the ECMWF bringing so much QPF up this way. It is often too generous. SREFs are basically feast or famine, more famine though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 42 minutes ago, Doorman said: https://digital.weather.gov/ take the over/under at your own risk....✍️ What is the difference between digital.weather.gov and www.weather.gov? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 15 minutes ago, MaineJay said: Trying not to bite on the ECMWF bringing so much QPF up this way. It is often too generous. SREFs are basically feast or famine, more famine though. The first image is basing it on any type of precipitation? Rain, snow, sleet, mix? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 10 Moderators Share Posted February 10 Sorting out changes in Euro. At hr 24, the low itself is pretty close to the prior runs. The shortwave over MN is further north, the 534 height is further north. And I'm looking at the 552 height line in Illinois which also moves north. Again, this is before the ULL actually is further north. At 48 hrs, the ULL still is in a similar area, though the 549 height line is further north. This could be positional, or it could just represent that it's weaker. Looking at the ULL over Canada, those height lines shifted north. And the the 552 line that runs across NJ you can see shifted north. By 72, you can clearly see our main ULL is further north. Pay attention to the steering mechanism behind it over the Lakes and the position of the ULL in Quebec, both of which are tilted back now, raising heights and allowing the storm to come north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12 minutes ago, clm said: What is the difference between digital.weather.gov and www.weather.gov? Graphic Tools Updated Hourly ...on the digital site Work in progress,but fun none the less 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Comet1510 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 5 minutes ago, Pghsnow said: https://www.weather.gov/media/ctp/Briefing/briefing.pdf State College first briefing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted February 10 Author Admin Share Posted February 10 27 minutes ago, clm said: The first image is basing it on any type of precipitation? Rain, snow, sleet, mix? Just liquid equivalent. It says nothing of precip type. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 316 PM EST Sat Feb 10 2024 CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-111000- /O.NEW.KALY.WS.A.0005.240213T0600Z-240214T0000Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Southern Berkshire- Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia- Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia 316 PM EST Sat Feb 10 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 9 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwestern Connecticut, western Massachusetts and the eastern Catskills, the mid-Hudson Valley and the southern Taconics in eastern New York. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates may reach 1 inch per hour at times late Monday night into Tuesday morning. There remains uncertainty on the northern extent of the heaviest snowfall. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 317 PM EST Sat Feb 10 2024 CTZ005>008-NJZ002-103-NYZ067>070-111000- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0002.240213T0600Z-240213T2300Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Western Passaic-Western Bergen-Orange-Putnam- Rockland-Northern Westchester- 317 PM EST Sat Feb 10 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8 inches with higher amounts around 10 inches possible across the higher elevations. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/nyc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marathongoalie Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Transfer area is key to the whole storm...too far north and lots are screwed. If li can stay snow, this will be a heavy snowfall for us. (just based on moisture content of almost every system since fall). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chaser915 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 HVSnowstorm.. I was just going to post that. Good for you. The county (Greene) that borders my county to the south is in it. Just not north enough for us. At least for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Full cave by the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 EPS for NCPA looking decent. Still, several duds in there. Lets tighten that ish up at 0z. Thnx. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 18z RGEM has a snow storm now, unlike 12z. 👍 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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