Anthonyweather Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Wtkidz said: Honestly after the last two years wouldn’t it just be nice to have a decent snow Not major just 2-4” , 3-6” or 4-8 “. This not directed at any body. Just a general comment Honestly this is probably the most level headed group I found. there’s Facebook groups I’m in, and other places like American wx. If it’s not 8+ no one really cares (mainly mid ATL and Philly crews). Everything has to be historic for any excitement. Historic is historic for a reason. They expect that 30” storm every year 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squepp Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: GFS with minor adjust it seems. Pretty QPF laden through the OH Vly - thermally has gains and losses both ways so... IMBY, GFS just made a major eye opener. Creates a finger of 6 to 8 inch snow down through north central MD. Its like the opposite of snow dome. I call BS atm, but we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 GFS, since 12z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 WHUMP! A very fast and furious thumpage in the wee hours of Tues a.m. over CTP. Clapper and I get hit hard with near 1"/Hr rates from about 1-3 A.M. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Undertakerson2.0 said: WHUMP! A very fast and furious thumpage in the wee hours of Tues a.m. over CTP. Clapper and I get hit hard with near 1"/Hr rates from about 1-3 A.M. Yeah, the quickness is something I'm trying to grapple with in my head, how it will pan out. Like a 6 hour event .. if you want to push near 10" it's gotta go like 2"/hr almost the entire time. Seems unlikely, but hey, I'm here for it. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anthonyweather Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Yee haw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Timing is good and bad.. not gonna get much sleep Monday into Tuesday I suspect. But hey, only happens 0-2 times a year, so go for it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squepp Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Anthonyweather said: Yee haw 12z out now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anthonyweather Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Squepp said: 12z out now That is 12z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Enjoy northerners. SEPA crew will hold down the fort on the 17th thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Anthonyweather said: Yee haw Our best snows always come during the wee hours TL. This one is our kind of storm from that aspect alone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Snowadelphia said: Enjoy northerners. SEPA crew will hold down the fort on the 17th thread. that's the one that I'm "wanting" more than this. But man is it hot garbage on the models RN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squepp Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Anthonyweather said: That is 12z Yes, yes you are correct. I'll go drink some coffee now. Or bleach 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 No surprise after seeing RGEM that CMC was a complete whiff outside a slushy coating for the coastal areas/LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 23 hours ago, JDClapper said: 3.5 days away from onset and the range imby is 0-12" 24 hours closer and this is still the range. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowadelphia Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: that's the one that I'm "wanting" more than this. But man is it hot garbage on the models RN It is. In my experience down this way, it’s better for a system to look suppressed at this stage than to see a cutter. Once this clears out we will have a better picture. Edited February 10 by Snowadelphia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marathongoalie Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Fwiw to anyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, marathongoalie said: Fwiw to anyone This was already posted above, but I love seeing "The forecaster formerly known as Cranky" maps. He, above all others, does the "cave man art" map thing THE BEST. You don't really even need his words to understand the message he is conveying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, RTC3-LAST CHANCE said: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off I would imagine that having to pin down that marine boundary layer influence tests many a desk forecaster at Holly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 10 Moderators Share Posted February 10 Since 6z yesterday, GFS seems pretty adamant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Still think there is room for this to wiggle north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, WeatherFlash said: Still think there is room for this to wiggle north. Or south... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted February 10 Moderators Share Posted February 10 (edited) This is at its warmest for 850 temps, before it transfers and blows up. There is a slight uptick in temps Same with the 925s. Just a speck warmer/0 line a bit 10 miles north or so. This is as precip is entering PA. It drops after this everywhere. The track of the 925 and 850 lows are key to keeping it cold enough to snow, assuming it snows hard enough to overcome >32f surface temps. Edited February 10 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Popular Post Sentinel Posted February 10 Admin Popular Post Share Posted February 10 37 minutes ago, Anthonyweather said: Honestly this is probably the most level headed group I found. there’s Facebook groups I’m in, and other places like American wx. If it’s not 8+ no one really cares (mainly mid ATL and Philly crews). Everything has to be historic for any excitement. Historic is historic for a reason. They expect that 30” storm every year The group we have here is definitely a class act and down to earth. Straight shooting and our group has a way of tampering down expectations without being mean about it, which is, well, rare. That withstanding, AmericanWx - like us - has some quality posters. Same with 33andRain (though I'm not personally a fan of their discord model they use now). I and the staff are proud of our forum and love having you all here 🙂 2 4 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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